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Michigan vs. Maryland Predictions, Odds

 

  • December 31, 2020
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

The final Big Ten college basketball matchup of 2020 pits the No. 16 Michigan Wolverines on the road against the Maryland Terrapins. Game time on New Year’s Eve from XFINITY Center is 7 p.m. with ESPN2 carrying the broadcast nationally.

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WHERE TO BET MICHIGAN-MARYLAND

Michigan-Maryland Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Pick em
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 142.5

Odds Subject to Change

This game has been opened as a PICK on the early betting lines with the total set at 142.5 points. Michigan has made its move in the national rankings behind a straight-up seven-game winning streak.

It has covered against the spread in four of its last five games with the total staying UNDER in three of the last four contests. The Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games with a 6-1 record ATS in their last seven December games.

The total has gone OVER in five of their last six road games against Maryland. The Terrapins are 1-2 SU (2-1 ATS) in Big Ten play as part of a 6-3 SU (5-4 ATS) record overall.

The total went OVER in Monday’s stunning road upset against Wisconsin and it has gone OVER in six of the first nine games. Maryland has lost two of its last three games against Michigan. The total went OVER in two of those meetings.

The series is tied 5-5 SU over the past 10 meetings. The Terrapins have a SU record of 18-2 in their last 20 games at home.

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Betting Analysis – Michigan Wolverines

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-0
  • ATS: 5-2
  • SU - Home: 6-0
  • SU - Away: 1-0
  • O/U: 4-3

During this perfect seven-game run, forward Isaiah Livers and center Hunter Dickinson have been instrumental in Michigan’s early success. They have combined to score an average of 30.7 points with 14 rebounds a game. Livers has connected on 42.1% of his attempts beyond the three-point line.

Three other players are averaging at least nine points per game as part of the Wolverines’ 82-point scoring average. They are shooting 51.5% from the field and 35.3% from three-point range. The team has also been solid under the boards with 41.1 rebounds a game. On the defensive end of the court, Michigan is holding opposing teams to 67.7 points to produce a healthy margin of victory. The tightest game was a 62-58 victory over Penn State on Dec. 13.

Betting Analysis – Maryland Terrapins

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 6-3
  • ATS: 5-4
  • SU - Home: 5-1
  • SU - Away: 1-2
  • O/U: 6-2-1

Maryland just caught everyone’s attention with that 70-64 road upset against No. 9 Wisconsin as a +9.5-point underdog. Guards’ Eric Ayala and Aaron Wiggins combined for 32 points to help pace that big win.

Ayala leads the team in scoring overall with 14.7 PPG while posting a 48.8 shooting percentage from the field. There are four different Terrapins averaging at least nine points a game. Forward Donta Scott (12.9 points) leads the way in rebounds with 6.9 as part of a team total of 36 a game.

Maryland is averaging 74.6 PPG while connecting on 48.3% of its shots from the field and 35.1% of its three-point attempts. It matches up well against Michigan defensively with a points-allowed average of 65.11 with 32 defensive rebounds.

Inside the Stats – Michigan Wolverines

  • PS/G: 82 (52nd)
  • PA/G: 67.7 (133rd)
  • Off Rtg: 113.9 (37th)
  • Def Rtg: 94 (125th)

Inside the Stats – Maryland Terrapins

  • PS/G: 74.6 (152nd)
  • PA/G: 65.1 (88th)
  • Off Rtg: 112.8 (45th)
  • Def Rtg: 98.5 (196th)

Key Players to Watch

  • MICH - Isaiah Livers (15.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG)
  • MICH - Hunter Dickinson (15.3 PPG, 8.4 RPG)
  • MARY - Eric Ayala (14.7 PPG)
  • MARY - Donta Scott (12.9 PPG, 6.9 RPG)

Michigan-Maryland Predictions

You have to be impressed with Maryland’s previous outing but knocking off a second-straight ranked opponent could be a tall task despite its recent record at home. Michigan has yet to be really tested this season but it has been solid on either end of the court covering every phase of the game.

My lean is towards the Wolverines getting the SU win on the road in a game that should remain tight to the final buzzer I would also go with the UNDER on the total.

Each side has been shooting the ball rather well. Yet, I see more of a defensive battle than the early betting line might suggest.

  • Score Prediction: Michigan 72 Maryland 69
  • Best Bets: Michigan SU
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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