Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Predictions, Picks, Odds

Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

The Indiana Hoosiers (18-11, 9-10 Big Ten) meet the Purdue Boilermakers (24-6, 13-6) at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Ind. on Saturday. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Purdue 74 Indiana 70

Best Bet

Indiana 10.5 (-125)
Over 140.5 (-110)

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS PREDICTIONS

The Hoosiers picked up a 68-65 victory against their Old Oaken Bucket rivals in the first meeting on Jan. 20, winning 68-65 in Bloomington as 3.5-point underdogs in the first meeting. The Boilermakers, ranked inside the Top 10 currently, will certainly have revenge on their minds.

Indiana is just 2-6 SU across the past eight games, including a 66-63 loss against Rutgers as five-point favorites on Wednesday as the UNDER connected. The Hoosiers are also 2-6 ATS across the past eight games overall, too.

The Boilermakers enter on a two-game losing skid, and they're a rather ordinary 3-3 SU across the past six games overall. Purdue is also 0-4-2 ATS across the past six outings. The two losses at Michigan State and at Wisconsin have each been by three points.

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING ODDS

• Indiana +400
• Purdue -556
• Indiana +10.5 (-125)
• Purdue -10 (-110)
• Over 140.5 (-110)
• Under 140.5 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING RESOURCES

• Matchup: Big Ten
• Date: Saturday, March 5, 2022
• Venue: Mackey Arena
• Location: West Lafayette, Ind.
• TV-Time: ESPN - 2:00 p.m. ET

• Injury Report
• Wooden Award Odds
• Conference Futures Market
• Power Rankings

INDIANA HOOSIERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 18-11
• ATS: 15-14
• O/U: 14-15

The Hoosiers have managed to lose six of the past eight games overall, while going 2-6 ATS during the disappointing span. After looking like an NCAA Tournament shoe-in a few weeks ago, Indiana is suddenly looking like a bubble team. One of the signature wins of the entire season was a 68-65 over Purdue at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington on Jan. 20 as a 3.5-point underdog. A sweep of the Boilermakers wouldn't exactly get the Hoosiers back into the NCAA Tournament for sure, but it would go a long way.

Indiana is 3-13-1 ATS in the past 17 games on the road, and a dismal 0-6 ATS in the past six games against teams with a winning overall record. The Hoosiers are also 1-4 ATS in the past five games following a straight-up loss, and 1-4 ATS in the past five following a non-cover, too.

For totals, the OVER is 5-1 in the past six games for Indiana, while going 5-2 in the past seven games on the road. The OVER is 4-0 in the past four following a straight-up loss and/or a non-cover. The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven against teams with a winning overall record, however, including the first meeting with Purdue.

PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

• SU: 24-6
• ATS: 13-15-2
• O/U: 17-13

The Boilermakers are licking their wounds after a pair of three-point losses on the road to Michigan State and Wisconsin, losing out on the regular-season conference title in the process. Purdue picked a bad time for an ugly 3-3 SU/0-4-2 ATS skid, too.

Purdue is also 0-3-2 ATS in the past five games against teams with a winning overall record, while going 1-3-1 ATS in the past five games at home. The Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS following a straight-up loss, too.

For totals, the UNDER has cashed in five of the past six games overall, and 5-2 in the past seven games against winning teams, although the OVER has hit in four of the past five games at home.

INSIDE THE STATS - INDIANA HOOSIERS

• Record: 18-11
• PS/G: 71.6 (165th)
• PA/G: 65.3 (64th)
• ORtg: 103.3 (168th)
• DRtg: 94.3 (50th)

INSIDE THE STATS - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

• Record: 24-6
• PS/G: 81.1 (6th)
• PA/G: 68.8 (174th)
• ORtg: 119.4 (2nd)
• DRtg: 101.3 (221st)

KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

• IU: Trayce Jackson-Davis - F (17.5 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 2.4 BPG, 2.0 APG, 57.8 FG%)
• IU: Race Thompson - F (11.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 1.6 APG, 1.1 SPG, 55.8 FG%)
• PUR: Zach Edey - C (14.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 1.4 APG, 1.2 BPG, 67.5 FG%)
• PUR: Jaden Ivey - G (17.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 3.1 APG, 1.0 SPG, 37.1 3P%)

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Hoosiers won the first installment in Bloomington, and Indiana is catching Purdue at a good time here. The Boilermakers have been very mediocre lately, they're struggling against the number, and they have lost the regular-season title to Wisconsin. However, Purdue is still looking to finish the season strong and use a win as a springboard into the Big Ten Tournament. Indiana is barely hanging on for an at-large tournament bid, and needs a win here to strengthen its resume. It's a very intriguing game.

I think that Purdue is able to scratch out a victory, redeeming themselves after an earlier loss to Indiana, and a pair of recent setbacks on the road. However, the Hoosiers catching double digits is an awfully big number, and Indiana should be able to keep it close. Purdue hasn't covered in the past six games, and that's not about to get turned around here.

INDIANA HOOSIERS VS. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS BETTING TRENDS

• Indiana is 2-6 ATS in the past eight games overall.
• Indiana is 3-13-1 ATS in the past 17 road games.
• Indiana is 0-6 ATS in the past six vs. winning teams.
• Purdue is 0-4-2 ATS in the past six games overall.
• Purdue is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five home games.
• Purdue is 0-3-2 ATS in the past five vs. winning teams.
• The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for Indiana.
• The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven road games for Indiana.
• The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. winning teams for Indiana.
• The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games overall for Purdue.
• The OVER is 4-1 in the past five home games for Purdue.
• The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven vs. winning teams for Purdue.
• The home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine meetings.

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish