Jan 05, 2019
Sunday's Big 10 Tip Sheet
There were seven Big Ten teams ranked in the AP’s Top 25 heading into the New Year and five of those programs will be in action on this Sunday’s college basketball betting board. No. 21 Indiana gets things started on the road against No. 2 Michigan at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Later that afternoon, No. 24 Nebraska takes on No. 25 Iowa in Iowa City and the lone night game on the slate pits No. 22 Wisconsin on the road against Penn State in Happy Valley.
No. 21 Indiana Hoosiers at No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Michigan -8, Total 131 ½
Indiana has won its last seven games straight-up including a 3-0 record against the Big Ten. The Hoosiers went 4-3 against the spread during this same span after failing to cover in Thursday’s 73-65 victory against Illinois as 11-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER 142 points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight games behind a defense that is giving up 64.1 points per game.
The Wolverines come into this game with a perfect SU record of 14-0. However, Thursday’s 68-55 romp over Penn State as 11-point home favorites was the first time they covered in their last six games. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last their last eight contests. Freshman forward Ignas Brazdeikis posted a double-double in Thursday’s win with 16 points and 11 rebounds. He has exceeded his team-high 16.4-point scoring average in three of his last five starts.
-- The Hoosiers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 conference games and the total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 11 games played on Sunday.
-- The Wolverines have failed to cover in five of their last six games following a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four home games.
-- The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 16 meetings in Michigan.
No. 24 Nebraska Cornhuskers at No. 25 Iowa Hawkeyes (Big Ten, 5:30 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Nebraska -3 ½, Total 149 ½
The Cornhuskers’ four-game winning streak came to an end with Wednesday’s tight 74-72 loss to Maryland, but they still managed to cover as 2 ½-point underdogs on the road. They are 2-1 SU and ATS in the Big Ten with a previous victory against Illinois at home and a loss to Minnesota on the road. Nebraska is averaging 79.6 PPH behind senior guard James Palmer’s 20.1-point scoring average. The Cornhuskers are only allowing 59 points a game at the other end of the court.
Iowa is also coming off a loss with Thursday’s 86-70 setback against Purdue as a 9 ½-point road underdog. It is 0-3 (SU and ATS) in the conference following previous losses to Wisconsin at home and Michigan State on the road. The Hawkeyes are 11-3 SU with a 5-9 record ATS. Junior forward Tyler Cook scored 24 points while going 9-of-16 from the field in Thursday’s loss. He has scored at least 16 points in each of his last six starts.
-- The Cornhuskers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games coming off a SU loss.
-- The Hawkeyes have failed to cover in five of their last seven games following a SU loss and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 16 of their last 21 conference games.
-- The favorite has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six matchups in Iowa.
No. 22 Wisconsin Badgers at Penn State Nittany Lions (Big Ten, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Wisconsin -2, Total 130
Wisconsin should fall out of the rankings this upcoming week following its 59-52 loss to Minnesota on Thursday as a nine-point home favorite. This followed a road loss to Western Kentucky on Dec. 29 as a 6 ½-point favorite. The Badgers are 10-4 SU with an even 7-7 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in nine of those games. Senior guard Ethan Happ scored 17 points in the loss to Minnesota as the team’s leading scorer this season (19.1 points).
With that lopsided loss to Michigan, the Nittany Lions fell to 7-7 SU and 5-9 ATS on the year. The total stayed UNDER 128 points in the 13-point loss and it has stayed UNDER in nine of their 14 games overall. To make matters worse, head coach Patrick Chambers will be suspended for Sunday after an altercation with freshman guard Myles Dread in that last game.
-- The Badgers have covered in nine of their last 11 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games on the road.
-- The Nittany Lions are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight home games against a SU winning team.
-- Penn State has covered in five of its last seven home games against Wisconsin and the total has stayed UNDER in 17 of the last 25 meetings overall.