Future Win Total Bets
October 29, 2013
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Are you looking for a few future investments in the NBA? Then look no further as ASA has you covered. Below are the wagers we're making before the season tips off Tuesday.
Over 36.5 Wins Toronto Raptors - The Raptors finished with 34 wins last season so asking them to get to 37 with an improved roster shouldn't be a problem. Last year with underachieving Andrea Bargnani in the lineup the Raptors weren't nearly as good as they were without him when he was injured. In fact, Toronto started the season 4-19 with him on the floor but then won 8 of 10 without him. Then just past the midway point of the season the Raptors acquired Rudy Gay in a blockbuster trade from the Memphis Grizzlies. In Toronto he averaged 19.5 ppg and 6.1 rpg leading the Raptors to an 18-14 record (missed 4 with injuries all losses). Along with Gay the Raptors have a great young nucleus of talent led by 7-footer Jonas Valanciunas. Valanciunas a 21-year old Lithuanian who has a huge upside and should be the cornerstone of this franchise for years to come. Other key players for Toronto this year are Amir Johnson (10ppg, 7.5 rpg), Demar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry along with 3-point snipper Steve Novak (came over via New York in the trade for Bargnani). Clearly Boston and Philadelphia are going to be down this season in the Atlantic Division which helps our cause here as the Raptors face them 4 times each. The East as a whole is not as good as the West and we expect the Raptors to be .500 or better this season.
Under 40 Wins New Orleans Pelicans - First off, we like the young Pelicans roster as they are an up-and-coming franchise but unfortunately for them they won't win 40 plus games this season. Not when they reside in the Southwest Division in the West with Dallas, Houston, Memphis and San Antonio. That's 16 games against four other potential Playoff teams who had a combined record of 200-128 last season. Not to mention Dallas will be better with a healthy Dirk Nowitzki to start the season and an improved Houston team that added Dwight Howard. New Orleans has a great young nucleus with Eric Gordon, Tyreke Evans, Jrue Holiday and Anthony Davis but they will have growing pains this season. Gordon hasn't played a full season yet due to injuries, Holiday didn't shoot well last season hitting just .43% from the field and all three are guards so sharing the basketball could become a problem. Last season this team won just 27 games and now the oddsmakers are asking them to win 14 more games to go 'over' 40. Take the value play here with 'under' 40 wins for the Pelicans.
Play on: Indiana Pacers 15-1 NBA Championship: This team was built to beat the Heat and it's not a stretch for them to get past Miami this year and represent the East in the Finals. Remember this Indiana team took the Heat to 7 games in the Eastern Conference Finals and that was with a 1-point OT loss in Game 1 in Miami. In our opinion Indiana could be better this season as they return their core lineup from last season and have added point guard depth with C.J. Watson and another physical forward who can score in Luis Scola. Now factor in the Pacers get back a previous All-Star shooting forward in Danny Granger (career 18.1 ppg scorer) who missed all but 5 games last season. This team was the best defensive team in the NBA last year ranking 2nd in points per game allowed at just 90.9, 1st in defensive efficiency rating allowing just .969 points per possession and were the best overall rebounding team in basketball. With a lineup that features David West, Paul George, Roy Hibbert and George Hill and you have a team that can easily win it all in 2013-14.
Play on: Golden State Warriors 25-1 NBA Championship: The Warriors are another long shot worth a wager before the season tips off to win the NBA Title in 2013-14. Golden State had a remarkable season last year and took the eventual Western Champs San Antonio to six games before bowing out of the playoffs. Golden State gets it done with their offense that features sharp-shooting Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. Curry had a breakout year averaging 22.9 ppg while shooting a ridiculous .44% from beyond the arc. Not only did he 'get his' but he also tacked on nearly 7 assists per game last season. Klay Thompson (16.6 ppg) is a nice compliment to Curry as he also shoots the 3-ball extremely well (40%) which puts an extreme amount of pressure on teams perimeter defensive. When you shoot it like the Warriors do that opens up the inside for guys like David Lee and Andrew Bogut. The 7-foot Bogut missed the majority of games last season but with him in the lineup the Warriors were 20-14. David Lee continues to be an under-rated player which doesn't make sense considering he averaged 18.5 ppg and 11.2 rpg in 2012-13. The big 'X' factor for Golden State this season could be the addition of Andre Iguodala. Iguodala is the perfect fit for the Warriors because of floor spacing like we talked about earlier. With the defense stretched A.I. will have plenty of room for attacking the basket which is the best part of his game. Depth is a concern but this team could represent the West in the Finals and anytime you have a team that can flat out shoot they always have a chance to win.
Best of luck...ASA
3-0 LN, 12-5 G-Plays, +3,606 TY
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9-2 Last 11 Over/Under Plays
7-2 L9 Total Plays, +1,939 TY
13-5 L18 G-Plays, +1,490 TY
9-4 L13 G-Plays, +1,547 This Year
11-5 Last 16 NBA Guarantees
3-0 L3 Picks, 12-3 L15 Totals
5-1 Last 6 Guaranteed Plays
11-3 L14 G-Plays, 12-6 L4 Days