Pac-12 Report – Week 5

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

8 minute read

UCLA at Colorado (Fri. - FOX Sports 1, 9:00 p.m. ET)
It's been a slow go in Chip Kelly's first season so far with the Bruins. QB Wilton Speight was injured in the opening game and the backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson is making headlines because of his dad tweeting critically about the coach. It's distractions that UCLA does not need. The Bruins haven't been very good in September, even before Kelly arrived, going 2-10 ATS in their past 12 in the month. They're also just 2-6 ATS in the past eight road games and 3-8 ATS in the past 11 inside the league. Colorado hasn't been much better lately, going 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven conference tilts and 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven at Folsom Field, too. They're also a dismal 0-6 ATS in the past six after a bye week while going 5-12-1 ATS in the past 18 overall. While UCLA is 1-4 ATS in the past five against Colorado, the underdog has hit in five of the past six in this series with the underdog covering in five in a row.

Utah at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 6:00 p.m.)
The Cougars went down to USC last Friday night and lost a thriller, so they return home looking to rebound on the Palouse. It won't be easy, as the Utes have posted strong numbers against the spread. Utah is 8-2 ATS in their past 10 road games and they're 19-7-1 ATS in the past 27 against teams with a winning record. They're also an impressive 17-4 ATS in their past 21 away from Rice-Eccles while facing a team with a winning mark at home. The Cougs haven't lost back-to-back games much since Mike Leach took over, and they've been flawless against the number at home recently. They're 7-0 ATS in the past seven at home, 4-0 ATS in their four games overall despite last week's straight-up loss, and they're 7-3 ATS in the past 10 both inside the league and against teams with a winning overall record. The under is 4-1 in Utah's past five overall, while going 18-7-1 in Wazzu's past 26 at home. However, the over has hit in six of the past seven for Washington State, and each of the past five against winning teams. The Utes have cashed in five of the previous six meetings.

Stanford at Notre Dame (NBC, 7:30 p.m.)
It's a battle of Top 10 squads as the Cardinal and Irish square off in the shadows of 'Touchdown Jesus'. Can Stanford bring it emotionally for a second straight week after a roller coaster ride last week in Eugene? That's the biggest question -- how will David Shaw's group respond after being mentally spent last week in a comeback victory?

Stanford has fared well in big games, going 6-1 ATS in their past seven against winning teams and 3-1-1 ATS in their past five away from 'The Farm' in games against schools with a winning home mark. The Irish made the change to QB Ian Book over Brandon Wimbush last week and that move by Brian Kelly immediately paid big dividends in a smashing of Wake Forest. While Notre Dame is a solid 5-1 ATS in their past six at home against teams with a winning road record, they're just 2-6 ATS in the past eight overall against winning teams and 1-4 ATS in the past five at home. The underdog has cashed in six straight in this series, with the under 7-1 in the past eight meetings overall and 4-0 in the past four in South Bend.

Brigham Young at Washington (FOX, 8:30 p.m.)
The newly minted Top 25 Cougars head to Seattle in a non-conference tilt as they look to slay another giant on the road. The Huskies opened their Pac-12 schedule with an impressive and convincing win over Arizona State last week. The line holds steady at 17 1/2 in favor of Washington, but the public seems to love the Cougars and the points in this one. Perhaps rightly so, as BYU has posted a 5-0 ATS mark in their past five on the road while going 4-1 ATS in their past previous five overall. Meanwhile, Washington is just 1-4 ATS in their past five overall, 0-4 ATS in their past four outside of the conference and 2-5 ATS in their past seven against independents. Looking to the under, that might be the play. The under is 6-0 in BYU's past six tries against Pac-12 clubs, 5-0 in their past five against winning teams and 10-3 in their past 13 on the road. Washington has hit the under in four straight and 12 of their past 16 at home aginst teams with a winning road mark.

Oregon State at Arizona State (Pac-12 Network, 10:00 p.m.)
Herm Edwards, Manny Wilkins and N'Keal Harry are in need of some home cooking after losing a second straight road game last week to take some of the shine off of the coach's hot start. Sparky is back on their home field as a three-touchdown favorite against the Beavs, who fell to Arizona at home last week. Oregon State has been terrible against the number recently, going 2-6 ATS in their past eight dating back to last season, while covering just one of the past five on the road and none of their previous five inside the league. Arizona State is 4-1 ATS in their past at home while hitting in 10 of their past 14 against the spread, including last week's loss at Washington. In this series, however, Oregon State is 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven, while the underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the previous eight meetings and the road team is 5-2-1 ATS as well. The 'over' has cashed in seven of the past 10. The over has been the play for both sides lately, too, going 5-0 in the past five on the road for the Beavers and 7-1 in their past eight overall. The over is 4-0 in AZ State's past four against losing sides and 7-3 in their past 10 overall.

Oregon at California (FOX Sports 1, 10:30 p.m.)
Oregon looks to get back on track after a stunning blown lead and loss in overtime against Stanford, a game which the Ducks looked to have all but in the bag. The Ducks haven't been cover kings lately, going a dismal 6-14 ATS in their past 20 inside the league while hitting at an 8-22-1 ATS clip over their past 31 overall. They're also 0-4 ATS in the past four away from home and 2-5 ATS in their past seven against winning sides. Cal has performed much better against the spread, going 4-1 ATS in their past six inside the conference while going 4-1 ATS in the past five against winning teams. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five coming off a bye. However, while the home team has cashed in eight of the past 10 in this series, the Ducks are 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings and the favorite, presumably Oregon each time, has cashed in six of the past seven, too. The 'over' is 5-2 in the past seven meetings in Berkeley.

Southern California at Arizona (ESPN2, 10:30 p.m.)
The Trojans look to build upon their momentum following a rousing win against Washington State last week on Friday night. USC will look to get it right on the road, and lately that hasn't been a thing for them. They're just 11-28-1 ATS in their past 40 games on the road, while going 5-15-1 ATS in the past 21 overall. And yes, they did beat the Cougs last week, but they failed to cover. They're still 0-4-1 ATS in the past five games inside the league. Arizona got on the win wagon last week at Oregon State, but USC is a much different animal. Still, while the Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their past seven overall, they're 4-1 ATS in the past five at home. The over is 9-3 for USC in their past 12 overall, and 6-2 in the past eight inside the league including last Friday. The over is 4-1 in Arizona's past five at home, but the under is 6-1 in the past seven meetings in Arizona. In addition, the Trojans are 4-1 ATS in the past five in this series with the underdog going 10-3 ATS across the past 13.

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