Clemson vs. Duke Predictions, Odds

• January 30, 2021
• By Thom Cunningham
• VegasInsider.com

The Duke Blue Devils look to build a winning streak with a home game against the Clemson Tigers. Tip for this potential March Madness bubble game is set for noon (ET) and will air on ESPN2.

BETTING RESOURCES

• Expert Picks: Vegas Insiders
• Conference: ACC
• Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium
• Location: Durham, North Carolina
• Date: Saturday, January 30, 2021
• Time: Noon
• TV: ESPN2
• Bet: BetMGM | BetRivers | FanDuel | bet365 |DraftKings | Best Sportsbooks

WHERE TO BET CLEMSON-DUKE

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Clemson-Duke Betting Odds

Line Movements

• Spread: Duke -5
• Money-Line: Duke -300 Clemson +250
• Total: 133.5

Odds Subject to Change

Duke enters as the home favorite, given a -5-point spread. The ATS has not been kind to the Blue Devils, failing to cover in nine of 11 games this season. Clemson is 7-6-1 on the ATS.

The point total is set at 133.5, which Clemson has gone OVER in eight games this season. Duke is split on the O/U at 5-5-1 this year.

Betting Analysis – Clemson Tigers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 10-4
• ATS: 7-6-1
• SU - Home: 7-1
• SU - Away: 3-3
• O/U: 8-6

Clemson was finally able to get back into the win column against Louisville, but now hit the road to face a Duke team trying desperately to gain momentum. The Tigers were able to snap a three-game losing streak with what they do best - play defense.

Clemson held Louisville to just 50 total points in the win, but the main concern for Clemson is still the offense. The Tigers only mustered up 54 points in the win against Louisville, marking the 10th game this season in which Clemson failed to score over 67 points.

Although Virginia has shown that defense can win games in the ACC, Clemson is far from the Cavaliers on offense. Clemson averages an awful 65.2 points per game, which ranks 305th out of 347 schools. Also, they have the 244th-worst offensive efficiency rating in the nation (97.8).

Aamir Simms is the only player that averages a double-digit point total for the offense, while also leading the team in assists with just 2.4 per game. There is a lot of work to do for Clemson on the offensive side, as relying on just the defense is not a consistent formula for winning as shown before the Louisville game.

Yes, Clemson can win with their defense. The offensive issues are still relevant though, as the Tigers are very close to turning into another Tiger team in the American Conference that has great defense and no offense.

Betting Analysis –Duke Blue Devils

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 6-5
• ATS: 2-9
• SU - Home: 5-2
• SU - Away: 1-3
• O/U: 5-5-1

Can Duke crack the 60-point threshold against one of the country's top defenses? They should at home, as Duke is beginning to show small improvements from where they were to start the season. Duke can compete, but closing games out has been the issue.

This is mainly due to a mixture of youth and lack of aggression, especially in the paint. Matthew Hurt gives the Blue Devils a chance to win this game, as he is talented enough on offensive to win most one-on-one battles. If Clemson doubles Hurt, then the game comes down to Duke's role players such as D.J. Steward and Jeremy Roach.

It's still uncertain how much Jalen Johnson will play, as his injury has also been a setback for Duke earlier this season. Johnson is healthy though, and seems to be returning to his early season form of scoring and rebounding.

Johnson averages about 13 points and seven rebounds a game, seeing two double-doubles this season. One of those dub-dubs came against Pittsburgh just three games ago. Add that with Johnson scoring 18 points or more in two of his last three games, it seems the Dukies are close to seeing their first big win of the season.

Is is against Clemson? If Hurt and Johnson take over on offense and force Clemson to 'pick their poison' then Duke has a chance to win and possibly run away with the game. Clemson's defense is elite however, but until Duke can prove that they can close out games by being physical (especially inside) then it should be Clemson's defense to lose this game.

Inside the Stats – Clemson Tigers

• PS/G: 65.2 (305th)
• PA/G: 62.4 (26th)
• Off Rtg: 97.8 (244th)
• Def Rtg: 93.6 (59th)

Inside the Stats – Duke Blue Devils

• PS/G: 73.7 (135th)
• PA/G: 71.7 (218th)
• Off Rtg: 103.8 (137th)
• Def Rtg: 101 (225th)

Key Players to Watch

• CLEM - Aamir Simms (12 PPG, 5.9 RPG)
• CLEM - Nick Honor (9.2 PPG)
• DUKE - Matthew Hurt (19.2 PPG, 8 RPG)
• DUKE - Jalen Johnson (12.4 PPG, 7.3 RPG)

Clemson-Duke Predictions

It's difficult to back Duke on the spread, especially with a 2-9 ATS record this season. If leaning on the spread, Clemson is the better take although them winning is not certain.

Although Clemson's spread is the best bet based on playing the Duke 2-9 odds, the point total is a bit low for what Duke presents. Yes, Clemson can hold the Dukies to 50 points, but Duke's offense should be able to touch 60 points. The Tigers won't be far behind either, as Duke's defense is pretty lackluster.

Duke should be able to score somewhere in the high 60's, as Clemson has seen at least one team touch 80 in three of its last four games. Assume Duke can almost touch 70 points with the Tigers not far behind.

• Score Prediction: Duke 69 Clemson 65
• Best Bets: OVER

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