Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons Predictions, Picks, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (23-2, 12-0 WCC) travel to meet the San Francisco Dons (22-7, 9-5) at the War Memorial at the Sobrato Center in San Francisco, Calif. on Thursday. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN2.

Score Prediction

Gonzaga 82 San Francisco 69

Best Bets

• Gonzaga -9.5 (-110)
• Under 156.5 (-110)

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons Predictions

Gonzaga has picked up 16 consecutive victories since its last loss Dec. 4 on a neutral floor in Seattle against Alabama, 91-82. The closest shave for the Bulldogs actually came last time out, 'just' a 12-point victory against Santa Clara on Saturday, 81-69. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in each of the past two games, the first time Gonzaga has failed to cover in consecutive outings since an 0-4 ATS slide from Nov. 26-Dec. 9, including that 'Bama game.

San Francisco is coming off one of its most impressive offensive efforts of the season, registering a 104-71 victory at Pacific on Monday. It's the second time in the past four outings that the Dons have hit triple digits in points, as it also had a 105-61 victory over Pepperdine on Feb. 10. The Dons are 3-1 SU/ATS across the past four contests.

These teams mete in Spokane on Jan. 20, with Gonzaga grabbing a 78-62 win as 16-point favorites, with a push officially at most shops while the UNDER connected.

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons Betting Odds

• Gonzaga -476
• San Francisco +365
• Gonzaga -9.5 (-110)
• San Francisco +9.5 (-110)
• Over 155.5 (-110)
• Under 156.5 (-110)

Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Analysis

• SU 23-2
• ATS 13-10-2
• OU 10-15

The Bulldogs have failed to cover each of the past two games, and Gonzaga is coming off a 12-point win, it's smallest margin of victory across the past 16 games, all SU victories. Gonzaga is a very ordinary 3-3-1 ATS across the past seven games overall, too.

Gonzaga has posted a 7-1-1 ATS mark in the past nine games on the road, while going 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven on the road against teams with a winning home record. The Zags are also 7-3-2 ATS in the past 12 games overall, while going 5-2-2 ATS in the past nine against teams with a winning overall record.

For totals, the UNDER is 5-0 in the past five games overall, while going 7-2 over the previous nine games, including the most recent battle against the Dons back on Jan. 20. The UNDER is also 5-0 in the past five games after a straight-up win, although the OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 games against teams with a winning overall record.

San Francisco Dons Betting Analysis

• SU 22-7
• ATS 10-17-1
• OU 14-14

The Dons have cashed in three of the past four games overall, going for triple digits in two of the previous four outings. It's no surprise that the OVER is 3-1 in the pat four outings for San Francisco, too.

San Francisco has still cashed in just one of the past five games at home, while going 6-15-1 in the past 22 games against teams with a winning overall record. The Dons are also just 6-21 ATS in the past 27 games following a straight-up win, and 19-39-1 ATS in the past 59 following a cover, so they definitely haven't been stacking covers over the past season or two.

For totals, the OVER is 8-3 in the past 11 games at home, while going 13-5 in the past 18 games against teams with a winning overall record. The OVER is also 7-3-1 in the past 11 games following a cover, too.

Inside the Stats – Gonzaga Bulldogs

• Record: 23-2
• PS/G: 89.5 (1st)
• PA/G: 64.6 (47th)
• ORtg: 120.1 (2nd)
• DRtg: 86.7 (3rd)

Inside the Stats – San Francisco Dons

• Record: 22-7
• PS/G: 77.4 (41st)
• PA/G: 66.1 (90th)
• ORtg: 109.1 (47th)
• DRtg: 93.1 (39th)

Key Players to Watch

• ZAGS: Jamaree Bouyea - G (17.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 4.0 APG, 1.7 SPG, 39.5 3P%)
• ZAGS: Yauhen Massalski - F (13.9 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 2.2 BPG, 1.8 APG, 61.3 FG%)
• USF: Chet Holmgren - C (14.4 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 3.4 BPG, 2.0 APG, 62.0 FG%)
• USF: Drew Timme - F (18.0 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 2.5 APG, 59.6 FG%)

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons Conclusion

The Bulldogs have lost just two games this season, falling to Alabama and Duke on a neutral floor. San Francisco is not remotely close to the same plane in terms of talent as those two power conference teams.

Gonzaga might have had a wake-up call last time out against Santa Clara, winning by 'only' 12 points. That was the closest shave for the Bulldogs in over two calendar months. You can expect the Bulldogs to hit the road and take care of business in this one, winning by double digits. If they did that, they'll grab yet another cover. The favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings in this series, so expect Gonzaga's dominance in the series to continue.

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons Betting Trends

• Gonzaga is 7-3-2 ATS in the past 12 games overall.
• Gonzaga is 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine road games.
• Gonzaga is 5-2-2 ATS in the past nine vs. winning teams.
• Gonzaga is 7-3-2 ATS in the past 12 following a SU win.
• San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
• San Francisco is 6-15-1 ATS in the past 22 vs. winning teams.
• San Francisco is 6-21 ATS in the past 27 after a SU win.
• The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five games for Gonzaga.
• The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five for Gonzaga following a SU win.
• The OVER is 7-3 in the past 10 vs. winning teams for Gonzaga.
• The OVER is 8-3 in the past 11 home games for San Francisco.
• The OVER is 13-5 in the past 18 vs. winning teams for San Francisco.
• The favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings.

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish