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Last Updated Jan 29, 2022, 17:02 PM

Baylor Bears vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Predictions, Picks, Odds

The Baylor Bears (18-2, 6-2 Big 12) travel to meet the Alabama Crimson Tide (13-7, 4-4 SEC) at Coleman Coliseum on Saturday for the Big 12/SEC Challenge. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN.

SCORE PREDICTION

Baylor 76, Alabama 70

BEST BETS

Baylor -135 ML at BetMGM

Baylor -2 (-110) at South Point

Under 150.5 (-110) at BetMGM

BAYLOR BEARS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE PREDICTIONS

After a little bit of a hiccup at home against Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, the Bears appear to have righted the ship and they're flying right again. Baylor has won and covered three in a row against West Virginia and Oklahoma on the road, as well against Kansas State at home. That last win over K-State came by a 74-49 margin as 12.5-point favorites, the lowest point total for an opponent since the Bears yielded just 36 to Villanova in a win in Waco back on Dec. 12.

The Crimson Tide suffered an inexplicable loss on the road against Georgia, one of the worst sides in the SEC. Bama is now 2-4 SU and 0-5-1 ATS across the past six games, and that signature win over Gonzaga at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle back on Dec. 4 seems like a lifetime ago. The Tide has been much better at home than on the road this season, including a 3-1 SU mark in conference play. Out of conference, Bama is 6-0 SU/3-3 ATS at Coleman Coliseum, including a resume-building win over Houston back on Dec. 11.

BAYLOR BEARS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING ODDS

  • Baylor -135
  • Alabama +135
  • Baylor -2 (-110)
  • Alabama +3.5 (-110)
  • Over 150.5 (-110)
  • Under 150.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

BAYLOR BEARS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Big 12 vs. SEC
  • Date: Saturday, January 29, 2022
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 4:00 p.m. ET

BAYLOR BEARS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 18-2
  • ATS: 12-7-1
  • O/U: 10-9-1

Baylor enters 3-0 SU/ATS across the past three games after a 1-5 ATS skid from Dec. 28-Jan. 15. That ugly slide followed an 8-2-1 ATS run to begin the season, so it's been a little bit of a roller coaster ride for the Bears against the number so far this season.

The Bears head into this one with a 17-7-1 ATS mark in the past 25 games, while going 16-7-1 ATS across the past 24 as a favorite. Longer term, the Bears are 34-15-2 ATS in the past 51 games as a road favorite, while going 51-23-2 ATS in the previous 76 games on the road. Baylor has also cashed in 37 of the past 54 against winning teams.

For totals, the UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six games overall, while also going 4-1-1 in the past six as a favorite. The OVER is 3-1-1 in the past five games on the road, however.

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 13-7
  • ATS: 7-12-1
  • O/U: 13-7

The Tide has really struggled lately, going 2-4 SU/0-5-1 ATS across the past six games, and there is very low confidence that Bama will be able to turn things around against a ranked foe which previously spent time in the No. 1 spot in the rankings.

While Alabama is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six games as an underdog, it is just 1-10-1 ATS in the past 12 games overall, while going 0-7 ATS in the past seven at home. The Tide is also a dismal 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight games against teams with a winning overall record.

For totals, the OVER is 11-4 in the past 15 games overall, while going 4-1 in the past five as an underdog. The OVER is also 5-2 in the past seven at home when facing a team with a winning road record. However, the UNDER is 13-3 in the past 16 as a home 'dog.

Baylor is 17-7-1 ATS in the past 25 games overall. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - BAYLOR BEARS

  • Record: 18-2
  • VI Ranking: 6
  • PS/G: 78.7 (36th)
  • PA/G: 59.3 (11th)
  • ORtg: 113.4 (18th)
  • DRtg: 85.4 (4th)

INSIDE THE STATS - ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

  • Record: 13-7
  • VI Ranking: 21
  • PS/G: 81.1 (13th)
  • PA/G: 74.7 (315th)
  • ORtg: 110.6 (37th)
  • DRtg: 101.9 (261st)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • BAY: James Akinjo - G (13.2 PPG, 5.6 APG, 2.5 RPG, 2.2 SPG)
  • BAY: L.J. Cryer - F (13.9 PPG, 1.7 APG, 1.6 RPG, 46.7 3P%)
  • BAMA: Jahvon Quinerly - G (14.3 PPG, 4.3 APG, 3.5 RPG, 40.8 FG%)
  • BAMA: Jaden Shackelford - G (17.1 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.4 SG, 37.7 3P%)

BAYLOR BEARS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING CONCLUSION

The Bears hit a little bit of a wall or a speed bump, etc. with two losses earlier in the month. But Baylor looks to have resumed its solid play, winning and covering the past three. For the Crimson Tide, they're really struggling lately, going 2-4 SU/0-5-1 ATS, and it's hard to envision this team suddenly putting it together against one of the nation's best teams.

Alabama hasn't had a problem on offense lately, as they're scoring the basketball plenty. It's on the defensive end of the floor that Bama is having issues, yielding 76 or more points in five of the past six outings. Look for Baylor to continue the woes for the Crimson Tide.

BAYLOR BEARS VS. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING TRENDS

  • Baylor is 17-7-1 ATS in the past 25 games overall.
  • Baylor is 16-7-1 ATS in the past 24 as a favorite.
  • Baylor is 37-17 ATS in the past 54 vs. winning teams.
  • Alabama is 1-10-1 ATS in the past 12 games overall.
  • Alabama is 0-7 ATS in the past seven home games.
  • Alabama is 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight vs. winning teams.
  • Alabama is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six as an underdog.
  • The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six games for Baylor.
  • The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six as a favorite for Baylor.
  • The OVER is 3-1-1 in the past five road games for Baylor.
  • The OVER is 11-4 in the past 15 game overall for Alabama.
  • The OVER is 4-1 in the past five as an underdog for Alabama.
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