Sharp Moves - Week 11
November 14, 2013
By Mike Rose
Editor’s Note: Don't miss out on Week 11 Winners from Mike Rose on VegasInsider.com!
We're getting ready to head into another weekend of NFL betting action, and as always, there are a bunch of plays that are a lot sharper than others. Check out some of the best and brightest plays that are on the board in Week 11!
All public betting percentages courtesy of the VegasInsider.com matchups as of Thursday afternoon.
(Rotation #406) Buffalo -1 - The Bills hung in there against the Jets in the first meeting of the season even though they allowed 513 yards. They have to have this one if they are even remotely going to contend for a spot in the playoffs.
Opening Line: Pick 'Em
Current Line: Buffalo -1
Public Betting Percentage: 59% on New York
(Rotation #412) Miami +1 - QB Ryan Tannehill has been trying to carry this team, but with the Richie Incognito story seemingly dominating everything associated with the team, the losses are starting to pile up. Not all is lost though, especially with the Chargers coming in from the West Coast to try to win their first game in over two decades in South Beach.
Opening Line: Miami +1
Current Line: Miami +1
Public Betting Percentage: 77% on San Diego
(Rotation #423) Minnesota +12 - This is the oddest line movement of the week. Three offensive linemen are coming back this week for the Seahawks, and WR Percy Harvin is about set to make his debut for his new team against the team that traded him. And yet the line is moving in favor of Minnesota with nearly 60% of the betting action coming in on Seattle? That makes Minnesota as sharp as could be.
Opening Line: Minnesota +13 ½
Current Line: Minnesota +12
Public Betting Percentage: 59% on Seattle
(Rotation #230) Denver -9 ½ - It's tough to believe that the Broncos are actually sharp in this game, but they legitimately are. Kansas City is garnering a tremendous percentage of the action on Sunday Night Football this week, and the sharps think that it isn't justified. They aren't worried about QB Peyton Manning's injury, as he has been cleared to play for the most explosive offense in the NFL.
Opening Line: Denver -7 ½
Current Line: Denver -9 ½
Public Betting Percentages: 70% on Kansas City
7-0 L7, 11-2 L13 NFL Streak
4-0 LW, 13-5 Totals, 25-11 L7 Sun.
7-2 Run, 24-11 L7 Sundays
6-0 Guarantees, 4-1 Playoffs
9-3 Playoffs, 5-1 L6 Totals
7-1 Playoff Picks, 7-2 L9 G-Plays
6-0 L6 G-Plays, 5-2 Playoffs
12-3 L15 G-Plays, 12-4 L16 Picks
2-0 Sunday, 6-0 G-Play Run
4-0 L2 Sundays, 28-10 G-Play Run
7-2 L9 Picks, 6-1 L7 Totals
9-1 L5 Sun, 14-5 Run, 21-5 GPlays
9-4 L13 G-Plays, +1,845 Picks TY
5-0 Totals, 11-3 G-Plays, 9-4 Picks
9-2 L11 G-Plays, 64% +1,105 TY
2-0 Sunday, 6-1 L7 Guarantees
3-1 L2 Sat, 5-2 L3 Sun, 8-1 G-Plays
6-0 L6 Guarantees, 10-4 L14 Picks
2-0 Saturday, 11-4 L15 G-Plays
10-5, +756 Postseason Record
2-0 Sun, 3-1 L2 Sat, 12-3 G-Plays
4-2 LW, 8-3 L11 Guarantees
4-1 L2 Sundays, 5-0 L5 G-Plays
7-1 L8 G-Plays, 23-13 L36 Picks
6-2 L8 Picks, 12-4 L16 Totals
4-1 L5 Picks, 4-0 L4 Totals
3-0 Guarantees, 3-1 Last Week
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