User ID
Password
  Forgot User ID
or Register Today!
VegasInsider.com
Follow Us on Facebook Follow Us on Twitter Follow Us on Google+ VI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto
Horses
Soccer
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools

 
MNF - Dolphins at Buccaneers
The Sunshine State is usually a hot-bed for football, but not in the pro ranks this season. The Jaguars finally won a game after an 0-8 start, while the Buccaneers have thrown away several chances at a victory. Tampa Bay looks to break through the win column for the first time on Monday night with a visit from Miami, who in spite of a 4-4 record, has its own off-the-field issues to deal with.

The Dolphins edged the Bengals last Thursday night, 22-20, becoming just the third team to ever win a game in overtime on a safety. Miami squandered a 14-point advantage for the second straight contest after falling apart at New England, but the Dolphins found a way to send the game to overtime against Cincinnati with a late field in regulation. Cameron Wake's sack of Bengals' quarterback Andy Dalton in the end zone snapped a four-game skid for the Dolphins, while cashing as three-point home underdogs.

Obviously the biggest storyline in the NFL this week surrounds the offensive line of the Dolphins and the alleged bullying tactics of guard Richie Incognito on tackle Jonathan Martin. Incognito is suspended indefinitely while this investigation continues, while Martin remains in California with a non-football related illness. The absence of those two linemen doesn't help quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who has been sacked a league-high 35 times.

Advertisement
The Buccaneers have their own issues with a dreadful 0-8 record, while suffering the biggest meltdown of the season last Sunday. Tampa Bay jumped out to a 21-0 lead at Seattle, looking to hand the Seahawks their first home loss since the end of the 2011 season (11-game stretch). However, the Seahawks erased a 24-7 deficit by scoring the final 17 points of regulation, while Steven Hauschka's 27-yard field goal in overtime kept Seattle's home winning streak and Tampa Bay's winless season intact. The only silver-lining for the Bucs was easily covering as 16-point road underdogs for just their second ATS win of the season.

Surprisingly, the Dolphins have held their own on the highway this season, in spite of a 2-2 SU/ATS record. Miami won its first two contests at Cleveland and Indianapolis as short underdogs prior to the two defeats at New Orleans and New England. Obviously it's been a rough road slate for Joe Philbin's team, already facing three division leaders away from South Florida, but the Dolphins have been outscored 41-7 in the second half of the last two away defeats to the Saints and Patriots.

Greg Schiano's club may be winless, but that doesn't mean they are getting blown out every week. The Bucs have lost four games that have come down to the final two minutes against the Jets, Saints, Cardinals, and Seahawks. Tampa Bay has suffered three setbacks on walk-off field goals, while blowing a 10-0 fourth quarter advantage in a Week 4 home defeat to Arizona. Since Mike Glennon took over at quarterback for Josh Freeman, the former N.C. State standout has thrown eight touchdowns in five games, while not throwing an interception in the last three games.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Antony Dinero says there's no reason to think the Bucs can't win on Monday, "If nothing else, the Bucs just demonstrated they can rise above the drama. Tampa Bay may have dumped its franchise quarterback, quit on its soon-to-be displaced head coach and lost multiple key players to injury, but it nearly went out and won in Seattle. Miami must demonstrate that it can rise above adversity, perhaps taking solace in taking the field in the midst of a nasty controversy with so many layers that it may ultimately tear the team apart. A loss to the Bucs would certainly accelerate that process, but a win would keep them right in step for that final AFC West playoff spot. We're about to see whether Philbin and his staff can be a galvanizing force and if Tannehill is strong enough to put the Dolphins on his shoulders and be the leader his team needs."

The last time these teams met in the regular season came back in 2009, when the Dolphins held off the Bucs, 25-23 as 10-point home favorites. None of the main skill position players from that game are presently with their respective team, so any statistics from that day don't mean much for Monday night's purposes. The Bucs have won each of the last two home meetings with the Dolphins since 1997, taking each game by double-digits. The Dolphins are currently listed as 2 ½-point road favorites, while the total sits at 41. The action gets started at 8:40 PM EST from Raymond James Stadium and can be seen on ESPN.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

  
HEADLINES
Rogers: MNF - Colts at Jets
Roberts: Seahawks sink sports books
DiNitto: Opening Line Report - Week 14
News: 2016 Win Total Update
Dobish: Betting Recap - Week 13
News: SuperContest Picks - Week 13
Lawrence: Trends To Watch - December
Panthers undressed by Seahawks, 40-7
Raiders rally for 38-24 win over Bills
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
11-5 L4 Sundays, +1,240 TY
3-0 Sunday, 7-2 Guarantees TY
7-0 L2 Thurs., 15-6 L21 Totals
3-1 Sun, 11-4 G-Plays, 10-4 Totals
3-0 Week 13, 10-5 L15 G-Plays
20-8 L28 Totals, 26-13 L7 Sundays
11-4 L15 G-Plays, 30-16 L9 Sun.
4 Guaranteed Wins in a Row
12-5 L17 Totals, 27-15 L42 Picks
6-3 Last 9 NFL Selections
10-4 Record Last 4 Sundays
6-3 L9 Picks, 10-4 Totals TY
5-2 L2 Thursdays, 11-7 Sunday
NFL Pro Football Expert Sports Picks - Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets
2016 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Don Anthony + 1240
The Gold Sheet + 1089
Scott Pritchard + 385
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Pat Hawkins + 300
Dave Cokin + 300
Don Anthony + 290
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Don Anthony 61 %
The Gold Sheet 58 %
Scott Pritchard 57 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Pat Hawkins + 706
Scott Pritchard + 670
Brian Edwards + 506
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
Joe Williams + 816
Antony Dinero + 681
Pat Hawkins + 560
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Jimmy Boyd + 1095
The Gold Sheet + 767
Paul Bovi + 427
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Gold Membership