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Virginia Tech vs. Virginia Predictions, Odds


  • January 2, 2020
  • By Thom Cunningham

The Virginia Tech Hokies battle inter-state rival the Virginia Cavaliers in a top-25 matchup. The game is set to begin at 2:00 p.m. (ET) from Charlottesville, Virginia in the John Paul Jones Arena.



Virginia Tech-Virginia Betting Odds

Line Movements
  • Spread: Virginia -6
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 122.5

Odds Subject to Change

Virginia enters this game as a -6-point home favorite against the Hokies. Virginia is just 4-3 ATS this season, along with a 4-1 SU record when playing at home. Virginia Tech is the road underdog, 8-1 SU but only covering the spread in five of those games.

The point total is set at 122.5, which could go either way. Virginia is a defensive club, going UNDER in four of seven games this season. Virginia Tech, although also defensive, typically goes OVER with a 7-2 O/U this season.


Betting Analysis – Virginia Tech Hokies

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-1
  • ATS: 5-4
  • SU - Home: 1-1
  • SU - Away: 1-0
  • O/U: 7-2

The Hokies are riding high, winners in eight of their last nine games which includes an overtime win over Villanova. Virginia Tech has scored 80 or more points in three straight games, but that will surely change when the Hokies lineup across from Tony Bennett's Cavaliers.

Not that Virginia Tech can't win a defensive game, because they can. The Hokies were able to win a low-scoring game against a good defensive team in Clemson. Also, Virginia Tech has held opponents to 60 points or less in five of its last seven games.

There is reason to believe Virginia Tech can play just as good of defense as Virginia, maybe not as consistently. The Hokies are led by Keve Aluma on both offense and defense. Defensively, Aluma averages 0.8 steals per game and leads the team in blocks with 1.2 per game.

Aluma also averages the most points per game on Virginia Tech (16) and the most rebounds (6.7). Nahiem Alleyne and Tyrece Radford are also huge contributors, each averaging a double-digit point total. Aluma will need to take this game over at one point or another to help charge his team through the gritty Virginia defense.

Make no mistake about it, Aluma's play will dictate Virginia Tech's fate in Charlottesville, much like Trey Murphy will for Virginia (will get to in a minute). Both teams play good defense without many steals, so this game could come down to the more consistent offense.

If it does, then the edge may go to Virginia Tech who makes 8.9 three-pointers per game which ranks 65th nationally. If Virginia Tech can hit three's then they should be within reach (Alleyne and Jalen Cone), but once again that circles back to Aluma and whether he can push his team through the finish line.

Betting Analysis – Virginia Cavaliers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-2
  • ATS: 4-3
  • SU - Home: 4-1
  • SU - Away: 1-1
  • O/U: 3-4

As mentioned, Virginia is a defensive team. The Cavaliers rank 28th nationally in points allowed per game, although their defensive rating has taken a hit after facing Gonzaga. Virginia was able to get back to defensive basketball, holding Notre Dame to just 57 points in its last outing.

Outside of Gonzaga, the most points Virginia allowed this season is 64 - which went into overtime. The Cavaliers have three players who average 0.7 steals per game in Trey Murphy, Casey Morsell and Thomas Woldetensae.

Of the three, Murphy is the most important player as he averages 11.1 points per game. Outside of Sam Hauser and Jay Huff, the play of Murphy (on offense and defense) will be a big difference in whether or not Virginia can win this rivalry home game.

Inside the Stats – Virginia Tech Hokies

  • PS/G: 75.6 (126th)
  • PA/G: 64.2 (59th)
  • Off Rtg: 110.4 (62nd)
  • Def Rtg: 93.8 (120th)

Inside the Stats – Virginia Cavaliers

  • PS/G: 73.3 (163rd)
  • PA/G: 60.7 (28th)
  • Off Rtg: 117.4 (19th)
  • Def Rtg: 97.3 (173rd)

Key Players to Watch

  • VT - Keve Aluma (16 PPG, 6.7 RPG)
  • VT - Tyrece Radford (10.8 PPG, 5.9 RPG)
  • UVA - Sam Hauser (12.9 PPG, 6.4 RPG)
  • UVA - Jay Huff (11.7 PPG, 6 RPG)

Virginia Tech-Virginia Predictions

Can Virginia Tech score 60 points in this game? They can, but can Virginia score 60 points as well? It's tough to gauge if both team can actually touch 60 points, with the defenses begin so productive. 122.5 is extremely low, and Virginia Tech has gone OVER in seven of its last nine games.

With this game so close, it's tough to go against Virginia at home. Tony Bennett's club has been consistently good on defense for years now. At home, it should be no different unless the Hokies have an offensive outpour which is unlikely. This is a tough game to pick but lean with Virginia's style and success at home more times than not.

  • Score Prediction: Virginia 65 Virginia Tech 57
  • Best Bets: UNDER
  • Best Bets: Virginia

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