Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 10:00 AM
Big Monday Tip Sheet
Big Monday on ESPN starts things off with a big showdown in the ACC between the No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers and the No. 8 North Carolina Tar Heels in Chapel Hill.
Moving to the Big 12 in a 9 p.m. start, the No. 13 Kansas Jayhawks will be on the road against the TCU Horned Frogs. As a bonus tilt in that same conference, the Oklahoma Sooners go on the road to tangle with the Baylor Bears.
No. 3 Virginia Cavaliers at No. 8 North Carolina Tar Heels (ESPN , 7:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Virginia -1, Total 143
Coming off Saturday night’s 81-71 loss to Duke as a two-point home favorite, Virginia will look to avoid a straight-up two-game losing streak after losing just one other game all season long. At 20-2 SU overall with a 8-2 record in ACC play, the Cavaliers have now failed to cover in their last three games to fall to 16-6 against the spread. They are still a profitable 7-1 ATS on the road. The was the first time all season that Virginia’s defense allowed more than 72 points. Both losses have come against the Blue Devils.
North Carolina needed overtime to get past the Miami Hurricanes on Saturday in an 88-85 victory as a heavy 15 ½-point home favorite. The Tar Heels improved to 9-1 SU in the ACC as part of an overall record of 19-4. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games. This was just the second time they failed to cover in their current SU seven-game winning streak. The lone conference loss was against Louisville on Jan. 12. Freshman guard Coby White posted 33 points in Saturday’s win . He continues to lead North Carolina in scoring with 15.9 points per game.
-- The Cavaliers have covered ATS in seven of their first 10 ACC games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last for conference games before going 135 ½ points on Saturday night.
-- The Tar Heels are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and the total has gone OVER in three of those five contests.
-- Virginia has won the last three meetings both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
No. 13 Kansas Jayhawks at TCU Horned Frogs (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: TCU -2, Total 148
The Jayhawks are 2-3 both SU and ATS in their last five games, but they ran past Oklahoma State on Saturday as 10 ½-point home favorites. The total went OVER the closing 137 ½-point line in the win and it has gone OVER in four of their last six games. One of Kansas’s seven SU conference wins (against four losses) came against TCU on Jan. 9 with a 77-68 victory at home as a six-point favorite. Junior forward Dedric Lawson is averaging a team-high 19.6 points and he has eclipsed that average in three of his last five starts.
TCU improved to 5-5 SU in the Big 12 with back-to-back victories against Oklahoma State at home as an 8 ½-point favorite and Iowa State on Saturday in a 92-83 win as a 9 ½-point road underdog. The total has gone OVER in its last four games. Saturday’s win was the first time the Horned Frogs covered the closing number in their last four outings. Freshman guard Kendric Davis had the hot hand against Iowa State with a season-high 22 points.
-- The Jayhawks have failed to cover in their last four Monday games and the total has gone OVER in their last five games played on Monday.
-- The Horned Frogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games with the total going OVER in six of their last eight Monday games.
-- The favorite in this matchup has covered in three of the last five meetings with one of those games ending as a PUSH. The total has stayed UNDER in the last two games between the two.
Oklahoma Sooners at Baylor Bears (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: OFF
With Saturday’s 66-54 loss to Texas Tech as slight 1 ½-point home underdogs, the Sooners’ SU losing streak reached four games while going 1-3 ATS. They are now 3-8 SU in Big 12 play as part of an overall record of 15-9. They have gone 16-6-2 ATS with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in 15 of those 24 games. Oklahoma is allowing an average of 67.9 PPG, but it has allowed 70 points or more in six of its eight losses in the conference.
Baylor beat the Sooners 77-47 on Jan. 28 as a 5 ½-point home favorite as part of a six-game wining streak (SU and ATS). However, it has now lost its last two games (SU and ATS) with Saturday’s 70-63 setback against Kansas State at home in a game that closed as a PICK. The total went OVER 126 points on Saturday and it has gone OVER in nine of the Bears’ last 12 games. Baylor was without its top scorer against Kansas State with senior guard Makai Mason (16.1 PPG) sidelined with a foot injury. He is day-to-day for Monday night.
-- The Sooners are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in two of their last three games on the road.
-- The Bears have a 9-6 record ATS in their last 15 games at home with the total staying UNDER in nine of those games.
-- Baylor has won four of the last five meetings SU and it has a 5-1 edge in the last six games between the two. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings overall.