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ACC Report - Week 11

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Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 58% of his college football selections through 10 weeks. Don't miss out on Week 10 Winners!

ACC | Big Ten | Pac-12
We're back to the grind in the Atlantic Coast Conference after another marquee matchup failed to live up to its pre-hype billing. Miami hung with Florida State for about two and a half quarters before the Seminoles absolutely murdered the Hurricanes in the second half, covering the 22-point number to improve to 6-2 ATS this season. Now, Florida State tries to keep it together at Wake Forest, a team they have struggled against over the years.

Other than that game, there aren't a lot of interesting matchups for the general football fan, but for bettors, every game has its interesting points. One game, the Virginia-North Carolina game, will have the bettor's eyeballs focused on the total. The over has been the play for the Wahoos, while the under has cashed frequently for the Heels. The same holds true in that FSU-Wake game. The over is 7-1 for the 'Noles, but the under is 8-1 for the Deacs. Interesting angles to keep an eye on in Week 11.
2013 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 4-4 2-3 5-3 3-5
Clemson 8-1 6-1 4-5 6-3
Duke 6-2 2-2 6-2 3-5
Florida State 8-0 6-0 6-2 7-1
Georgia Tech 6-3 5-2 4-4-1 5-4
Maryland 5-3 1-3 5-3 5-3
Miami (Fla.) 7-1 3-1 4-4 3-5
North Carolina 3-5 2-3 4-4 1-7
North Carolina State 3-5 0-5 4-4 2-6
Pittsburgh 4-4 2-3 3-5 3-5
Syracuse 4-4 2-2 5-3 4-4
Virginia 2-7 0-5 3-5-1 7-2
Virginia Tech 6-3 3-2 3-5-1 2-6-1
Wake Forest 4-5 2-4 4-5 1-8


Florida State at Wake Forest (ABC - 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Seminoles of Florida State steamrolled another ACC and national championship contender last weekend against Miami, cementing their spot in the Top 2 of the BCS standings. It also helps tremendously that Oregon stumbled at Stanford Thursday night, strengthening Florida State's chances at a spot in the title game. First things first, though. FSU cannot afford to think big picture, and still need to take things one game at a time and avoid stumbling themselves. So far, that hasn't been a problem. After they trampled Clemson in Death Valley, they came home and annihilated North Carolina State leading up to their big game against Miami. So far, FSU has resembled a machine, and a well-oiled, focused machine, at that. They can clinch a second straight Atlantic Coast Conference Atlantic Division title with a win. They've won 12 in a row against ACC foes, and Wake Forest is 1-53 against Top 10 teams all-time, with their only success coming in a game back in 1946. That doesn't bode well for the Demon Deacons. While the Deacs are 6-2 ATS in their past eight against FSU, and the dog is 7-2 ATS in their past nine, it's awfully hard to take Wake and the points against this FSU team.

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Virginia at North Carolina (12:30 p.m. ET)
The Cavaliers have been horrible this season, winless in conference in five tries, and five games below .500 overall. But bettors shouldn't ignore UVA completely. While their ATS record is rather middlin, you'll notice above that the over has cashed in seven of their nine games. Of course, they face a Tar Heels team which has had the under cash in seven of their eight games. UVA has actually rebounded nicely after getting curb-stomped at home, going 3-0-1 ATS i ntheir past four games following a double-digit home loss. They are also 4-1 ATS in their past five against a team with a losing record, which UNC still possesses. However, UNC is 10-3 ATS in their past 13 at home. The Cavaliers have kept it close over the years against their rivals from the south, going 11-4 ATS in the past 15 meetings, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven trips to Chapel Hill.

North Carolina State at Duke (ESPNU, 4:00 p.m. ET)
The tables have turned in the Triangle. But North Carolina and North Carolina State have very slim chances of bowl eligibility, and are currently below .500, while the Duke Blue Devils are already bowl eligible, and flying high at 6-2. Head coach David Cutcliffe has done an amazing job getting the Dukies to a bowl in consecutive seasons for the first time in school history. As such, some shops have Duke favored by double-digits, while most others have them installed as a 9 1/2-point favorite. Either way, it's a role reversal from what we're used to seeing. NC State has won 11 of the past 12 meetings, but they were tripped up in the last meeting in 2009. The Wolfpack is just 2-7-1 ATS in their past 10 road games, and 2-5-1 in their past eight road games against a team with a winning record. The Blue Devils have piled up the wins against patsies - and the covers - going 4-1 ATS in their past five against teams with a losing record. They're also proficient at home, going 11-5 ATS in their past 16 at Wallace Wade. While NC State has covered four of the past five at Duke, the circumstances are much different. NC State was better in all of those games than they are now, and Duke was a much lesser team.

Virginia Tech at Miami, Fl. (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The Hokies are in a tailspin heading down to Miami, which might be just what the Hurricanes need after being exposed in Tallahassee. Miami was shown they are a good, but not great, team by FSU last weekend, and the clock finally struck midnight after UM nearly lost to North Carolina and Wake Forest in previous games. Va. Tech is 10-23-2 ATS in their past 35 games overall, and 1-9 ATS in their past 10 road games, including last weekend's shocking setback at Boston College. The Hurricanes have been dominant at home, going 8-2 ATS in their past 10. Sure, they didn't cover their last game against Wake at home, but they have been a different team at Sun Life Stadium. Keep in mind, though, the Hokies are 5-1 ATS in the past six trips to South Florida, and 9-3 ATS in the past 12 meetings. The dog is also 4-1 ATS in the past five outings. The under might also be a strong play, too, as it has cashed in five straight meetings in Miami, and eight of the past 10 in this series. Plus, the under is 5-1 in VT's past six ACC games, and 8-2-1 in their past 11 overall. The under is also 6-2 in Miami's past eight against winning teams, and 45-21-1 in their past 67 at home.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
In Notre Dame's past 10 wins, the margin of victory has been a touchdown or less. That's something to keep in mind if you plan to bet the Irish. They're a four-point favorite most everywhere, but if they do cover, it could still be a very close shave. The Irish is 3-1-1 ATS in their past five non-conference tilts, while Pitt is 8-1 ATS in their past nine home games against a team with a winning road record. The Panthers are also 15-7 ATS in their past 22 against winning teams. Pitt has definitely had Notre Dame's number lately, though, going 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings, while the dog is a whopping 7-0-1 ATS in the past eight in this series. However, the road team is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight, so that bodes well for Notre Dame.

Other Games
Syracuse at Maryland (3:30pm ET)
Boston College at New Mexico State (3:30pm ET)

Byes
Clemson, Georgia Tech

  
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Edwards: College Playoff Props
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Allen leads resurgent Arkansas attack
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Gordon eager for Wisconsin fall camp
Malone stars in Orange & White Game
Cross shines in Nebraska's spring game
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