Pac-12 Report – Week 11

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

UCLA at Arizona State (No national TV, 2:00 p.m. ET)
The Bruins are not going to be eligible for a bowl, so it will be interesting to see how they respond in their first game since losing a seventh. Will they have pride down the stretch and play hard, relishing in the role of spoiler? Or will they mail it in? The Sun Devils are double-digit favorites in this one, as they're very much still alive for a spot in the postseason, as well as the Pac-12 Championship Game. Technically, UCLA could still wiggle their way into the title game if things break a certain way, but they likely squandered their chance last week. UCLA is 2-5 ATS in the past seven league games and 3-8 ATS in their past 11 road outings. The Sun Devils are 4-1 ATS in their past five home games and 6-2 ATS in the past eight inside the conference. The 'over' has connected in four of the previous five battles in this series.

Washington State at Colorado (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
The Cougars head to Boulder looking to add to Colorado's woes. They're on a four-game losing streak, and the troubles of the Buffs has coincided with the absence of Laviska Shenault Jr., who has missed four games due to injury. He is considered a game-time decision, and could give Colorado a huge boost if he plays. Washington State escaped with a win against Cal last week, and it was their first time in nine games where they failed to cover the spread. They're 4-0 ATS in their past four road games and 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams. Colorado is 3-8-1 ATS in their past 12 against winning sides, and 5-11-1 ATS in the past 17 games inside the conference. The over has been a popular result for both sides. The over is 18-5 in Washington State's past 23 on the road, and 7-2 in their past nine against winning teams while hitting in six of the past eight in the conference. While the under is 10-2 against a team with a winning record, the over is 5-2 in their past seven at home.

  Oregon at Utah (Pac-12 Network, 5:30 p.m.)
Utah suffered a disappointing loss last week, but they are still in OK shape for the Pac-12 South title. They need to keep winning. Unfortunately for Utah, they have a tough Oregon team paying a visit to Rice-Eccles this week. Someone is gonna be left shaking their head with a fourth loss, as the Pac-12 continues to cannibalize itself. Oregon enters 3-7 ATS in the past 10 games overall, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven on the road. Utah is 4-1 ATS in their past five in the league, 4-1 ATS in the past five at home and 21-8-1 ATS in the past 30 against winning teams. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five after a straight-up loss. In this series, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings with the road team cashing in four of the past five. The over has also hit in five of the past six in the series.

Oregon State at Stanford (No national TV, 9:00 p.m.)
The Beavers are done in terms of the bowl picture, but they could play spoiler and really take a lot of money out of the pocket of Stanford with a win on 'The Farm'. Vegas isn't expecting that, as the Cardinal are favored by as many as 24 points at some shops as of late Friday night. The Beavs are 3-8 ATS across the past 11 games, and 1-9 ATS over the past 10 inside the league. They're also 1-5 ATS in the past six overall. Stanford has not been their usual dominant self, but they're still 19-7-1 ATS in the past 27 against teams with a losing record and 5-2 ATS in the past seven inside the league. While the under is 12-5 in the past 17 meetings in this series, the over is the play lately for both. The over is 10-1 in the past 11 on the road for OSU, 10-3 in their past 13 overall and 7-3 in the past 10 league games. The over is 5-1 in the past six overall for Stanford, too.

California at Southern California (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
Cal hits the road for USC, and someone is going home with a fifth loss. Vegas expects it will be the Golden Bears limping home, as the Trojans are a slight favorite at home. However, Cal is 5-1 ATS in the past six road outings and 6-2 ATS in the past eight against winning sides. They're also a perfect 5-0 ATS in the past five in November. USC has liked November lately, too, going 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine in the month, but they're just 5-15-1 ATS in the past 21 overall and 1-5 ATS in the past six at home. The under is 5-0 in Cal's past five, 6-0 in their past six on the road and 5-0 in the past five inside the league. The over is 4-1 in the past five at home for USC and 7-3 in their past 10 against winning teams, but the under is 6-1 in their past seven at home against the Golden Bears. The road team is 15-7 ATS in the past 22 meetings, but the Golden Bears are just 2-7 ATS in the past nine in this series.

Teams on a bye week
Arizona, Washington

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