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LSU vs. Florida Predictions, Odds

 

  • January 2, 2020
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

The LSU Tigers travel to Gainesville, Florida to face the Florida Gators. Tip is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. (ET) and will air on CBS from the Exactech Arena.

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WHERE TO BET LSU-FLORIDA

LSU-Florida Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Florida -2
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 152.5

Odds Subject to Change

The opening spread for this game is set at -2-points, favoring Florida. The Gators are 3-2 ATS this season and have won both of their games played at home. The Tigers are 3-4 ATS this season, although are winners in six of their last seven SU.

Despite this early success for Will Wade's club, LSU is still searching for its first road win this year (not counting a neutral court game vs. SIU-Edwardsville). The point total is set at 152.5, which can go in either direction. LSU is perfectly even at 3-3-1 O/U, while the Gators are 3-2 O/U this season.

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Betting Analysis – LSU Tigers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 6-1
  • ATS: 3-4
  • SU - Home: 6-0
  • SU - Away: 0-1
  • O/U: 3-3-1

LSU is a dangerous team with almost no recognition of being one. The Tigers average a scary 86.9 points per game, which quietly ranks 17th nationally. The Tigers also hold the sixth-most efficient offense in the country with a 121.6 rating.

The fewest amount of points LSU has scored is 77, which occurred in its last game against Texas A&M. LSU has seen 81 or more points in all six games prior, which begins with Cameron Thomas. Thomas averages 24 points per game, one of the country's best scorers. This team is loaded with talent outside Thomas though, seeing four players average 13.5 points or more per game.

Darius Days leads the team in rebounds, with 8.6 per game and will be key in winning the glass battle against Florida. To be honest, winning the glass game might not matter with the amount of ways LSU can score.

LSU ranks 15th nationally in overall field goal percentage (51%), 11th nationally in two-point percentage (62%), 80th nationally in three-point percentage (37%), 16th nationally in free throw percentage (78%) and 17th nationally in total points scored per game. There isn't an area from the court in which LSU can't score points from.

Betting Analysis – Florida Gators

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 4-1
  • ATS: 3-2
  • SU - Home: 2-0
  • SU - Away: 2-1
  • O/U: 3-2

It's hard to wager on Florida, that is until we get a better read of this team without star Keyontae Johnson. For those unaware, Johnson suffered a scary collapse a few weeks ago during the game. He has since left a hospital coma, but his playing status for the future is uncertain.

Johnson will coach from the sidelines and try to guide his team mentally instead. The burden now falls on Tre Mann and Scottie Lewis to perform well, which they can. Mann averages solid numbers across the board, while Noah Locke's role becomes even more crucial in Florida's offense.

Also expect Colin Castleton and Tyree Appleby to see an increase in minutes. If they can produce anything near their season averages (9.8 points and 8.4 points, respectively), then Florida might hang around.

Florida's offense is capable of going toe-to-toe with LSU's, but it's uncertain how much the loss of Johnson will hurt the current statistical data Florida has this season (82.8 points per game).

Inside the Stats – LSU Tigers

  • PS/G: 86.9 (17th)
  • PA/G: 66.3 (99th)
  • Off Rtg: 121.6 (6th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.8 (109th)

Inside the Stats – Florida Gators

  • PS/G: 82.8 (41st)
  • PA/G: 66.8 (113th)
  • Off Rtg: 110.4 (61st)
  • Def Rtg: 89.1 (53rd)

Key Players to Watch

  • LSU - Cameron Thomas (24.1 PPG)
  • LSU - Darius Days (15 PPG, 8.6 RPG)
  • UF - Tre Mann (14.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 4.6 APG)
  • UF - Scottie Lewis (13.4 PPG, 5 RPG)

LSU-Florida Predictions

LSU is the more intriguing pick here, mainly because Florida is a question mark without Johnson playing. Florida can win this game, and may even play some inspirational ball. That's probably why they're favored to win, as LSU seems to be the much more consistent team (especially on offense).

The point total is a bit of a toss up, but with a two point spread you're basically picking a winner here. The oddsmakers and computer projections all like Florida but LSU's offense will be tough to stop. Add the Gators missing their best player LSU covering seems like a better bet, as Florida can win this game in buzzer beater fashion.

  • Score Prediction: Florida 75 LSU 74
  • Best Bets: LSU +2

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