MNF - 49ers at Redskins
November 24, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
The 49ers and Redskins each won their divisions last season, but the two teams are going in different directions heading towards the postseason in 2013. San Francisco heads east for the second straight week looking to change its luck after getting squeezed at New Orleans last Sunday, while trying to stay within arms length of Seattle inside the NFC West.
The Niners were in line to grab the road win with a 20-17 lead late in the fourth quarter as San Francisco LB Ahmad Brooks sacked Saints' quarterback Drew Brees and caused a fumble. In spite of San Francisco recovering the fumble, Brooks was flagged for a personal foul and negating the turnover, even though the linebacker never hit Brees with his head.
New Orleans took advantage of the second chance by driving down to kick the game-tying field goal with two minutes remaining, then Garrett Hartley drilled the game-winner from 31 yards out to give the Saints a 23-20 triumph. The 49ers managed to cover as 3 ½-point road underdogs, but San Francisco backers felt like this team should have cashed outright. The two teams combined for just one touchdown in the second half, as the 'under' of 50 hit with little pressure.
The Redskins suffered their fourth consecutive road loss in a 24-16 setback at Philadelphia as 4 ½-point underdogs. Washington fell behind, 24-0 before scoring a pair of touchdowns in the fourth quarter, as the Eagles pulled off the season sweep of their division rivals. The Redskins rushed for 191 yards in the defeat, but Mike Shanahan's team dropped to 0-3 inside the NFC East.
New Orleans and Seattle will likely hold the top two seeds in the NFC playoffs, as San Francisco is going to fight it out with Detroit, Carolina, and Arizona for one of two Wild Card spots in the postseason. Washington started last season at 3-6, but found a way to pull off seven straight victories to finish 10-6. The Redskins sit in that same position this season with a 3-7 mark, but are just two back of Philadelphia in the loss column in the NFC East.
The last time these teams met up, came in 2011 at FedEx Field as the 49ers held off the Redskins, 19-11. San Francisco cashed as a four-point road favorite in spite of scoring just one touchdown, while knocking down four field goals from David Akers. The Niners received 105 yards on the ground from Frank Gore, as San Francisco is making its third visit to the Nation's Capital since 1999.
In spite of the two-game skid, Jim Harbaugh's team has covered six of the last seven games, including four straight away from Candlestick Park. Since the start of 2011, the Niners have compiled an 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS record as a favorite off a loss, with the lone straight-up defeat coming in Week 3 to Indianapolis. San Francisco has been terrific in the road favorite role since last October by winning and covering seven of the last eight opportunities.
This is the biggest number the Redskins will receive as a home underdog this season after splitting a pair of games as a one-point 'dog against the Bears and Lions. Washington fell to Detroit in Week 3, while outlasting Chicago in a wild victory in Week 7. In fact, the last time the Redskins receiving at least four points at FedEx Field came in 2011, as Washington cashed as 7 ½-point 'dogs in a 34-27 defeat to New England.
Favorites own a dreadful 4-7 ATS record on Monday nights this season, as Carolina's victory over New England last Monday snapped a three-game cover streak by underdogs. The 'under' has cashed in five of the last six Monday contests, with the lone 'over' barely cashing two weeks ago between Miami and Tampa Bay.
Both the 49ers and Redskins haven't dominated one way or the other in the totals department, but Washington is 4-1 to the 'over' the last five games. The Niners have drilled the 'under' the previous two games following a three-game streak of 'overs,' while posting a 3-2 mark to the 'over' on the highway this season.
San Francisco is listed as a 4 ½-point road favorite, while the total is set at 47. Game-time temperatures look to be in the mid-30's, as the contest kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
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