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NCAAB

Dec 22, 2020

Xavier vs. Creighton Predictions, Odds


  • December 23, 2020
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

This Wednesday afternoon’s featured matchup on FSI in the Big East pits the No. 22 Xavier Musketeers on the road against the No. 13 Creighton Bluejays. Tip-off is set for 3 p.m. (ET) at CHI Health Center.

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WHERE TO BET XAVIER-CREIGHTON

Xavier-Creighton Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Creighton -7
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 153.5

Odds Subject to Change

The Bluejays have been opened as six-point home favorites for Wednesday’s Big East showdown with the betting line for the total set at 153.5 points.

No. 22 Xavier will put its straight-up eight-game winning streak on the line. After failing to cover against the spread in three of their first games, the Musketeers are 4-0 ATS in their last four outings.

The total has gone OVER in six of the eight games. Head-to-head in this matchup, Xavier is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine road games against Creighton. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the last 10 meetings overall.

Creighton has won and lost some close calls this season at 6-2 SU with an even 4-4 record ATS. It is 2-1 SU (1-2 ATS) in Big East play. The total has gone OVER in six of the Bluejays’ last seven contests.

The total has gone OVER in five of Creighton’s last six conference games. It is 11-1 SU in its last 12 home games.

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Betting Analysis – Xavier Musketeers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-0
  • ATS: 5-3
  • SU - Home: 7-0
  • SU - Away: 1-0
  • O/U: 6-2

Xavier beat Cincinnati and Oklahoma SU as a three-point underdog in each game before opening its Big East schedule with a 91-88 victory against Marquette as a -2.5-point home favorite.

Adam Kunkel hit the game-winning three-point shot in that game as time expired. The guard is one of four Musketeers averaging at least nine points per game.

Forward Zach Freemantle tops that list with 17.5 points while adding 7.9 rebounds a game. Guard Paul Scruggs is a close second at 16.4 PPG. He leads the way in assists with 7.0.

With solid balance and decent bench depth, Xavier is averaging 84.1 points and shooting a solid 51.2% from the field. The team is connecting on 41.5% of its shots from three-point range.

Defensively, the Musketeers have held opposing teams to 68.8 PPG. They are pulling down a total of 38.6 rebounds with 34.8 on defense.

Betting Analysis – Creighton Bluejays

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 6-2
  • ATS: 4-4
  • SU - Home: 4-1
  • SU - Away: 2-1
  • O/U: 6-2

Creighton needed overtime to get past Connecticut on Sunday to avoid another close loss at home. The Bluejays came up five points short against Marquette in their Big East opener as -8.5-point favorites at home.

Leading a group of five players with at least 11 PPG, guard Denzel Mahoney tops the list with 15.3 points along with 5.1 rebounds. Guard Marcus Zegarowski is next with 14.3 points and a team-high 5.4 assists.

Overall, Creighton is putting up 85 points and pulling down 37.3 rebounds through its first eight games. This is another strong shooting team with a 50.4 field-goal percentage. This drops to 38.1% shooting three-point shots.

After allowing at least 73 points in each of their last five games, the Bluejays are giving up an average of 71.1 PPG. They are averaging 36.4 rebounds on that end of the court.

Inside the Stats – Xavier Musketeers

  • PS/G: 84.1 (39th)
  • PA/G: 68.8 (155th)
  • Off Rtg: 117.5 (24th)
  • Def Rtg: 96 (171st)

Inside the Stats – Creighton Bluejays

  • PS/G: 85 (35th)
  • PA/G: 71.1 (196th)
  • Off Rtg: 115.4 (33rd)
  • Def Rtg: 96.6 (178th)

Key Players to Watch

  • XAV - Zach Freemantle (17.5 PPG, 7.9 RPG)
  • XAV - Paul Scruggs (16.4 PPG, 7 APG)
  • CRE - Marcus Zegarowski (14.3 PPG, 5.4 APG)
  • CRE - Denzel Mahoney (15.3 PPG, 5.1 RPG)

Xavier-Creighton Predictions

This should be a fun game to watch with defense taking a back seat to hot shooters on either side of this matchup. This also opens an good opportunity to take Xavier SU on a favorable money line wager.

At the very least, take the Musketeers and the six points in a bet on the spread. I would also take the OVER on the total line. Once again, defense will not be a big factor in this game the way each team is putting points on the board.

  • Score Prediction: Xavier 82 Creighton 80
  • Best Bets: Xavier +6
  • Best Bets: OVER

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