Week 13 Tips
November 29, 2013
By Kevin Rogers
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Cardinals at Eagles - 1:00 PM EST
Arizona: 7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS
Philadelphia: 6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS
Last week's results: The Cardinals won their fourth straight game as Arizona blew out Indianapolis, 40-11 as 3 ½-point home favorites. Arizona has scored at least 27 points in four consecutive games, while improving to 5-1 at University of Phoenix Stadium. The Eagles are riding a three-game winning streak, as Philadelphia is coming off the bye week. Chip Kelly's team snapped a 10-game skid at Lincoln Financial Field with a 24-16 triumph over Washington two weeks ago.
Previous meeting results: Arizona has won each of the last three matchups, including a 27-6 rout of Philadelphia last September in Glendale as three-point home underdogs. The last time the Cardinals ventured to Philadelphia, Arizona won outright as 13 ½-point 'dogs in 2011 with a 27-6 upset.
Betting notes: The Cardinals have hit the 'over' in five of the last six games, while Arizona has split eight contests this season against NFC opponents. The Eagles own a 1-4 SU/ATS record at Lincoln Financial Field this season, while winning five of seven games within the conference.
Titans at Colts - 1:00 PM EST
Tennessee: 5-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS
Indianapolis: 7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS
Last week's results: The Titans bounced back from consecutive home losses to beat the Raiders in the final seconds of a 23-19 road triumph last Sunday. Indianapolis allowed at least 38 points for the second time in three weeks after getting routed at Arizona, 40-11, while splitting its last six contests.
Previous meeting results: Tennessee built a 17-3 lead two weeks ago against Indianapolis, but the Colts rallied back to stun the Titans, 30-27 as 2 ½-point road favorites. The Colts rushed for three touchdowns, including the go-ahead scamper by Andrew Luck in the third quarter. Indianapolis has won and covered each of the last four meetings with Tennessee, while winning each of the past home matchups against the Titans.
Betting notes: The Titans have been involved in high-scoring games lately, posting 'overs' in six of the last eight contests, but Tennessee is 1-1-1 to the 'over' the previous three road games. Indianapolis is riding a five-game 'over' streak, while going 4-0 to the 'over' in the last four contests at Lucas Oil Stadium. Since losing to Jacksonville in Week 3 of the last season, the Colts have won and covered seven of the previous eight games against AFC South opponents.
Dolphins at Jets - 1:00 PM EST
Miami: 5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS
New York: 5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS
Last week's results: The Dolphins squandered a 16-3 lead in a 20-16 defeat to the red-hot Panthers. Miami failed to score a point in the second half, while rushing for just 52 yards in the home setback. The Jets suffered back-to-back losses for the first time this season, falling to the Ravens, 19-3 as four-point road 'dogs, while turning the ball over three times.
Previous meeting results: Five of the last seven matchups have been won by the road team, including both games last season. The Jets edged the Dolphins in overtime down in Miami, 23-20, to cash as one-point road favorites. Miami grabbed revenge with a 30-9 blowout of New York less than a month later at Met Life Stadium, improving to 4-1 the past five visits to New Jersey.
Betting notes: Since winning the first two road games, the Dolphins have lost and failed to cover in three straight away contests. The Jets are just 1-1 SU/ATS this season in the favorite role, which includes a home divisional win over the Bills in Week 3.
Broncos at Chiefs - 4:25 PM EST
Denver: 9-2 SU, 6-4-1 ATS
Kansas City: 9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS
Last week's results: The Broncos look to rebound from a devastating setback at New England last Sunday in overtime, 34-31. Denver threw away a 24-0 lead, while allowing three touchdown passes to Tom Brady in the second half. The Chiefs lost for the second straight week following a 9-0 start, while falling to another division opponent. Kansas City went back-and-forth with San Diego before allowing a late touchdown in a 41-38 defeat as short home favorites.
Previous meeting results: Two weeks ago, the Broncos handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season in a 27-17 home triumph as 7 ½-point 'chalk.' Denver became the first squad to score at least 20 points on Kansas City this season, while the Broncos improved to 4-1 in the last five matchups with the Chiefs.
Betting notes: The Broncos have finished 'over' the total in nine of 11 games this season, including a 4-1 mark away from Sports Authority Field. The Chiefs are listed as a home underdog for the first time since Week 16 of 2012 against the Colts, as Kansas City posted a 3-4 ATS record when receiving points last season at Arrowhead Stadium.
Bengals at Chargers - 4:25 PM EST
Cincinnati: 7-4 SU, 6-4-1 ATS
San Diego: 5-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS
Last week's results: The Bengals are fresh off the bye week as Cincinnati snapped a two-game skid two weeks ago in a 40-21 trouncing of the Browns. Cincinnati has won five of seven games since losing at Cleveland in its first matchup in September, while both losses in this stretch came in overtime. The Chargers saved their season in a dramatic 41-38 win at Kansas City, snapping a three-game skid. San Diego is in a good scheduling spot with four of the next five games in Southern California.
Previous meeting results: Cincinnati went to San Diego last December and knocked off the Chargers, 20-13, as the Bengals outscored the Chargers, 10-0 in the fourth quarter. The Bengals have covered each of the last three matchups with the Chargers since 2009, including two ATS wins in the underdog role.
Betting notes: Each of the last four road games for the Bengals have been decided by three points or less, while Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS away from Paul Brown Stadium this season. The Chargers have won just once in four opportunities coming off a victory this season, while going 1-4-1 ATS since 2012 off a road win.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
20-5 L25 Picks, 10-3 L13 G-Plays
3-1 Sunday, 19-8 L27, +1,147 TY
21-6 L2 Sundays, +1,270 TY
10-4 L4 Sundays, 17-9 This Year
4-2 Sunday, 14-5 L4 Sundays
3-1 Sunday, 15-6 This Season
5-1 +440 Sun., 11-4 +745 L15
8-3 L2 Sundays, 9-4 L13 Picks
3-1 Sunday, 7-3 L10 Selections
10-4 L14 Guaranteed Plays
3-1 G-Plays, 4-1 NFL Week 4