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USC vs. Arizona Predictions, Odds

 

  • January 7, 2020
  • By Thom Cunningham
  • VegasInsider.com

The USC Trojans hit the road and travel to Tucson to take on the Arizona Wildcats. Tip for this Pac-12 game is set for 9 p.m. (ET) and will air on ESPN2 from the McKale Center.

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WHERE TO BET USC-ARIZONA

USC-Arizona Betting Odds

  • Spread: Arizona -4
  • Money-Line: USC +130 Arizona -159
  • Total: 140.5

Odds Subject to Change

The USC Trojans enter this game as the road underdog, given a +5-point spread. This makes sense, as Arizona is not only at home but has seen a few impressive wins as of lately. USC is 5-3 ATS this season, while Arizona is actually 4-6.

The point total is set at 140.5. USC is split, going 4-4 on the O/U this season. Arizona has gone OVER the point total in six of its last 10 games played this season.

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Betting Analysis – USC Trojans

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 6-2
  • ATS: 5-3
  • SU - Home: 5-2
  • SU - Away: 1-0
  • O/U: 4-4

USC's strength is the defense, allowing the 35th-fewest amount of points per game (62.5) along with the 43rd-most efficient defense in the nation (89). USC has only allowed 63 points or less in six of its last eight games, allowing over that total in game one against Cal Baptist (in overtime) and Colorado.

The team is long, beginning with seven-footer Evan Mobley who leads the team with 15 points and eight rebounds per game. He also averages 2.9 blocks per game, as the Trojans average 5.9 per game which ranks eighth nationally. USC also averages 41.5 rebounds per game which ranks 32nd nationally, and the 52nd-most two-pointers made per game.

With all these inside stats, the Trojans shoot the 79th-best three-point percentage at 37%. Mobley is one of five Trojans shooting 41% or better from beyond the arc. USC also allows a 25% three-point percentage to conference opponents, which ranks as the best in the Pac-12.

Betting Analysis – Arizona Wildcats

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-1
  • ATS: 4-6
  • SU - Home: 7-0
  • SU - Away: 2-1
  • O/U: 6-4

Arizona is quietly impressing this year, all for nothing, as the Wildcats recently announced they're putting themselves on postseason banishment this season. A self-imposed penalty rarely impacts the NCAA ruling after a completed investigation, but for now the Wildcats are out of March Madness.

That doesn't impact this team's talent however, or betting on them. Arizona presents of of the most efficient teams in the nation, a top 55 rating on both sides of the court.

Arizona has the 50th-best offensive rating (110.8) along with the 54th-best defense rating (90.4). Also, the Wildcats are a dangerous team at the McKale Center. The proof is on the wall, as Arizona manhandled a top defensive team in Colorado with 50 first half points. Yes, 50.

Arizona has four players average a double-digit point total, beginning with James Akinjo. He is also the team's leading passer with 5.1 assists per game, was Arizona's 152 assists is the 63rd-most nationally.

This is a very sound team, with great team totals across the board. Arizona has the seventh-most free throw attempts, while hitting the eighth-most in the nation. They also have 426 total rebounds, which ranks 27th nationally. Arizona also has 49 total blocks, which ranks 20th in the nation.

Inside the Stats – USC Trojans

  • PS/G: 76.4 (107th)
  • PA/G: 62.5 (35th)
  • Off Rtg: 108.7 (77th)
  • Def Rtg: 89 (43rd)

Inside the Stats – Arizona Wildcats

  • PS/G: 79.3 (73rd)
  • PA/G: 64.7 (72nd)
  • Off Rtg: 110.8 (50th)
  • Def Rtg: 90.4 (54th)

Key Players to Watch

  • USC - Evan Mobley (15 PPG, 8 RPG)
  • USC - Tahj Eddy (12 PPG)
  • ZONA - James Akinjo (14.2 PPG, 5.1 APG)
  • ZONA - Jemarl Baker (13.7 PPG)

USC-Arizona Predictions

Arizona is the better team and playing at home. The efficiency on both side of the court, for both teams, makes the point total a bit hazy to touch. USC might cover, as they are the better team in terms of the ATS.

It's tough to bet against the Wildcats at home, especially against a stout defense in USC. However, Arizona's offensive influx at home against a better defense in Colorado can't be ignored. Arizona should win this game SU, while the solid defenses paired with Arizona's potential offensive outburst makes the point total market one to probably stay away from in this one.

  • Score Prediction: Arizona 78 USC 71
  • Best Bets: Arizona SU

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