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Last Updated Feb 02, 2022, 09:02 AM

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Predictions, Picks, Odds

The Purdue Boilermakers (18-3, 7-3 Big Ten) travel to meet the Minnesota Golden Gophers (11-7, 2-7) at Williams Arena in Minneapolis, Minn. on Wednesday for a Big Ten conference battle. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on Big Ten Network (BTN).

SCORE PREDICTION

Purdue 77, Minnesota 68

BEST BETS

Minnesota +10 (+100) at DraftKings

Over 141.5 (-110) at WynnBet

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS PREDICTIONS

The Boilermakers registered their third consecutive game with an 81-78 victory against the Ohio State Buckeyes, although they didn't come close to covering a 9.5-point spread at home as the OVER connected. The 78 points were also the most allowed in regulation since a non-conference win against Nicholls back on Dec. 29. The Boilermakers had four players go for double-digit point totals, including Zach Edey with 20 points and Jaden Ivey with a team-high 21. Purdue hit 48% (29-of-60) from the field, including 47% (8-of-17) from behind the 3-point line, while turning it over just 10 times. The game might have had a larger margin, but Purdue went just 58% (15-of-26) from the three-point line.

The Golden Gophers are on a major skid, losing two straight, and six of the past seven games since restarting conference play back on Jan. 4. On a positive note, Minnesota did cover an 11.5-point number at Wisconsin in a 66-60 loss as the UNDER hit. Minnesota hit 43% (23-of-53) from the field, and just 33% (6-of-18) from long distance, while going 89% (8-of-9) from the charity stripe. They did a pretty decent job on the glass, too, as the Golden Gophers were outrebounded by just a 31-to-29 margin.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS BETTING ODDS

  • Purdue -600
  • Minnesota +450
  • Purdue -10 (-110)
  • Minnesota +10.5 (-110)
  • Over 141.5 (-110)
  • Under 142.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Big 10
  • Date: Wednesday, February 2, 2022
  • Venue: Williams Arena
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV-Time: BTN - 7:00 p.m. ET

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 18-3
  • ATS: 11-10
  • O/U: 13-8

The last time these teams met in Minneapolis, the Golden Gophers came away with a 71-68 victory as 2.5-point favorites last season on Feb. 11, 2021. The Boilermakers hope it's not Groundhog Day, and they're stuck in a repeat. Prior to that loss, Purdue had won two straight in the series, but they're just 2-3 SU across the past five, while going 1-5 ATS in the previous six meetings. Purdue is also 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games in the series, with a 6-4 edge straight-up. The OVER has cashed in four of the past five in the series.

As far as totals recently for Purdue, the OVER is 7-2 in the past nine games overall, while going 4-1 in the past five road games. The OVER is also 4-1 in the past five on the road against teams with a winning record at home, and 4-1 in the past five games overall against teams with a winning mark.

MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 11-7
  • ATS: 9-8-1
  • O/U: 11-7

Minnesota has been absolutely trash inside the conference, dropping six of the past seven games. However, they were rather competitive at Wisconsin, giving them something to build on against another ranked foe. The Golden Gophers are just 3-5-1 ATS across the past nine games, and haven't posted a cover in consecutive games since opening the season on a 4-0 ATS run from Nov. 9-19.

Minnesota has been dismal against the number at home, too, going 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight at Williams, while going 0-4 ATS in the past four at home against teams with a winning overall record on the road. While the Gophers are 5-2 ATS in the past seven games following a straight-up loss, they're 0-5 ATS in the previous five following a cover.

For totals, the OVER has cashed in five of the past six games overall, while going 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning overall record. The OVER is also 5-2 in the past seven games at home.


The OVER has connected in seven of the past nine games for Purdue. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

  • Record: 18-3
  • VI Ranking: 8
  • PS/G: 84.5 (4th)
  • PA/G: 68.1 (161st)
  • ORtg: 122.9 (1st)
  • DRtg: 99.1 (186th)

INSIDE THE STATS - MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS

  • Record: 11-7
  • VI Ranking: 45
  • PS/G: 68.7 (257th)
  • PA/G: 66.7 (122nd)
  • ORtg: 103.3 (166th)
  • DRtg: 100.3 (219th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • PUR: Zach Edey - C (15.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 1.2 APG, 1.2 BPG)
  • PUR: Jaden Ivey - G (16.8 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.0 APG, 1.2 SPG)
  • MINN: Jamison Battle - F (17.6 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 46.2 FG%, 36.7 3P%)
  • MINN: Payton Willis - G (16.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 3.9 APG, 1.7 SPG)

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS BETTING CONCLUSION

These are two teams headed for completely different destinations. Purdue is a team which should be a shoe-in for the NCAA Tournament, and it has much greater aspirations than just making the Field of 68. It has a legitimate chance to win all the marbles before 'One Shining Moment' is played. As far as Minnesota, this is a team in a steep nosedive, and a trip to the NIT or even the CBI or CIT might be the postseason landing spot. However, a win here could really change their trajectory in a hurry. But, it's not happening.

While the underdog is 14-5 ATS in the past 19 meetings in this series, and Minnesota has more than held their own in recent years against Purdue, I just don't see the Boilermakers stumbling here. The Gophers have posted a 1-6-1 ATS mark across the past eight at home, with only an outright win and cover against Rutgers as the lone success. However, Minnesota is an impressive 4-1 ATS in five games as a double-digit underdog this season, and I don't like playing double-digit favorites on the road. Look for Purdue to win, but by nine or less.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS. MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS BETTING TRENDS

  • Purdue is 4-2 ATS in the past six games overall.
  • Purdue is 8-4-1 ATS in the past 13 road games.
  • Minnesota is 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight home games.
  • Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in the past four home games vs. teams with a winning road record.
  • The OVER is 7-2 in the past nine games for Purdue.
  • The OVER is 4-1 in the past five road games for Purdue.
  • The OVER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for Purdue.
  • The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games for Minnesota.
  • The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven home games for Minnesota.
  • The OVER is 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams for Minnesota.
  • The underdog is 14-5 ATS in the past 19 meetings.
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