Tuesday's Tip Sheet
November 4, 2013
By Brian Edwards
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**Ohio at Buffalo**
-- The lead in the MAC East will be on the line Tuesday night when Buffalo (6-2 straight up, 6-2 against the spread) plays host to Ohio. The Bulls are 4-0 in league play, while the Bobcats and Bowling Green are both one game back in the East with 3-1 conference records.
-- As of Monday afternoon, most betting shops had Buffalo favored by 3 ½ or four points. A few offshore books had the total at 54. 5Dimes had the Bobcats available on the money line for a +145 return (risk $100 to win $145).
-- In his fourth season at the helm, Jeff Quinn has his best team. Buffalo won just nine combined game in the three previous years, but it is in the midst of a six-game winning streak after losing its first two games on the road against top-10 teams Ohio St. (40-20) and Baylor (70-13). The Bulls have covered the spread in five consecutive victories that have each come by margins of 20 points or more.
-- Buffalo blasted Kent St. by a 41-21 count in its last outing on Oct. 26, easily taking the cash as a three-point road ‘chalk.’ Brandon Oliver was the catalyst with 184 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 31 carries. Sophomore quarterback Joe Licata threw for 285 yards and a pair of TDs without committing a turnover.
-- Ohio (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) won four straight games both SU and ATS after getting smashed 49-7 at Louisville in its season opener. The Bobcats’ winning streak was snapped in a 26-23 home loss to Central Michigan on Oct. 12, but they have won back-to-back games since then.
-- Ohio is led by senior QB Tyler Tettleton, who has completed 68.0 percent of his passes for 2,029 yards with a 17/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio through eight games. Senior RB Beau Blankenship has rushed for a team-high 550 yards and four TDs.
-- Licata and Oliver are enjoying outstanding seasons for Buffalo. Licata has connected on 60.2 percent of his throws for 1,569 yards with a 14/4 TD-INT ratio. Oliver has rushed for 874 yards and nine TDs while averaging 4.9 yards per carry.
-- Ohio owns a 13-15-1 spread record in 29 games as a road underdog during Frank Solich’s nine-year tenure.
-- Buffalo is 5-7 ATS as a home favorite on Quinn’s watch.
-- The ‘over’ is 6-2 overall for Buffalo, 3-1 in its home games. The Bulls’ games have played to an average combined score of 53.9 points per game.
-- The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for Ohio, 2-1 in its three previous road assignments. The Bobcats have seen their games average a combined score of 55.4 PPG.
-- The ‘over’ has cashed in five consecutive head-to-head meetings between these schools and seven of the last eight.
-- Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
-- Gamblers have a pair of MAC games to wager on Tuesday night. Bowling Green is favored by 23 ½ at Miami (OH.) in an ESPNU broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern. As noted above, the Falcons can pull into a first-place tie in the division with a win and a Buffalo loss. The RedHawks will be without starting QB Austin Boucher (7/8 TD-INT ratio) due to a knee injury.
-- Bowling Green has seen the ‘under’ cash in six straight games.
-- Wisconsin is the nation’s best ATS team with a 7-0-1 spread record.
-- Miami RB Duke Johnson broke is ankle in Saturday’s loss at FSU and will miss the rest of the season. Johnson rushed for a team-high 920 yards and six TD in 2013.
-- Wake Forest senior WR Michael Campanaro has played his last game for the Demon Deacons. Campanaro suffered a broken collarbone in a 13-0 loss at Syracuse. He had 67 receptions for 803 yards and six TDs as a senior. Campanaro finishes his career at Wake Forest’s as the third-leading receiver in school history, behind only Ricky Proehl and Desmond Clark.
-- The ‘under’ is 8-1 overall for Wake Forest.
-- ULM’s Kolton Browning and Boise St.’s Grant Hedrick both threw five TD passes apiece without an interception and had a rushing score in leading their respective teams to wins both SU and ATS in Week 10.
-- The race for national Coach of the Year at this point has got to be between Auburn’s Gus Malzahn and Missouri’s Gary Pinkel.
-- Florida has beaten Vanderbilt in 22 consecutive head-to-head meetings. The Gators haven’t had a losing season since going 0-10-1 in 1979. They are 4-4 with four games remaining, including a pair of contests (at South Carolina and vs. FSU) in which they’ll be underdogs. In fact. Sportsbook.ag is currently showing the Gamecocks as nine-point favorites vs. UF, while FSU is a 19-point ‘chalk.’ UF hasn’t been a double-digit home underdog to FSU since 1993.
6-1 Sat., 13-2 Run, +961 TY
3-1 Saturday, 9-3 L3 Saturdays
7-1 Guarantees, 14-7 Picks TY
5-1 Last 6 College FB Picks
7-1 Over/Unders This Year
5-2 Week 3, 6-1 Guarantees TY
7-3 L2 Saturdays, 10-3 L13 Picks
3-1 Saturday, 4-0 Guarantees TY
6-0 L6 G-Plays, 5-2 Totals TY
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