Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Predictions, Picks, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The Auburn Tigers (25-3, 13-2 SEC) travel to meet the Tennessee Volunteers (20-7, 11-4) at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, Tenn. on Saturday. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Tennessee 73, Auburn 71

Best Bet

Tennessee -149 ML
Over 139.5 (-110)

AUBURN TIGERS VS. TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS PREDICTIONS

The Tigers registered a 77-64 victory over Mississippi last time out, failing to cover a 15.5-point number. Auburn is a very ordinary 3-2 SU across the past five games since rising to the No. 1 ranking, and the Tigers are 1-5 ATS across the past six games overall, too. In the most recent outing against the Rebels, the Tigers hit 46% (27-of-59) from the field, while going 36% (9-of-25) from behind the 3-point line. Auburn turned it over 11 times, same as Ole Miss, and the difference was in the rebounding category. Auburn had 36 boards to 32 for Ole Miss, while blocking nine shots to three.

The Volunteers bounced back from a low-scoring 58-48 loss at Arkansas last Saturday, picking up an 80-61 victory at Missouri as 10.5-point favorites as the OVER connected. Auburn is 6-1 SU across the past seven games, while going 4-2 ATS in the previous six outings. Tennessee hit just 45% (28-of-62) from the field, while bagging 50% (9-of-18) of its attempts from behind the 3-point line. The Vols were also an impressive 79% (15-of-19) at the free-throw line vs. the Tigers of Mizzou.

AUBURN TIGERS VS. TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING ODDS

• Auburn +140
• Tennessee -149
• Auburn +3.5 (-109)
• Tennessee -3.5 (-110)
• Over 139.5 (-110)
• Under 140.5 (-114)

More Odds | Futures Odds

AUBURN TIGERS VS. TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING RESOURCES

• Matchup: SEC
• Date: Saturday, February 26, 2022
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Location: Knoxville, Tenn.
• TV-Time: ESPN - 4:00 p.m. ET

• Injury Report
• Wooden Award Odds
• Conference Futures Market
• Power Rankings

AUBURN TIGERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 25-3
• ATS: 18-10
• O/U: 16-12

The Tigers were once the top-ranked team in The Associated Press' Top 25 rankings, but they're a very ordinary 3-2 SU since ascending to the perch. They're also a dismal 1-5 ATS across the past six games overall to follow up an impressive 10-1 ATS run from Dec. 22-Feb. 1, including signature wins over Murray State, LSU, Alabama (twice) and Kentucky during the stretch.

The Tigers are also 0-4 ATS in the past four games on the road, while going 0-4 ATS in the past four outings after a straight-up win. On a positive note, Auburn has cashed in 10 of the past 13 games following a winning overall record.

For totals, the OVER is 16-4-1 in the past 21 games overall against teams with a winning overall record, while going 9-4 in the past 13 games after a straight-up win. The OVER is also 13-4 in the past 17 games played on a Saturday, for whatever that's worth.

TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 20-7
• ATS: 16-11
• O/U: 12-15

The Volunteers have alternated covers and non-covers in the past five games, with a cover last time out at Missouri on Tuesday. They're 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS across the past six games overall, too.

The Vols are just 1-4 ATS in the past five games following a cover. The good news for Tennessee is that the home team is 17-8 ATS in the previous 25 meetings in this series, although the underdog is also 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

As far as totals are concerned, the OVER is 12-3-1 in the past 16 games against teams with a winning overall record. The UNDER is 5-1 in the past five at home against teams with a winning road record.

INSIDE THE STATS - AUBURN TIGERS

• Record: 25-3
• PS/G: 79.7 (19th)
• PA/G: 66.9 (114th)
• ORtg: 109.7 (39th)
• DRtg: 92.0 (27th)

INSIDE THE STATS - TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS

• Record: 20-7
• PS/G: 73.7 (114th)
• PA/G: 62.8 (28th)
• ORtg: 105.7 (116th)
• DRtg: 90.2 (15th)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

• AUB: Wendell Green, Jr. - G (12.5 PPG, 5.0 APG, 3.9 RPG, 1.5 SPG)
• AUB: Jabari Smith - F (16.2 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.9 APG, 1.2 SPG, 1.0 BPG)
• TENN: Kennedy Chandler - G (13.6 PPG, 4.8 APG, 3.4 RPG, 2.3 SPG)
• TENN: Santiago Vescovi - G (13.6 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 3.1 APG, 1.7 SPG, 39.3 3P%)

AUBURN TIGERS VS. TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Tigers have struggled a little in recent games, with losses at Florida and Arkansas since Feb. 8, both on the road. Prior to that, Auburn barely beat a terrible Georgia team, 74-72, coming nowhere near cover a 16-point number. In fact, they're 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road, nearly losing to a mediocre Mizzou team on Jan. 25, too.

The Volunteers are a perfect 14-for-14 this season at home, including passing tests for signature wins against the likes of Kentucky, Texas A&M, LSU and Arizona. Thompson-Boling Arena has been a place where ranked teams and other foes go to die, as the Vols really protest their court. Saturday will be no different, as Auburn has looked like a completely different team on the road than they are at home, but it is going to be a hotly contested and close game. Just play the money line, with a little bread on the OVER.

AUBURN TIGERS VS. TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS BETTING TRENDS

• Auburn is 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall.
• Auburn is 0-4 ATS in the past four road games.
• Auburn is 10-3 ATS in the past 13 vs. winning teams.
• Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in the past five following an ATS win.
• The OVER is 16-4-1 in the past 21 vs. winning teams for Auburn.
• The OVER is 9-4 in the past 13 following an SU win for Auburn.
• The OVER is 12-3-1 in the past 16 vs. winning teams for Tennessee.
• The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six at home vs. teams with a winning road record for Tennessee.
• The home team is 17-8 ATS in the past 25 meetings.
• The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish