Ohio State vs. Purdue Predictions, Odds

  • December 16, 2020
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

The No. 20 Ohio State Buckeyes will open play in the Big Ten on the road against the Purdue Boilermakers. Game time on BTN from Mackey Arena is slated for 7 p.m. (ET).


Ohio State-Purdue Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Purdue -4
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 136.5

Odds Subject to Change

Purdue will start its conference schedule as a -4-point home favorite for Wednesday night’s matchup. The total line for this game has been set at 136.5 points. The Buckeyes have won their first five games straight-up as favorites in each contest, but they are 2-3 against the spread.

The spread topped 19 points in four of the five games. The total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four outings. Ohio State is 13-5 against the spread in its last 18 road games against Purdue. It has a 4-2 edge ATS in the last six meetings overall. The total has gone OVER in the Buckeyes’ last five road games.

Purdue has won four of its first six games SU with losses to Clemson and Miami in the ACC. It has failed to cover the spread in four of the six games with the total going OVER in four of six as well.

The Boilermakers closed out last season on a losing note with a 2-5 record SU in their last seven conference games. The total has gone OVER in six of their previous eight outings.


Betting Analysis – Ohio State Buckeyes

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-0
  • ATS: 2-3
  • SU - Home: 4-0
  • SU - Away: 1-0
  • O/U: 2-3

Ohio State’s toughest matchup in its SU five-game winning streak was a 90-85 victory against Notre Dame as a six-point favorite on Dec. 8.

Forward EJ Liddell scored 19 points against the Fighting Irish with 12 rebounds as Ohio State’s season leader in both categories. However, he missed his last start due to a non-COVID illness and he remains questionable for Wednesday’s game.

He is one of four Buckeyes averaging at least 13 points per game. Guard Duane Washington is scoring 14.8 PPG, but hitting just 38.1% of his shots from the field. Ohio State is scoring 80.4 PPG with a 44.2 field-goal percentage. That drops to 34.9% from outside the three-point line.

At the other end of the court, the team is allowing 64.2 points while pulling down 33.4 defensive rebounds a game.

Betting Analysis – Purdue Boilermakers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 4-2
  • ATS: 2-4
  • SU - Home: 4-0
  • SU - Away: 0-2
  • O/U: 4-2

Purdue had its issues against both ACC opponents it faced this season. A win on Wednesday would start its own conference play on a strong note.

A key to that win would be Trevion Williams. He is coming off a 30-point scoring effort his last time out. The junior forward is averaging a double-double with 13.3 points and 10.3 rebounds a game. He is one of five Boilermakers averaging at least nine PPG.

Overall, Purdue is scoring 73.7 points with 36.8 total rebounds a game. It matches up well against Ohio State shooting the ball (47.2%) while connecting on 37.8% of its three- point attempts.

The matchup on defense should be tight as well. The Boilermakers have a points-allowed average of 63.7 points with 26.3 rebounds a game on that end of the court.

Inside the Stats – Ohio State Buckeyes

  • PS/G: 80.4 (74th)
  • PA/G: 64.2 (77th)
  • Off Rtg: 118.9 (21st)
  • Def Rtg: 95 (144th)

Inside the Stats – Purdue Boilermakers

  • PS/G: 73.7 (169th)
  • PA/G: 63.7 (69th)
  • Off Rtg: 107.3 (104th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.7 (122nd)

Key Players to Watch

  • OHST - Duane Washington (14.8 PPG)
  • OHST - Justice Sueing (14 PPG, 4.4 RPG)
  • OHST - C.J. Walker (13.2 PPG, 4 APG)
  • PUR - Zach Edey (13.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG)
  • PUR - Trevion Williams (13.3 PPG, 10.3 RPG)

Ohio State-Purdue Predictions

The betting lines for this game will hinge on the availability of Liddell for the Buckeyes. Even if he goes, I like Purdue straight-up at home on the money line. With him in the lineup you will get a better number.

This should still remain a close game either way that goes right down to the end of the second half. In the end, the Boilermakers get the SU win.

The total line is another tough call based on Liddell’s playing status. My lean would be towards the OVER depending on where the game-time betting line is set. Betting trends and early results favor a higher scoring game.

  • Score Prediction: Purdue 78 Ohio State 71
  • Best Bets: Purdue -4
  • Best Bets: OVER 136.5

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