Big 12 Report – Week 11

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

Texas Christian at West Virginia (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)
The Horned Frogs limp into Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown hoping to avoid their sixth loss of the season. There were some high expectations early on in the season for TCU, but now they are just trying to qualify for a bowl. A win over a Top 10 West Virginia team would be a big feather in their cap. The Mountaineers picked up a giant road win over Texas last week, yet are favored by just 13 in this one because of TCU's defense. The rank 27th nationally, allowing just 335 yards per game, and 190.7 yards per game through the air. TCU is just 0-8 ATS over the past eight conference games, 0-6 ATS in their past six overall and 1-7 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning record. West Virginia has a 5-2-1 ATS mark over their past eight overall, and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five vs. TCU. The 'under' has also cashed in each of the past four meetings in this series.

 Kansas at Kansas State (No national TV, 12:00 p.m.)
The Battle for the Sunflower State is rather significant, as the winner still has a chance for a shot at a bowl, while the loser will have a seventh loss and is officially going to be home for the holidays. In past years Kansas has been a pushover, and this game was an automatic win for K-State. However, the Wildcats have been putrid on offense this season, while the Jayhawks are slowly making progress. The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a losing record, while the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the past five against conference opponents and they're 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall. The under is 22-10 in the past 32 road games for the Jayhawks, while the under is 8-3 in the past 11 overall for K-State and 5-2 in their past seven conference tilts. KU is 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings, and 2-9 ATS in their past 11 sojourns to Manhattan. The favorite has cashed in 18 of the past 23 in this rivalry, too.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Ahh, Bedlam. This is one of the better rivalries in college football, especially in recent years. The Sooners are trying to keep their playoff hopes alive, and Vegas likes OU by more than 17 points as of Tuesday evening. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games, while going 3-7 ATS in the past 10 conference tilts. The Sooners are 14-5 ATS in the past 19 home outings, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record. The over is an impressive 8-3 in OK State's past 11 Big 12 battles, while going a perfect 5-0 in OU's past five and 6-1 in their past seven at home. The over is also an impressive 40-19-1 in the past 60 conference battles for the Sooners. In this series, the over is 4-1-1 in the past six, too. As far as the line, Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS in the past seven home games against their rivals, and 4-1 ATS in the past five Bedlam meetings overall.

Baylor at Iowa State (FOX Sports 1, 3:30 p.m.)
The Cyclones have been a doormat in recent seasons, but lately they're really turning it around and serving as a tough out in the Big 12. They're two games over .500, and an impressive 6-2 ATS overall on the season. Just ask West Virginia how tough it is to play in Ames. Or ask Texas Tech. Or even ask Oklahoma, as the Sooners only won by 10 in Ames are 18 1/2-point favorites back on Sept. 15. Iowa State is 3-1 SU/ATS in four home outings this season. The Cyclones are 24-6-1 ATS over the past 31 games overall, and 16-5 ATS in their past 21 home games. They're also 16-5-1 ATS in the past 22 against winning opponents. The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four meetings, and 0-3-1 ATS in their past four trips to Ames, too. The home team has hit an 11-3-1 ATS mark over the past 15 meetings, too.

Texas at Texas Tech (FOX, 7:30 p.m.)
For the second consecutive weekend there will be a national television audience checking in on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders put on an offensive show against Oklahoma last weekend but came up just short. Texas also came up short against West Virginia at home, so these are two teams on the come, trying to get back on a roll into the final weekends of the college football season. The Longhorns are 11-5-2 ATS in the past 18 against teams with a winning overall record, but they're just 1-3-1 ATS across their past five league games. For Texas Tech, they have covered a healthy five of the past six against winning sides, while going 6-2 ATS in the past eight games overall. They're also 5-2 ATS in the past seven league games.

The total trends are complete opposites. The under is 10-3 in the past 13 road games for Texas, while the under is an impressive 40-16 in the past 56 conference battles and 29-10 in the past 39 against winning teams. The over is 8-2 in the past 10 for the Red Raiders, and 21-8 in the past 29 home battles. The under is 5-1 in the past six meetings in this series, including a 4-0 under in the past four in Lubbock. The Longhorns have covered four straight trips to Lubbock, and they're 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall in this series.

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