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Pac-12 Report - Week 11

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Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 58% of his college football selections through 10 weeks. Don't miss out on Week 11 Winners!

Big Ten · ACC · Pac-12

We're back after a one-week hiatus, as the Pac-12 schedule was rather light last week. Hopefully you enjoyed the action in Week 10, and liked what you saw last night from two Pac-12 heavyweights.

The conference, and the college football world, are still abuzz about Stanford's impressive win against Oregon Thursday night, as one of the major dominoes in the national championship picture fell. Stanford pushed their way back into the conversation, but that loss at Utah is likely to realistically keep them from getting back into the picture.

USC is also getting back into the picture as far as a possible major bowl game, and they head to the Bay Area looking to keep things going. And another interesting game will be AZ State heading to Rice-Eccles in Salt Lake City to face Utah. Ask the Cardinal how tough the Utes can be at home, dashing dreams in the course of three and a half hours.
2013 PAC-12 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Arizona 6-2 3-2 4-4 3-5
Arizona State 6-2 4-1 5-3 7-1
California 1-8 0-6 2-7 3-5-1
Colorado 3-5 0-5 4-4 6-2
Oregon 8-1 5-1 7-2 5-4
Oregon State 6-3 4-2 4-5 5-4
Southern California 6-3 3-2 4-5 2-7
Stanford 8-1 6-1 5-4 4-5
UCLA 6-2 3-2 5-3 3-5
Utah 4-4 1-4 4-4 3-5
Washington 5-3 2-3 4-4 3-5
Washington State 4-5 2-4 6-3 5-3-1


Southern California at California (FOX, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Since Southern California dismissed head coach Lane Kiffin, the Trojans are suddenly a tough out again. Interim head coach Ed Orgeron has USC headed back in the right direction again, and the upward ascent looks to continue in the Bay Area against the lowly Bears. Cal has played a little better lately, though. While the wins haven't been there, bettors will take note that they have covered two straight games after going 0-7 ATS to start the season. Cal hasn't won against USC since the 2003 season, and that doesn't figure to change this time around. To make matters worse, the top defensive player for the Bears, LB Khairi Fortt (biceps), might not play due to injury. USC enters as more than a two-touchdown road favorite, but they are just 1-10 ATS in their past 11 road games. That cover came in their last road outing in Corvallis against Oregon State, however. Cal is an abysmal 1-8 ATS in their past nine at home, and just 5-17 ATS in their past 22 games overall. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings, and 4-0 ATS in their past four trips to Berkeley, while the road team is 12-5 ATS in the past 17. This one could get out of hand if WR Marqise Lee and the Trojans offense get loose, and with Fortt likely out, RB Silas Redd should see plenty of running room, too.

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Arizona State at Utah (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Not that AZ State has to prove themselves anymore, but we'll get an even better idea about this team in a tough road test in Salt Lake City. This team is battle tested this season already, with wins against USC, Washington and Washington, and near-misses against Notre Dame and Stanford. If there has been a chink in the armor for the Sun Devils, it's that they are 4-1 ATS at home, and 1-2 ATS in road or neutral-site games. They're also 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven on fieldturf. While the Utes are 2-6 ATS in their past eight against a team with a winning record, they are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 home games, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. If you plan on playing the total, there is a rather stark contrast between the two in terms of trends. The over is 4-0 in AZ State's past four road games, and 26-9 in their past 35 games overall. For Utah, the under is 5-0 in their past five, 4-0 in their past four against teams with a winning record, and 4-0 in their past four Pac-12 games. However, AZ State over bettors can take solace in the fact the over is 7-3 in Utah's past 10 home games overall.

Colorado at Washington (Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m. ET)
The Buffaloes head to Seattle, and it could get really ugly in a hurry. Colorado ranks 97th in the country in rushing defense, allowing 198.9 yards per game on the ground. That's not good news facing Washington RB Bishop Sankey, who is third in the nation with 145.3 rushing yards per game. The Buffs have dropped 13 straight Pac-12 games. They have also been piledriven by the Huskies in two meetings since joining the Pac-12, losing by a combined 90-27 score. This game might feature a similar 45-13 kind of score. The Buffs are 7-20 ATS in their past 27 conference tilts, and 6-17 ATS in their past 23 games against a team with a winning record. The Huskies are 8-2 ATS in their past 10 home games, and 6-1 ATS in their past seven home outings against a team with a losing road record. Lastly, CU is 0-4 ATS in their past four meetings against UW.

UCLA at Arizona (ESPN, 10:00 p.m. ET)
In perhaps the most interesting game of the weekend, we get an elimination game of sorts. A loss in this game surely knocks out the loser from winning the Pac-12 South Division, and a shot at a conference championship. If UCLA is to be successful, they'll need to rein in Arizona RB Ka'Deem Carey, who they completely shut down last season. UCLA has won seven in a row against south division opponents, so one has to give them to edge until someone knocks them off down south. The Wildcats are still smarting from a 66-10 beatdown from the Bruins Nov. 3, 2012, so look for revenge to be big on their minds. However, while the Wildcats have enjoyed a resurgence of sorts this season, they are 1-5 ATS in their past six against teams with a winning record, and must prove they can beat contenders before they are taken seriously again. The trends are all over the map, if you tend to bet that way, as the favorite is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings. However, the home team is 8-2 ATS in the past 10, and UCLA is 1-5 ATS in the past six, and 0-5 ATS in the past five journeys to Tucson.

Byes
Oregon State, Washington State



  
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