Sep 20, 2018
ACC Report - Week 4
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|2018 ACC STANDINGS|
Notre Dame at Wake Forest (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Fighting Irish hit the road for Winston-Salem to battle the Demon Deacons, and they're favored by a touchdown to come home from the Triad with a victory. However, the Fighting Irish head into the game just 2-6 ATS in their past eight games overall and 1-6 ATS in their past seven against teams with a winning overall record. They barely hung on to beat Vanderbilt in South Bend last week, and the Commodores left a ton of points on the field in what should have probably been a road upset win. The Demon Deacons haven't covered in three games this season, and they're 0-5 ATS dating back to last season. Notre Dame topped Wake Forest 48-37 at home last season, but the Deacs came away with the cover as 15 1/2-point underdogs.
Boston College at Purdue (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
These two teams are completely opposites so far in 2018. B.C. has cracked the Top 25 and they're 3-0 SU/ATS to open the season. Purdue was expected to be better and an upper-echelon team in the Big 10, but they're 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS, including a home loss against Eastern Michigan. The Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their past six road games and 11-1-1 ATS in the past 13 games dating back to last season. In addition, they're 5-0 in the past five against losing teams. However, the Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their past six tries against Big Ten clubs. The Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in the past seven non-conference battles, although that one non-cover came in the second contest against EMU. They're also 2-8 ATS in the past 10 home games against teams with a winning road mark.
Pittsburgh at North Carolina (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)
The Panthers picked up a win against Georgia Tech in their conference opener last week, and now they look to run out to 2-0 in the ACC against the hapless Tar Heels. UNC is at least rested, as they had their game against UCF wiped out last week due to Hurricane Florence. That might be just as well. Pitt is 5-1 ATS in the past six conference battles, but they're 1-4-2 ATS in the past seven after a straight-up victory. The Tar Heels are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six overall, but they're just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 inside the ACC and 2-5 ATS in the past seven games at Kenan. The road team has cashed in four of the past five meetings, with UNC 4-1 ATS in the past five. The 'over' is also 4-1 in the past five meetings in this series.
Louisville at Virginia (ACC Network, 12:30 p.m.)
The Cardinals and Cavaliers do battle in Charlottesville, and the Cavaliers look to stay hot. UVA is 7-2 ATS in the past nine against teams with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their past seven at home. The Hoos are also 11-5-1 ATS in their past 17 following a cover in the previous week. Louisville has struggled against the number lately, going 7-18-1 ATS over their past 26, while cashing just twice in the past 11 against teams with a winning overall mark. As far as the total is concerned, the 'under' is 6-1 in Louisville's past seven, and 4-0 in their past four against teams with a winning overall record. While the over is 4-1 in the past five for the Cavaliers at home, the under is 22-10-1 in the past 33 ACC battles.
Clemson at Georgia Tech (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
The Tigers hit the road looking for their first cover of the season after going 0-3 ATS. The Yellow Jackets were dumped in the Steel City by Pittsburgh in the ACC opener, now they return home to face the No. 2 team in the nation. Clemson is favored by 16 1/2 points as of Thursday morning, and they'll be a popular play. Clemson is 3-8 ATS in their past 11 against teams with a losing record, while going 5-13-2 ATS in the past 20 road games against a team with a losing home record. However, Ga. Tech is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams, while failing to cover in each of their past five outings. In this series, the Tigers are an impressive 4-1-1 ATS in the past six meetings, with the 'under' 5-1-1 in the past seven in Atlanta. The under is also 6-1-1 in the past eight ACC games for the Tigers and 5-2 in the past seven home games for the Yellow Jackets.
North Illinois at Florida State (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
The Huskies arrive in Tallahassee, perhaps at just the right time. The Seminoles have been horrendous to date, as the Willie Taggart era isn't exactly off to a banging start. In fact, there are some already calling for the coach to be sacked. While that won't happen, FSU needs to get its act together in a hurry before the fans get even more restless. To date, FSU has a win - barely - against FCS Samford, and they were blown out in two conference games against Virginia Tech and Syracuse. They're favored by 10 points in a rematch of the 2013 Orange Bowl, won by the Seminoles 31-10 in Dave Doeren's last game in at the helm for NIU. The Huskies haven't exactly been tearing it up lately either, as they're 1-4 ATS in the past five on the road and 1-5 ATS in their past six overall. The Seminoles are 6-0 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing record and 8-2 ATS in the past 10 non-conference battles.
Connecticut at Syracuse (ESPNews, 4:00 p.m.)
Orange head coach Dino Babers is on fire, and his biggest win came last week against Florida State, even if the Seminoles are not exactly the same as usual. UConn is a mess, and they're not expected to turn it around in the Carrier Dome. The Huskies are 10-26-1 ATS in the past 37 on the road, 2-5 ATS in their past seven against winning teams and 0-5-1 ATS in the past six in the ACC. 'Cuse is 4-0 ATS in the past four non-conference games and 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 overall. While the Huskies are 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings between these former Big East foes, the favorite is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 and the home team has cashed in seven of the past 10 meetings.
North Carolina State at Marshall (CBS Sports Network, 7:00 p.m.)
The Wolfpack travel to Huntington to battle the Thundering Herd, their first game in two weeks after an unexpected week off due to Florence. N.C. State romped against Georgia State last time out, and they're favored by just 4 1/2 points on the road. Marshall has won two in a row, including their only home win two weeks ago against Eastern Kentucky. They are also a rested bunch after last playing two weeks ago. State enters just 2-5 ATS in the past seven non-conference games, but they're an impressive 6-2-1 ATS in the past nine on the road and 3-1-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams. The Herd are 21-6-1 ATS in the past 28 non-conference games, and 5-0-1 ATS in the past six against ACC foes. However, they have failed to cover in four straight at home.
Florida International at Miami-Florida (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m.)
Virginia Tech at Old Dominion (CBS Sports Network, 3:30 p.m.)
North Carolina Central at Duke (ACC Network, 3:30 p.m.)