ACC Report – Week 13

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The Atlantic Coast Conference will have 12 of 15 schools in action for Week 13 for a total of six conference games, and three teams on a bye.

One game takes place Frday, Nov. 27, 2020, while the remaining five games take place on Saturday, Nov. 28, 2020.

Conference

• Notre Dame at North Carolina (Fri.)
• N.C. State at Syracuse
• Pittsburgh at Clemson
• Louisville at Boston College
• Duke at Georgia Tech
• Virginia at Florida State

Not In Action

• Miami-Florida, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest

Notre Dame at North Carolina (Fri., ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Betting Odds: Notre Dame -5, O/U 68

• Last Game (Nov. 14): Notre Dame at Boston College W 45-31 (-13, 52)
• Last Game (Nov. 14): North Carolina vs. Wake Forest W 59-53 (-13, 71)

The Fighting Irish are back in action for the first time in 13 days, hitting the road for Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, N.C. The Irish has posted wins in all eight games this season, including three road victories in the past four outings. They have posted a 3-1 ATS mark during the span after going 1-3 ATS across the past four. The 'over' is also 3-1 in the previous four contests, thanks to scores of 45, 47, 31 and 45. The Irish has managed 462.1 total yards per game to rank 24th in the nation, 233.5 rushing yards per outing to rank 14th while registering 37.6 PPG to rank 22nd. QB Ian Book has enjoyed a strong season, completing 62.0 percent of his passes for 1,817 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception while running for 364 yards and six scores.

The Tar Heels have rolled up video game-like numbers on offense, going for 563.4 total yards per game to rank fourth in the nation, while posting 329.9 passing yards per game to check in 11th, 233.5 rushing yards to rank 15th and 43.1 PPG to rank 10th. They're coming off a 59-53 victory over Wake Forest, their fourth straight 'over' result. The Tar Heels are good for 59, 24, 44 and 48 over the past four, and defensively they have allowed 53, 56 and 41 across the past three.

North Carolina is 25-7 ATS across the past 32 home games against teams with a winning road mark, while cashing in four of the past five as a home 'dog and 4-0 ATS in the previous four following a non-cover. On the flip side, the Irish are 5-1 ATS in the past six road games, and 5-0 ATS in the past five against winning teams.

N.C. State at Syracuse (ACC, 12 p.m. ET)

Betting Odds: N.C. State -14.5, O/U 51.5

• Last Week: N.C. State vs. Liberty W 15-14 (-4, 66.5)
• Last Week: Syracuse at Louisville L 0-30 (+19.5, 56)

The Wolf Pack slowed down the previously ranked Liberty Flames last week, dealing the independent their first loss of the season, 15-14. It was a stark contrast from what we've seen from head coach Dave Doeren's bunch for most every game this season. They had scored at least 21 points in each of the first eight, and at least 29 in seven of those outings. Defensively, the Wolfpack have been much better, allowing just 18.0 PPG across the past two games, nearly two touchdowns less than their season average allowed of 31.7 PPG. Despite the win last week, they failed to cover after entering play with a 5-1 ATS run.

The Orange were dusted 30-0 at Louisville last week, hitting a new rock bottom. They have scored a total of just 27 points across the past three, and they haven't won since Sept. 26, a 37-20 win over Georgia Tech. That's also the last time Syracuse was able to cover in consecutive contests. The 'under' has cashed in each of the past three games, as the defense has allowed just 23.0 PPG in the previous two. For what it's worth, Syracuse covered as a 14.5-point underdog this season, a 16-13 loss at home against Boston College on Nov. 7. They're 3-2 ATS in the past five as a double-digit favorite, too, while hitting the 'under' in four of those five contests.

Pittsburgh at Clemson (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)

Betting Odds: Clemson -24, O/U 55

• Last Week: Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech W 47-14 (-6.5, 52.5)
• Last Game (Nov. 7): Clemson at Notre Dame L 40-47 2OT (-5, 51)

Pitt is playing its best football of the season, entering on a 2-0 SU/ATS run after victories at Florida State and againt Virginia Tech. They posted a 41-17 win at FSU, and a 47-14 victory against Virginia Tech in Pittsburgh, winning outright as 6.5-point underdogs. The Over is on a perfect 6-0 run over the past six, as the defense has allowed 30 or more points in four of the past six. Pittsburgh is now averaging 29.8 PPG to rank 56th in the nation, thanks in large part to the pass attack. QB Kenny Pickett has thrown for 2,003 yards with 10 touchdowns and he has run for 140 yards and seven scores. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in the past four against teams with a winning record, while going just 2-7-1 ATS in the past 10 ACC battles.

The Tigers haven't taken the field since Nov. 7, a 47-40 double-overtime loss at Notre Dame. You might have heard, head coach Dabo Swinney was a bit unhappy that his Tigers could not play Florida State last week in Tallahassee. QB Trevor Lawrence tested positive for COVID-19 in late October, and he subsequently missed the 34-28 win over Boston College on Halloween, and the loss against the Irish. That means we haven't seen him in game action in over a calendar month. The Tigers enter on an 0-3 ATS skid, and they're 2-6 ATS in eight games overall this season. The 'over' has connected in each of the past four. Clemson's defense has coughed up 32.0 PPG across the past three while scoring 40.3 PPG during the span.

Louisville at Boston College (ACC, 4 p.m.)

Betting Odds: Boston College -1, O/U 55

• Last Week: Louisville vs. Syracuse W 30-0 (-19.5, 56)
• Last Game (Nov. 14): Boston College vs. Notre Dame L 31-45 (+13, 52)

Louisville played perhaps its most complete game of the season, a 30-0 shellacking of Syracuse to cover a 19.5-point number. Oddly enough, the team's previous low allowed on defense was 12 points in a loss at Notre Dame. The Cardinals have been respectable at home, but the road is where the trouble has been. They're 0-4 SU/1-2-1 ATS in four games away from home, and the 'under' is 3-1 in those games with 17.8 PPG on offense and 28.0 PPG yielded on defense.

The Cardinals enter this one just 2-9-1 ATS in the past 12 as a road underdog, and 6-21-1 ATS in the previous 28 against teams with a winning record and 7-18-1 ATS in the past 26 as an underdog.

Boston College gave Notre Dame a good run, falling 45-31 at home on Nov. 14. That followed up a rather unimpressive 16-13 win on the road against ACC doormat Syracuse the previous week. Oddly enough, B.C. has played two of its most complete games of the season in the past three outings, and both of those games were losses to Clemson and Notre Dame. Boston College hasn't lost consecutive games this season.

The Eagles are just 2-7 ATS in the past nine as a favorite, but 22-8-1 ATS in the past 31 ACC battles, 8-2 ATS in the past 10 following a straight-up loss and 4-1 ATS in the past five after a double-digit loss at home.

Duke at Georgia Tech (ESPN3, 7 p.m.)

Betting Odds: Pick 'em, O/U 58

• Last Game (Nov. 7): Duke vs. North Carolina L 24-56 (+10.5, 63.5)
• Last Game (Oct. 31): Georgia Tech vs. Notre Dame L 13-31 (+20.5, 58.5)

We get a battle of two-win teams at Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta, and we get a pair of rested teams, too.

Duke had its game against Wake Forest wiped out due to COVID-19 last week, and the game will not be made up. Georgia Tech hasn't played since Halloween when they dressed up as a fairly respectable team before falling to the Irish. They were able to cover, a rarity this season. They entered that game just 1-4 ATS in the previous five. The 'under' result for the Ramblin' Wreck was its first since the season opener at Florida State, snapping a 5-0 'over' run. Georgia Tech has covered just three of the past 13 games at home, while cashing in just six of the past 22 overall.

For Duke, they're 9-2 ATS in the past 11 following a bye week. However, they're just 2-6-1 ATS in the past nine against losing teams while cashing in two of the previous seven on the road. Duke has scored at least 20 points in each of his past six games after averaging just 9.5 PPG in the first two outings. They're a respectable 3-2 ATS in the past five games overall, too. The Blue Devils are averaging 25.6 PPG to rank 86th in the nation, while averaging 169.4 rushing yards per contest to rank 57th.

Duke is 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Atlanta, and a perfect 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings overall in this series. The 'under' is 5-1 in the past six meetings at Georgia Tech, too.

Virginia at Florida State (ACC, 8 p.m.)

Betting Odds: Virginia -9, O/U 59

• Last Week: Virginia vs. Abilene Christian W 55-15 (-38.5, 61)
• Last Game (Nov. 14): Florida State at N.C. State L 22-38 (+11.5, 61)

The Cavaliers picked up a cover last week over Abilene Christian, 55-15, although you might have seen it on Scott Van Pelt's Bad Beats. If you bet the underdog Wildcats +39.5 last week, you're likely still shaking your head. As it stands, UVA has won a season-high three in a row to get to .500, and they're 4-0 ATS in the past four. The Hoos are enjoying their best offensive run of the season, posting 55, 31 and 44 over the past three, and they're allowing just 16.0 PPG across the past two.

Virginia hits the road this week, though, and they're 0-3 SU/2-1 ATS in three games away from Charlottesville this season. This will be their first road trips since Oct. 24 in Miami, a 19-14 narrow miss and cover.

Florida State was dropped 38-22 at N.C. State in its last showing, and they did not play Clemson last week due to COVID-19 issues, although don't tell that to Dabo Swinney. The Seminoles are careening out of control in this lost season, winning just twice in eight games, while going 2-6 ATS overall. They have allowed 38, 41 and 48 over the past three, and as a single-digit underdog they're 0-2 SU/ATS, too, while hitting the 'over' in each of those outings.

Offensively, FSU is struggling with 22.0 PPG to rank 99th in the nation, and that's mostly because of a moribund pass attack which puts up just 196.6 yards per game through the air. The defense cannot stop anybody, either, allowing 270.8 yards per game through the air, and 193.5 yards per game on the ground while coughing up 36.1 PPG.

The Under has hit in five straight meetings in Tallahassee, while the Under is 9-1 in the previous 10 in this series overall.

ACC Betting Results - 2020

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