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Arkansas vs. Tennessee Predictions, Odds


  • January 5, 2020
  • By David Schwab

The Arkansas Razorbacks head to Thompson-Boling Arena this Wednesday night to face the No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers. Tip-off on ESPN2 for this SEC tilt is set for 7 p.m. ET.



Arkansas-Tennessee Betting Odds

  • Spread: Tennessee -8.5
  • Money-Line:
  • Total: 142.5

Odds Subject to Change

Tennessee is set as an 8 ½-point home favorite against the Razorbacks. The betting line for the total is 142.5 points.

Arkansas was knocking on the door of the national rankings at 9-1 straight-up with a 6-3 record against the spread. However, the lone loss was to Missouri by 13 points as a 6 ½-point home favorite this past Saturday. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in the last five games.

The Razorbacks have a SU 7-3 edge in the last 10 games of this series with an even mark of 5-5 ATS. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games between these SEC foes.


The total has gone OVER in nine of Arkansas’s last 10 road games.

Tennessee lost some ground in the national rankings with Saturday’s eight-point home loss to Alabama as a 10-point favorite. This was the Volunteers’ first SU loss of the season against seven wins. They are 6-2 ATS with the total the total staying UNDER in six of eight games.

The total has gone OVER in five of Tennessee’s last six home games against Arkansas. The total has gone OVER in the last six meetings overall.

Betting Analysis – Arkansas Razorbacks

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-1
  • ATS: 5-3-1
  • SU - Home: 8-1
  • SU - Away: 1-0
  • O/U: 5-3-1

One of the reasons Arkansas was not ranked after its 9-0 start was the level of competition. Its tightest spread was 3 ½ points as a road favorite against Auburn.

To make impression on the polls with a win on Wednesday, guards’ Moses Moody (16.9 points) and JD Notae (15.4 points) will need a good night shooting the ball. The Razorbacks will be without forward Justin Smith (ankle) for the near future. He was one of five players averaging at least 10 points per game.

This all adds up to a scoring average of 88.5 points with a shooting percentage of 45.0 percent from the field. This drops to 33.7 percent from beyond the three-point line.

Arkansas is pulling down 44.3 rebounds a game, including 35.2 on defense. It is allowing an average of 65.9 PPG.

Arkansas travels to Knoxville looking to bounce back from a home loss to Missouri. (AP)

Betting Analysis – Tennessee Volunteers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-1
  • ATS: 6-2
  • SU - Home: 6-1
  • SU - Away: 1-0
  • O/U: 2-6

Tennessee could be without its top shooter on Wednesday with guard Jaden Springer listed as questionable with an ankle injury. He is shooting 54.7 percent from the field with 10.6 PPG.

Guard Victor Bailey Jr. is the team’s leading scorer with 13.0 PPG. He his connecting on 47.5 percent of his shots from the field. Forward John Fulkerson is averaging 11.1 points and 6.1 rebounds a game.

The Volunteers are averaging 77.6 points on offense while giving up just 55.0 points at the other end of the court. They are shooting 45.5 percent from the field and 35.3 percent from three-point range.

Tennessee matches up well with the Razorbacks under the boards. It averages 40.8 rebounds a game with 30.8 on defense.

Inside the Stats – Arkansas Razorbacks

  • PS/G: 88.5 (9th)
  • PA/G: 65.9 (89th)
  • Off Rtg: 110.6 (36th)
  • Def Rtg: 93.3 (44th)

Inside the Stats – Tennessee Volunteers

  • PS/G: 77.6 (93rd)
  • PA/G: 55.0 (2nd)
  • Off Rtg: 110.1 (43rd)
  • Def Rtg: 86.4 (1st)

Key Players to Watch

  • ARK - Moses Moody (16.9 PPG, 6.1 RPG)
  • ARK - JD Notae (15.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG)
  • TEN - Victor Bailey, Jr. (13.0 PPG, 2.5 RPG)
  • TEN - John Fulkerson (11.1 PPG, 6.1 RPG)

Arkansas-Tennessee Predictions

The Razorbacks came up well short in their first real test of the season against Missouri. The Volunteers will look to return to form after stumbling against Alabama. This adds up to a Tennessee victory at home that covers the current seven-point spread.

I would also expect to see a much more solid effort from the Volunteers’ stingy defense after allowing 71 points in the loss to Alabama. This effort should keep yet another game from going OVER the total line.

  • Score Prediction: Tennessee 75, Arkansas 63
  • Best Bets: Tennessee -8 ½
  • Best Bets: Under 142.5

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