Georgia Tech vs. Virginia Predictions, Odds

  • January 23, 2021
  • By Thom Cunningham

The Virginia Cavaliers host the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in a huge ACC clash. Tip for this game from Charlottesville is set for 8 p.m. (ET) on the ACC Network.



Georgia Tech-Virginia Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Virginia -8
  • Money-Line: Virginia -405 Georgia Tech +325
  • Total: 124.5

Odds Subject to Change

Virginia enters this home game as a -9-point favorite, covering the spread in seven of 11 games this season. Georgia Tech is split on the ATS, going 5-5 this season after destroying Clemson at home.

The point total is set at 124.5, which Georgia Tech is too split on. The Yellow Jackets are 5-4-1 on the O/U this season, while Virginia has gone over in six of 11 games.

Betting Analysis – Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 7-3
  • ATS: 5-5
  • SU - Home: 6-2
  • SU - Away: 1-1
  • O/U: 5-4-1

Georgia Tech is quietly building a solid March Madness resume after ugly early season losses to Georgia State and Mercer. The Yellow Jackets have won five straight games and seven of their last eight since then.

Georgia Tech's win over Clemson marks their second win over the country's 20th-ranked team (beat No. 20 Kentucky on Dec. 6), but the issue for Georgia Tech is whether they can win on the road. All five wins have come at home, as the trip to Charlottesville marks the first road game for Josh Pastner's club since losing to Florida State on Dec. 15.

The 83 point total against a solid Clemson defense does bring conviction to a similar opponent in Virginia, though. The Georgia Tech offense is solid, averaging 80.4 points per game which ranks 40th in the nation. They also have three players average 15 points per game or more in Moses Wright, Jose Alvarado and Michael Devoe.

The team also has ton of experience, especially Alvarado who has been a starter for what seems like all four years at Tech. The Yellow Jackets pass the ball very well, with three players averaging three or more dimes per game. The back court is good in general, averaging 17 assists per game (31st nationally) and 9.3 steals per game (15th nationally).

There's work to be done on defense, but the Yellow Jackets have experience and offensive weapons with back court presence. This formula actually works against offensively-challenged schools, which Virginia straddles the line on.

Betting Analysis – Virginia Cavaliers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 9-2
  • ATS: 7-4
  • SU - Home: 6-1
  • SU - Away: 3-1
  • O/U: 6-5

Virginia's offense is tough to gauge, as they are efficient but struggle to score. The Cavaliers have the seventh-most efficient offense in the nation with a rating of 119.5, but only average 73.5 points per game which ranks 149th nationally.

The strength of this team, as is every Tony Bennett team, is the defense. Virginia ranks seventh nationally in points allowed per game with 59.4. What's head-scratching is that the Cavaliers only have a defensive efficiency rating of 96.5, which ranks a surprising 128th in the nation.

Still, the offense for Virginia seems better than past seasons. Virginia has four players average a double-digit point total beginning with Sam Hauser. The Marquette transfer averages the most points and rebounds per game on Virginia, but Jay Huff averages 12.8 points per game with 5.9 rebounds and equally as important to Virginia's offense.

This team also has experience, with its top four scorers all being upperclassmen although the Georgia Tech players have played together longer than Virginia's. Despite the experience, the chemistry may actually favor Georgia Tech.

Virginia will need to see a big defensive performance from Reece Beekman who averages 1.7 steals per game. Huff sees 2.3 blocks per game, so look for those two to have strong performances on defense if the Cavaliers wish to slow down a red-hot Yellow Jacket offense.

Inside the Stats – Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

  • PS/G: 80.4 (40th)
  • PA/G: 72.5 (238th)
  • Off Rtg: 110.1 (55th)
  • Def Rtg: 99.3 (195th)

Inside the Stats – Virginia Cavaliers

  • PS/G: 73.5 (150th)
  • PA/G: 59.4 (8th)
  • Off Rtg: 119.5 (7th)
  • Def Rtg: 96.5 (137th)

Key Players to Watch

  • GT - Moses Wright (17.4 PPG, 6.7 RPG)
  • GT - Jose Alvarado (17.1 PPG)
  • UVA - Sam Hauser (13.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG)
  • UVA - Jay Huff (12.8 PPG, 5.9 RPG)

Georgia Tech-Virginia Predictions

Virginia is the better team and playing at home, so go with Bennett's club in this one. The Cavaliers are beginning to build momentum, although the same could be said about Tech. Still, the trustworthy team is the home club Cavaliers.

The point total is a bit deceiving, and easy to go UNDER with Virginia's defense and its reputation. However, Georgia Tech can stay below 60 points and the point total can still go OVER. Plus, the O/U trends slightly favor the point total going OVER. Assuming Virginia can come close to 70 points and Georgia Tech can reach 55 minimum, this should go OVER.

  • Score Prediction: Virginia 70 Georgia Tech 55
  • Best Bets: Virginia -8
  • Best Bets: OVER

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