Indiana vs Wisconsin Predictions, Odds


  • January 7, 2020
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

The Indiana Hoosiers visit the Kohl Center on Thursday night to square off against the No. 8 Wisconsin Badgers. This 7 p.m. (ET) Big Ten matchup will be covered nationally by FS1.

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Indiana-Wisconsin Betting Odds

  • Spread: Wisconsin -7
  • Money-Line: Wisconsin -360 Indiana +280
  • Total: 129

Odds Subject to Change

The Badgers host the Hoosiers as seven-point home favorites with the betting line for the total listed at 129 points.

Indiana is off to an even 2-2 straight-up start in the Big Ten as part of a 7-4 record overall. It has failed to cover against the spread in three of those four games. The has stayed UNDER in five of its last seven games overall.

The Hoosiers are just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games against Wisconsin. The total has been evenly split at 5-5. That record drops to 0-10 SU in their last 10 road games against their Big Ten foes.They are 2-4 ATS in their last six conference games.

Wisconsin bounced back from a home loss to Maryland with last Thursday’s 12-point win at home against Minnesota. It is 9-2 SU overall while covering ATS in five of its last seven contests.

The total has gone OVER in seven of 11 games this season. The total has gone OVER in eight of the Badgers’ last 12 conference games. Yet, it has stayed UNDER in four of its last six games against Indiana.

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Betting Analysis – Indiana Hoosiers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-4
  • ATS: 7-4
  • SU - Home: 5-2
  • SU - Away: 2-2
  • O/U: 4-7

Indiana knocked off Maryland 63-55 on Monday night to cover as a five-point home favorite. Trayce Jackson-Davis led the way with 22 points and 15 rebounds but he is still dealing with a minor foot injury.

The sophomore forward leads the team in both points (20.3) and rebounds (8.9). Another Hoosier on the latest injury report is guard Armaan Franklin as the second-leading scorer with 12.7 points per game. He is actually listed as questionable with an injured ankle. Indiana is averaging 71.8 PPG and shooting 45.8% from the field.

That percentage drops to 32.7 from three-point range. Of the team’s 35.1 rebounds a game, they are mainly on the defensive end of the court. The Hoosiers are giving up 64.6 PPG.

Betting Analysis – Wisconsin Badgers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-2
  • ATS: 5-5-1
  • SU - Home: 8-1
  • SU - Away: 1-1
  • O/U: 7-4

After getting stunned by Maryland at home by six points as -9.5-point favorites, the Badgers returned to form against Minnesota. Micah Potter was the difference with 18 points and 11 rebounds.

The senior forward is averaging 12.7 points with a team-high 7.3 rebounds. Guard D’Mitrik Trice leads the way in scoring with 14.2 points and he is adding 3.4 assists a night. Wisconsin’s lineup runs deep with scorers. It boasts a total of five players scoring in double figures.

This adds up to 76.2 PPG with the team shooting 46.7% from the field and 41.4% from three-point range. The Badgers matchup with Indiana under the boards with 34.6 rebounds a game and they have a points-allowed average of 60.5.

Inside the Stats – Indiana Hoosiers

  • PS/G: 81.6 (46th)
  • PA/G: 72.5 (237th)
  • Off Rtg: 112.1 (20th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.8 (36th)

Inside the Stats – Wisconsin Badgers

  • PS/G: 82.6 (35th)
  • PA/G: 68.1 (144th)
  • Off Rtg: 115.5 (7th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.9 (29th)

Key Players to Watch

  • IND - Trayce Jackson-Davis (20.3 PPG, 8.9 RPG)
  • WIS - D'Mitrik Trice (14.2 PPG)
  • WIS - Micah Potter (12.7 PPG, 7.3 RPG)

Indiana-Wisconsin Predictions

While Jackson-Davis remains probable for Indiana on Thursday night, Franklin’s playing status is something to keep an eye on. Even at full strength, the Hoosiers have a tall task ahead of them just to cover in this matchup. Getting tripped up by Maryland at home is another motivational factor for the Badgers to win and cover the spread.

My lean on the total line for this game is the UNDER on the current line. I have Wisconsin’s defense keeping Indiana in check to turn this into an even lower scoring game than the betting line suggests.

  • Score Prediction: Wisconsin 67 Indiana 58
  • Best Bets: Wisconsin -7
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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