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Last Updated Feb 11, 2022, 15:53 PM

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams Predictions, Picks, Odds

Mountain West betting action on Friday night’s college basketball’s board sends the Fresno State Bulldogs on the road to face the Colorado State Rams. Tip-off from Moby Arena in Fort Collins is slated for 9:30 p.m. (ET) on CBS Sports Network.

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SCORE PREDICTION

Colorado State 73, Fresno State 71

BEST BETS

Over 129 (-110) at DraftKings

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS. COLORADO STATE RAMS PREDICTIONS

The Bulldogs came up just short against Wyoming at home this past Sunday in a tight two-point loss as 4.5-point favorites. The loss dropped their straight-up record in the Mountain West to 6-4. Fresno State is 16-7 SU overall this season. The big plus for this game is the extended time off when it is needed the most.

Colorado State moved to 8-3 SU in conference play with Tuesday’s 10-point win against Nevada on the road as a 5.5-point favorite. This followed a tight one-point victory at home against San Diego State laying four points on the closing spread. Prior to those two wins, the Rams came up short against UNLV at home as heavy favorites and to Wyoming on the road.

Each of these teams have posted a few bad losses on the resume in recent play. However, my lean in this matchup is still towards Colorado State SU on the money line as the better all-around team. The Rams have played with a much higher level of consistency in the Mountain West and they have a clear advantage playing Friday night’s game at home.

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS. COLORADO STATE RAMS BETTING ODDS

  • Fresno State +5.5 (-110)
  • Colorado State -5.5 (-110)
  • Over 129 (-110)
  • Under 120 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS. COLORADO STATE RAMS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Matchup: Mountain West
  • Date: Friday, February 11, 2022
  • Venue: Moby Arena
  • Location: Fort Collins, Colorado
  • TV-Time: CBSSN - 9:30 p.m. ET

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 16-7
  • ATS: 14-7-1
  • O/U: 9-13

The Bulldogs have been a mixed bag ATS over their last six games at 2-3-1. The two covers were as double-digit favorites but the recent loss to Wyoming does raise some concern. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games.

Averaging at least 31 minutes playing time across all 23 games this season, forward Orlando Robinson has remained Fresno State’s top player. He leads the team in both points (18.7) and rebounds (8.3). You can also put his name at the top of the list in steals with 1.3 a game.

Guards’ Isaiah Hill (10.1 points) and Anthony Holland (9.7 points) highlight the supporting cast. Holland is shooting 50.7% from the field and 44% from three-point range. Hill leads the team in assists (2.9) and he is posting 1.1 steals a game. Both of these players are also logging more than 31 minutes of playing time a game. Between the two, they have missed just one start.

Fresno State’s team stat line includes a 66.9-point scoring average with 34 rebounds a game. It is shooting 44.9% from the field and 33.6% from three-point range. The team’s accuracy from the foul line stands at 74.7%. Defensively, the Bulldogs’ points-allowed average this season stands at 57.6 as one of the stronger defensive teams in the MWC.

COLORADO STATE RAMS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 18-3
  • ATS: 10-10
  • O/U: 8-12

Colorado State has been a shaky bet since mid-January with a 3-4 record ATS in its last seven games. This mark includes a 1-3 slide ATS over its last four home games. The total has gone OVER in three of the team’s last four outings overall.

Guard David Roddy led the way past Nevada in Tuesday’s 82-72 victory with 29 points. He has been getting it done all season long for the Rams with a team-high 19.2 points and 7.8 rebounds. Roddy is shooting a blazing 57.8% from the field. He has converted on half of his 66 attempts from outside the three-point line.

Guard Isaiah Stevens is another important part of this lineup with 15.5 PPG while shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.3% from three point range. He is also Colorado State’s best free throw shooter at 89%. Stevens tops the list in assists with five a game.

Behind some individual hot hands, the Rams are shooting 49.3% from the field as a team. That effort drops to 37.8% from three point range and jumps to 78.8% from the foul line. Rebounds are not one of the team’s strongest attributes with 32.6 a game and this defense has allowed an average of 67.4 PPG this season.

Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 11 home games. (AP)

INSIDE THE STATS - FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS

  • Record: 16-7
  • VI Ranking: -
  • PS/G: 66.9 (290th)
  • PA/G: 57.6 (4th)
  • ORtg: 106.1 (114th)
  • DRtg: 91.3 (26th)

INSIDE THE STATS - COLORADO STATE RAMS

  • Record: 18-3
  • VI Ranking: 35
  • PS/G: 77.5 (45th)
  • PA/G: 67.4 (135th)
  • ORtg: 112.9 (19th)
  • DRtg: 98.3 (156th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

  • FRES: Orlando Robinson - F (18.7 ppg, 8.3 rpg)
  • FRES: Isaiah Hill - G (10.1 ppg)
  • COST: David Roddy - G (19.2 ppg, 7.8 rpg)
  • COST: Isaiah Stevens - G (15.5 ppg, 5 apg)

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS. COLORADO STATE RAMS BETTING CONCLUSION

I am taking Colorado State SU on Friday night based on the matchup at hand. However, some recent trends support that play. The Rams have won the last six meetings both SU and ATS as part of a SU 7-3 record over the last 10 games. 

Fresno State has failed to cover the closing spread in the last seven meetings as part of a 1-9 record ATS in those last 10 games.

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS. COLORADO STATE RAMS BETTING TRENDS

  • Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 11 home games.
  • Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight games when playing as the underdog.
  • Fresno State has gone UNDER the point total in three straight games.
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