Clemson vs. FSU Predictions, Odds

  • January 23, 2021
  • By Thom Cunningham

The Clemson Tigers look to get back into the win column, as they travel to Tallahassee to face the Florida State Seminoles. Tip for the big ACC clash is set for 3 p.m. (ET) and will air on ABC.



Clemson-FSU Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: FSU -7
  • Money-Line: FSU -400 Clemson +295
  • Total: 135.5

Odds Subject to Change

FSU enters this home game as the -7-point favorite, with Clemson as the underdog after losing back-to-back ugly games. The teams are a combined 12-9-1 on the ATS this season, essentially split.

The point total is a tricky 135.5, as Clemson has a lock down defense but has gone OVER in seven in 12 games this season. FSU has gone OVER in six of 10 games played this season.

Betting Analysis – Clemson Tigers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-3
  • ATS: 6-5-1
  • SU - Home: 6-1
  • SU - Away: 3-2
  • O/U: 7-5

Clemson is going off back-to-back losses to both Virginia and Georgia Tech, neither looking good for the Tigers. Clemson won nine of 10 games before losing to the mentioned schools by double-digits each. Also, the tough Clemson defense that allows the 25th-fewest points per game nationally allowed 83 and 85 to the schools mentioned.

Lots of work needs to be done if Clemson wants to pull off a tough road upset, as FSU is almost unbeatable in Donald L. Tucker. The offense for Clemson ranks 284th in points per game, so don't expect Clemson to match a track meet with FSU. Clemson will look to get back to what saw them ranked in the Top 25, the defense.

Aamir Simms not only leads the team in points per game, but he averages 1.2 steals per game and a team-high 0.8 blocks per game. Nick Honor also averages 1.6 steals per game, so the defense revolves around these two players forcing turnovers.

Simms only had two points and zero steals against Virginia, while stepping up with 19 points and two steals against Georgia Tech. Honor has only seen two steals over his last three games however.

These two need to force FSU turnovers, which is possible. The offense doesn't need to be lights out for Clemson to win this game, as holding FSU to under 70 points should see Clemson have a shot to win. Can they hold FSU to that total after giving up 80-plus twice? Only Simms and Honor can answer that question.

Betting Analysis – FSU Seminoles

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-2
  • ATS: 6-4
  • SU - Home: 7-1
  • SU - Away: 1-1
  • O/U: 6-3-1

Florida State's inconsistency is always an issue, but particularly this season. The Seminoles are on a three-game winning streak, but not before losing games to Central Florida and Clemson in South Carolina.

FSU was beaten by 10 points when traveling to Clemson earlier this season, as the offense for FSU was basically non-existent. M.J. Walker, who leads the team in points per game, only hit one three-pointer (shooting 16%) with just two free throw attempts.

In fact, FSU only saw nine total free throws against Clemson with an offensive rating of just 89.3 and turnover percentage of 19.5%. Wyatt Wilkes might be the name to watch for FSU, hitting 60% of his three-pointers (3-for-5) against Clemson.

Scottie Barnes and Anthony Polite will garner most of the defensive attention, so Wilkes might be in line for a crucial afternoon. If FSU wants to avoid another upset though, it begins with Walker taking over the offense more - having to hit the three-pointers he takes and ultimately getting to the charity stripe a lot more than just twice.

Inside the Stats – Clemson Tigers

  • PS/G: 66.5 (286th)
  • PA/G: 62 (25th)
  • Off Rtg: 99.5 (213th)
  • Def Rtg: 92.8 (61st)

Inside the Stats – FSU Seminoles

  • PS/G: 73.5 (150th)
  • PA/G: 59.4 (8th)
  • Off Rtg: 119.5 (7th)
  • Def Rtg: 96.5 (137th)

Key Players to Watch

  • CLEM - Aamir Simms (12.3 PPG, 5.7 RPG)
  • CLEM - Nick Honor (10.3 PPG)
  • FSU - M.J. Walker (14.9 PPG)
  • FSU - Scottie Barnes (11 PPG, 4 RPG)

Clemson-FSU Predictions

It seems hard to believe Clemson's defense struggles a third straight game, so the point total going UNDER here seems reasonable. 135.5 is a bit high for Clemson's 25th-best defense, despite not playing like it. Overall, Clemson's defense has been good more times than not and now face a team they beat by 10 because of it.

The spread is tricky, but FSU should win SU. The Seminoles are tough to beat at home, and seem to have gone through the 'bad loss' against UCF that should have them focused at home now. Between the two, the UNDER seems better to play but if you take FSU its hard to argue with their production at home.

  • Score Prediction: FSU 69 Clemson 62
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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