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Virginia vs. Clemson Predictions, Odds

 

  • January 16, 2021
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

Saturday’s late afternoon schedule features an interesting matchup in the ACC between the No. 18 Virginia Cavaliers and the No. 12 Clemson Tigers at Littlejohn Coliseum. Game time on ESPN is slated for 6 p.m. (ET).

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WHERE TO BET VIRGINIA-CLEMSON

Virginia-Clemson Betting Odds

  • Spread: Clemson -2
  • Money-Line: TBD
  • Total: 116.5

Odds Subject to Change

Clemson gets the nod from the Oddsmakers as a slight two-point home favorite. The total for Saturday’s game opened at 116.5 points. Virginia is 8-2 straight-up with a 6-4 record ATS.

They're starting to find their form in the ACC at 4-0 SU with a 3-1 mark ATS. The total has gone OVER in three of its last five games.

The Cavaliers have dominated this series in recent years at 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. They have covered in four of their last five road games against Clemson. Virginia is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 ACC games.

The Tigers have won nine of their first 10 games SU with the lone loss to Virginia Tech. They're 3-1 SU in conference play but just 1-2-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in four of their last five outings.

The total has stayed UNDER in four of Clemson’s last six games against Virginia. Yet, it has gone OVER in four of its last five conference games.

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Betting Analysis – Virginia Cavaliers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-2
  • ATS: 6-4
  • SU - Home: 6-1
  • SU - Away: 2-1
  • O/U: 5-5

Jay Huff scored 18 points in Virginia’s recent 80-68 victory over Notre Dame as a -9.5-point home favorite. Sam Hauser also helped to pace that win with 15 points and nine rebounds. These two forwards have been setting the pace all season long as the team’s top two scorers.

Hauser (13.8 points) also leads the way in rebounds (7.5). Huff is connecting on 65.4% of his shots from the field. The Cavaliers are averaging 72.4 points per game while shooting 49.7% from the field and 36.4% from three-point range.

Total rebounds have not been a strong suit with 32.3 a game. Known for its stout defense over the years, Virginia is holding opposing teams to 60.3 PPG with 29.4 rebounds at that end of the court.

Betting Analysis – Clemson Tigers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-1
  • ATS: 6-3-1
  • SU - Home: 6-0
  • SU - Away: 3-1
  • O/U: 5-5

Clemson owes a great deal of its early success this season to forward Aamir Simms with a team-high 12.6 points and 5.8 rebounds a game.

He is joined by guards’ Nick Honor (10.7 points) and Al-Amir Dawes (9.7 points) as the bulk of the Tigers’ offensive output. Everything adds up to a team scoring average of 68.3 PPG.

The Tigers are shooting 42.7% from the field and 33.9% from outside the three-point line. They are pulling down an average of 34.5 rebounds a game.

What really has Clemson ranked No. 12 in the nation is a shutdown defense that is only giving up an average of 57.6 points a game. This defense is also holding opposing teams to a 29.9 shooting percentage from three-point range.

Inside the Stats – Virginia Cavaliers

  • PS/G: 72.4 (180th)
  • PA/G: 60.3 (14th)
  • Off Rtg: 117 (11th)
  • Def Rtg: 97.4 (167th)

Inside the Stats – Clemson Tigers

  • PS/G: 68.3 (252nd)
  • PA/G: 57.6 (6th)
  • Off Rtg: 100.3 (198th)
  • Def Rtg: 84.6 (8th)

Key Players to Watch

  • UVA - Sam Hauser (13.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG)
  • UVA - Jay Huff (12.9 PPG, 5.8 RPG)
  • CLEM - Aamir Simms (12.6 PPG, 5.8 RPG)
  • CLEM - Nick Honor (10.7 PPG)

Virginia-Clemson Predictions

Virginia may have dominated this series for the past several seasons but this is one of Clemson’s best teams in recent memory. The Tigers have yet to beat one of the elite teams in the ACC but Saturday is a golden opportunity for a statement victory.

This one should be a grinder from start to finish and I'm taking Clemson to grind out the win both SU and ATS. Each of these teams have been drawing some low total lines from the oddsmakers in recent games, so expect this one to be even lower than normal.

Yet, defense is going to dictate the outcome one way or the other. Defense is also going to keep this game UNDER the current line.

  • Score Prediction: Clemson 59 Virginia 56
  • Best Bets: Clemson -2
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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