Tech Trends – Week 10

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NFL Trends - Week 9
Thursday, Oct. 31
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at APP STATE...App State 5-2 vs. line TY, now 18-5-1 vs. spread since late 2017. GSU on a bit of an uptick too (4-0-1 vs. line last 5). App has won SU last five meetings, covering four. Mounties 10-1 vs. spread last 11 away form Boone.
App State, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
WEST VIRGINIA at BAYLOR...WVU beginning to struggle, no wins or covers last three TY. Bears are 7-0 SU but only 4-3 vs. line, Rhule 1-3 laying DD in 2019. Rhule just 2-7 as Waco chalk since 2017 (1-2 TY).
Slight to West Virginia, based on extended trends.
Friday, Nov. 1
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
NAVY at UCONN...Midshipmen 5-2 vs. line TY, now on 9-1 spread run since late 2018. Huskies a bit better 4-4 vs. line TY but still 6-14 vs. points since LY, 7-17 last 24 vs. spread at Pratt & Whitney.
Navy, based on team trends.
Saturday, Nov. 2
Matchup Skinny Edge
 vs. 
NC STATE at WAKE FOREST...Pack struggling, just 1-5 vs. line last six TY. No covers last five away from Raleigh. Home team 10-2 vs. spread last 12 meetings.
Wake Forest, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
LIBERTY at UMASS...Flames have won five of last six SU and have covered 4 of last 6 TY. UMass 1-7 vs. spread in 2019 for Walt Bell.
Liberty, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
OLD DOMINION at FIU...Road team is 7-1 vs. line in ODU games TY (Monarchs 3-1 vs. line away). Butch Davis just 2-8 last 10 as home chalk. Road team 2-0-1 vs. spread last three meetings.
Slight to Old Dominion, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TROY at COASTAL CAROLINA...Trojans only 2-5 vs. line TY, and have won and covered big last two vs. Coastal. Chants no covers last six at home vs. FBS opposition.
Troy, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
PITT at GEORGIA TECH...Pitt has covered first three on road this season, and Panthers have covered last six as visitor, GT might be rallying with a push and cover last two after 8 straight spread Ls, but still just 2-7 vs. number last 9 at home.
Pitt, based on team trends.
 vs. 
NEBRASKA at PURDUE...Huskers struggling, no covers last 5 or 7 of 8 TY. Meanwhile, Brohm has covered three in a row, and Boilermakers have covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
Purdue, based on team trends.
 vs. 
HOUSTON at UCF...Knights have cooled a bit with 1-4 spread mark last five after 13-4 spread run prior. UCF still 7-4 vs. spread last 11 at Orlando, however. Cougs just 4-9 vs. line last 13 away from home.
Central Florida, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MICHIGAN at MARYLAND...Harbaugh has destroyed Maryland, winning and covering big the last four meetings. But Wolves 1-7 vs. line last 8 laying points away from Ann Arbor. Terps have actually covered 4 of last 5 as host (3-1 TY), but 3-6 as dog since LY (1-1 for Locksley TY) and just 2-4 last 6 vs. line in 2019.
Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.
 vs. 
NORTHWESTERN at INDIANA... Pat Fitz dog marks taking a bit of a hit TY, but on road they’ve been better (17-2 last 19 as dog away from Evanston!). Hoosiers however 8-1 as Bloomington chalk since ‘17 for Tom “Mr. Intensity” Allen!
Slight to Northwestern, based on team trends.
 vs. 
AKRON at BOWLING GREEN...Zips an imperfect 0-8 vs. line this season, Falcs not much better at 2-6. Road dog however has won and covered last three meetings!
Slight to Bowling Green, based on Akron woes.
 vs. 
RUTGERS at ILLINOIS...Gers no wins or covers six of last seven this season, Ash long gone, hard to believe Scarlet Knights had covered six previous games. Road team however has covered last three meetings in series. Lovie not so bad 5-6 as chalk with Illini (1-2 TY) and has covered 4 of 5 vs. line at Champaign-Urbana in 2019.
Illinois, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
CINCINNATI at EAST CAROLINA...Fickell 5-2 vs. line TY including 2-0 as road chalk. ECU however has covered three of last four this season as Pirates make some progress (at least before last week) under Mike Houston. Home team has won and covered last three meetings.
Slight to Cincy, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE...If BC a dog note 11-3-1 mark last 15 in role for Addazio, and Eagles have covered 4 of last 5 TY. Road tam has covered last three meetings.
Boston College, based on recent and series trends.
 vs. 
BUFFALO at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Leipold just 1-5 vs. spread last six away form home, but has covered 3 of last 4 TY. EMU no covers first two at home this season and has not been as tough vs. line at home (5-6-1 since 2017 vs. points) as on road past few years.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
 vs. 
VIRGINIA at NORTH CAROLINA...For all of the Mack hullabaloo at Chapel Hill, Heels just 2-4 SU and 2-3-1 vs. spread last six TY. Cavs have won and covered last two in series, though only 1-5 last six vs. spread TY.
Slight to Virginia, based on series trends.
 vs. 
BYU at UTAH STATE...Utags have won and covered big in series last two years. Cougs 9-3 however last 12 as dog, 10-2 last 12 as road dog. Utags however 8-1-1 vs. line last 10 at Logan.
Slight to Utah State, based on team and recent series trends.
 vs. 
VIRGINIA TECH at NOTRE DAME...Dog team has actually covered in last eight VPI games (7-0 TY). Hokies 2-0 as dog this term but only 2-5 vs. spread overall. Irish 4-1 vs. line last five at South Bend.
Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OREGON at USC...Trojans 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line at home this season, but Ducks 4-1 as visiting chalk for Cristobal. Helton 2-1 as dog TY after 2-10 mark previous 12 in role.
Slight to Oregon, based on team trends.
 vs. 
COLORADO at UCLA...Buffs now 3-9 vs. line last 12 as true visitor. But CU has covered 5 of last 6 vs. Bruins. UCLA no covers 5 of last 7 at home, but have won and covered two in row for first time under Chip.
Colorado, based on series trends.
 vs. 
KANSAS STATE at KANSAS...Bill Snyder owned this series and won all ten vs. KU after his return in 2009, though note Jayhawk have covered last 3 meetings. Note K-State no covers last ten as Big 12 chalk.
Kansas, based on team and recent series trends.
 vs. 
TEXAS STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE...Spavital just one cover in 2019 (1-5-1) for Bobcats, who have lost and failed to cover last six vs. ULL. Ragin’ Cajuns 13-2-2 vs. spread last 17 reg-season games!
ULL, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA...Muschamp has owned Derek Mason, won and covered last three meetings, and SC has won and covered last four vs. Vandy. Gamecocks 10-0 SU last ten in series. Dores broke 7-game spread skid with recent win vs. Mizzou.
South Carolina, based on series trends.
 vs. 
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...McElwain is hot as CMU on 6-1 spread run and 7-2 vs. line TY. Chips have also covered last five in series.
Central Michigan, based on recent and series trends.
 vs. 
MARSHALL at RICE...Herd 3-7 last ten as road chalk, also just 6-14 last 20 on board.
Rice, based on MU negatives.
 vs. 
UNLV at COLORADO STATE...Rebs 1-6 vs. line last seven on MW road, no covers last three vs. CSU. Bobo just 2-7 as home chalk in new stadium since 2017, but on current 4-1 spread run.
Colorado State, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
SMU at MEMPHIS...Tigers have now covered nine in a row vs. AAC foes at Liberty Bowl! Memphis has also won and covered last five vs. SMU. Ponies however are 6-2 vs. line TY.
Memphis, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
UTSA at TEXAS A&M...Jimbo has covered five straight and Ags six straight as non-SEC host. Ags 8-2 as DD chalk since LY (both Ls vs. Arkansas). Roadrunners 3-10 last 13 as DD dog since LY (0-4 TY).
Texas A&M, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARMY at AIR FORCE...Army has cooled vs. line, dropping last five and six of eight this season. Falcs have lost last two SU in series but 4–1-1 last six vs. West Point. Force covered last 3 vs. non-MW at home and on current 3-game win and cover streak.
Air Force, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
OREGON STATE at ARIZONA...Surging Beavs have covered 5 of last 6 TY and have covered all 3 on road. Sumlin 2-6 vs. line TY and no covers last three as chalk.
Oregon State, based on recent trends.
 vs. 
UAB at TENNESSEE...Vols 0-2 as chalk TY, 2-9 vs. line in role since 2017. Also no covers last 5 and 1-7 last 8 vs. spread against non-SEC FBS foes. UAB covering again (three in a row and 5 of 6) and Bill Clark 13-6 as dog with Blazers.
UAB, based on team trends.
 vs. 
OLE MISS at AUBURN...Malzahn has covered 8 of last 9 since late 2018. Though Ole Miss has covered 3 of last 4 TY. Road team has covered last five meetings.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on series trends.
 vs. 
GEORGIA vs. FLORIDA (at Jacksonville)...UGa only 3-5 last 8 vs. line since late LY, though has covered 4 of last 6 away from Athens. Dan Mullen on 7-3 upswing vs. line. Bulldogs have won and covered last two meetings but Gators took preceding three.
Slight to Florida, based on team trends.
 vs. 
TCU at OKLAHOMA STATE...Frogs 1-5 vs. spread last six as Big 12 visitor. TCU also on 5-11 skid vs. line in reg season play. Patterson 3-3 as dog since LY. Gundy did have six covers in a row until dropping 2 of last 3. Frogs beat OSU last two years but Cowboys 4-3 vs. line last seven in series.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTEP at NORTH TEXAS..How about this...UTEP 5-2 vs. line last 7 away! Miners covered 4 of last 5 in series. UNT on 2-12 spread skid.
UTEP, based on team and series trends.
 vs. 
TULSA at TULANE...Road team 7-1 vs. spread in Tulsa games TY. Though Tulane 4-0 vs. line at home TY. Wave has won and covered last two vs. Golden Hurricane.
Tulane, based on recent series trends.
 vs. 
MISSISSIPPI STATE at ARKANSAS...Hogs yet to win an SEC game outright for Chad Morris (0-12 SU), though Moorhead no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 TY, plus MSU 1-8 last 9 vs. line away from Starkville.
Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.
 vs. 
MTSU at CHARLOTTE...49ers have cooled with no covers four of last five TY. Stockstill 4-1 vs. spread last five on C-USA road and has covered 3 of last 4 in series.
MTSU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
FAU at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Hilltoppers have covered last 5 and 6 of last 7 this season. Though Kiffin has covered his six on road. Owls 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 in series.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.
 vs. 
ARKANSAS STATE at ULM...Red Wolves just 3-6 last 9 vs. spread. But they have covered 5 of last 7 as visitor. Series has been all Ark State, winning and covering last nine. Matt Viator on 6-15 spread skid since late 2017.
Arkansas State, based on series and team trends.
 vs. 
MIAMI-FL at FLORIDA STATE...Road team has covered last five meetings. Taggart 8-12 vs. spread with Noles.
Miami, based on series and team trends.
 vs. 
NEW MEXICO at NEVADA...Jay Norvell 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MW foes at Reno. Bob Davie on 10-23 spread skid since late 2016 (though not as bad at 6-7 last 13 as road dog).
Nevada, based on team trends.
 vs. 
UTAH at WASHINGTON...Huskies won and covered both LY, though Utes 5-2 vs. spread last 7 as visitor. If Utes a dog note Whittingham 13-6 last 19 in role, Utah 21-9-1 vs. line away since 2014. U-Dub 3-1 as home chalk TY after 1-5 mark in role LY.
Utah, especially if dog, based on team trends.
 vs. 
BOISE STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU 8-3 last 12 as DD dog, though Boise 7-2 vs. spread last nine on MW road. Broncos 37-17 as visiting chalk since 2009.
Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.
 vs. 
FRESNO STATE at HAWAII...Tedford only 2-4-1 vs. line TY after 20-6-2 past two seasons. But FSU still 13-4-2 vs. line away since 2017. Bulldogs 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 in series. Hawaii just 2-9-1 vs. spread last 12 as MW host.
Fresno State, based on team and series trends.