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ACC Report - Week 12

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Editor's Note: Joe Williams has hit 59% of his college football selections through 11 weeks. Don't miss out on Week 12 Winners!

ACC | Big Ten | Pac-12

We're heading toward the finish line in the Atlantic Coast Conference. In fact, Clemson and Georgia Tech kicked off the weekend Thursday, and the Tigers blitzed the Yellow Jackets in the second half for a cover and win. The Tigers are now done with their conference portion of the schedule, with only games against The Citadel and South Carolina remaining. Meanwhile, Georgia Tech suffered a tough blow to their chances in the Coastal Division race.

The biggest game, incredibly enough, is the Miami-Duke battle at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham. Who would have thought that at the beginning of the season. The Hurricanes have slipped back to the pack, and good things are within reach for the Blue Devils if they can get it done on the field. That will be the big game to watch, as we figure out if Miami can get untracked, and if Duke is for real.

2013 ACC STANDINGS
Team SU Conference  ATS Over/Under
Boston College 5-4 2-3 5-4 4-5
Clemson 9-1 7-1 5-5 7-3
Duke 7-2 3-2 7-2 4-5
Florida State 9-0 7-0 7-2 8-1
Georgia Tech 6-4 5-3 4-5-1 6-4
Maryland 5-4 1-4 5-4 5-4
Miami (Fla.) 7-2 3-2 4-5 4-5
North Carolina 4-5 3-3 5-4 2-7
North Carolina State 3-6 0-6 4-5 3-6
Pittsburgh 5-4 2-3 4-5 3-6
Syracuse 5-4 3-2 6-3 4-5
Virginia 2-8 0-6 3-6-1 8-2
Virginia Tech 7-3 4-2 4-5-1 3-6-1
Wake Forest 4-6 2-5 4-6 2-8


North Carolina State at Boston College (12:30 p.m. ET)
The Eagles are going to be a popular pick this week, at least for trend bettors. First off, NC State is just 1-4 ATS in their past five ACC games, and 2-8-1 ATS in their past 11 road contests. They have also failed to cover in each of their past six outings on fieldturf. Meanwhile, BC is 4-0 ATS in their past four home games and 4-1 ATS in their past five ACC contests. However, they have managed a rather meager 8-17 ATS mark at home against visitors with a losing road record, and 7-22 ATS in their past 29 against sub-.500 teams overall. Still, the home team is 8-0 ATS in the past eight meetings, and NC State is 0-4 ATS in their past four forays into Chestnut Hill. BC is playing better ball, and they have the three-headed monster of QB Chase Rettig, RB Andre Williams and WR Alex Amidon, which can be hard to contain.

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North Carolina at Pittsburgh (12:30 p.m. ET)
Tar Heels head coach Larry Fedora was under considerable fire and scrutiny for the team's early-season slump. After a 1-5 start, UNC has come storming back to the precipice of .500 and bowl eligibility. Credit North Carolina for not quitting, and Fedora for not letting his team hang its head. In fact, the team has a little bit of swagger back, and heads up to the Steel City with an attitude. UNC is 4-0 ATS in the past four games, and 4-0 ATS in their past four ACC outings. Still, they need to prove they can win on the road. They're just 2-8 ATS in the past 10 road games, and 1-7 ATS in the past eight road games against a team with a winning home record. Pitt is 10-2-2 ATS in the past 14 against a team with a losing record, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are flying high after dropping Notre Dame last weekend. The 'under' might be the thing to focus on here. The under is 5-0 in UNC's past five road games, and 4-1 in their past five against a team wtih a winning record. The under has cashed in six straight for Pittsburgh after the over hit in their first three contests, and the under is 7-3 in their past 10 home games against a team with a losing road record. The line is set at 53, and that's looking awfully good.

Miami, Fl. at Duke (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Originally when I set my schedule of games to attend this season, I never expected Miami-Duke would have such heavy postseason implications. This is a historic season at Duke, as they have knocked off a ranked opponent, become bowl eligible for the second straight season for the first time in school history, and they are pushing for a spot in the ACC Championship Game. If they can beat the Hurricanes, they will be able to take one giant step toward fulfilling those dreams. Miami started out 7-0, but they were outclassed by Florida State and surprised last week by Virginia Tech in a maelstrom in South Florida. Now, they're just trying to save their season from crumbling, and get back into the major bowl game picture. Miami has failed to cover in four straight, but they are 9-4 ATS in their past 13 road games, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 on the road against a team with a winning home record. Duke is 12-5 ATS in the past 17 home games, and 4-0 ATS in their past four overall. The Blue Devils defense has been superb, but do they really have the horses to hang with the speedy Hurricanes? If so, a ranking in the AP Top 25 might be in store.

Syracuse at Florida State (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Seminoles have done a good job managing to stay focuses, and not let their heads get too big even after dismantling Clemson and Miami in pre-hyped games. Now, the focus turns to an off-field issue, as QB Jameis Winston made headlines this week after having his name included in a sexual assault complaint from Dec. 2012. The report seems a little sketchy, but the facts are still coming out. Still, can Winston and the Seminoles keep their eye on the prize? They're favored by 38 heading into the weekend against an Orange team which has ascended to the middle of the pack in the ACC. In fact, Syracuse is 10-3 ATS in the past 13 games dating back to last season, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven against winning teams. Still, they're just 2-6 ATS in their past eight trips against a team with a winning home record. And, Florida State has been a machine. They're 5-1 ATS in the past six home games, and 4-0 ATS in their past four home games against a team with a winning road record.

Already Played
Clemson, Georgia Tech

  
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