Last Updated Aug 28, 2022, 3:08 PM

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Predictions, Picks, Odds

The Vanderbilt Commodores and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors open their seasons at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu on Saturday. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBSSN.

VANDERBILT COMMODORES vs. HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS BETTING PREDICTION

The Commodores take the long plane ride from Tennessee to Hawaii to close out Week 0 in the beautiful islands. Vanderbilt is looking for better results in 2022 after going 2-10 SU last season. Vandy showed some small signs of improvement toward the end of the season, and it covered the final four games thanks to a slight uptick in offense. Defense remains a huge question heading into the new season, and this is a team which allowed 31 or more points in the final five games of 2021, and 21 or more points in all 12 games last season.

This is Vanderbilt's first time as a favorite since Oct. 2, 2021 against Connecticut, a 30-28 win and a non-cover. The 'Dores were 0-2 ATS last season as a favorite, going 1-1 SU. Vanderbilt hasn't been favored on the road since Oct. 27, 2018 at Arkansas, a 45-31 victory.

Hawaii capped off the 2021 season with a pair of wins and covers, and this is a team which won six games a season ago. However, the team parted ways with head coach Todd Graham after a disastrous tenure, and players bolted the islands in huge numbers, with allegations of abuse and other issues within the program. The school moved quickly to try and wash the sour taste out of the mouths of current players, alumni and supporters of the program, hiring fan favorite and former Warriors QB Timmy Chang.

Chang knows a little about passing, and it appears QB Brayden Schager will be the next big thing in the islands. QB Chevan Cordeiro departed the program, and will actually play against Hawaii as a member of the San Jose State football team. Unfortunately for Schager, the team has big shoes to fill with WR Nick Mardner (Cincinnati) moving on, and hybrid WR/RB Calvin Turner moving on. To make matters worse, RB Dae Dae Hunter left via the transfer portal to Liberty. While the offense looks like it will not be terribly good, the defense was awful, and must get better in a hurry. That's the biggest concern at this point.

Score Prediction: Hawaii 31, Vanderbilt 29
Best Bet: Hawaii +7.5 (-110)
Best Bet: Over 53.5 (-110)

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VANDERBILT COMMODORES vs. HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS BETTING ODDS

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VANDERBILT COMMODORES vs. HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Saturday, Aug. 27, 2022
Matchup: SEC vs. Mountain West
Venue: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Time-TV: CBSSN, 10:30 p.m. ET

VANDERBILT COMMODORES BETTING ANALYSIS

It's just so very hard to imagine Vanderbilt hitting the road, especially after a lengthy trip halfway across the Pacific, to pick up a win. This just isn't a very good team in so many areas, but Vandy should be a tick better than it was last season. It will be baby steps under head coach Clark Lea.

QBs Ken Seals and Mike Wright will likely each see time under center in this game, and beyond. Seals is more of a pocket passer, while Wright is more of the dual threat. WR Will Sheppard (43-577-4) is back to lead the receivers, while RB Re'Mahn Davis (44-211-1) has the potential to at least be serviceable as the lead tailback. While Vandy isn't likely to make huge waves in the SEC, particularly in the East Division, there should be opportunity to move the ball against a poor Hawaii defense.

The defense was obviously over its head against teams like Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, etc. However, there is some talent here, and the defensive line could be slightly above-average for Lea. If there's anything the coach knows, it's defense, and being a strong evaluator of talent. The secondary can also be a bright spot, but they need more of a push up front.

Vanderbilt has covered eight of its past 10 games on the road, while going 2-8 ATS in the past 10 non-conference outings. For totals, the UNDER has hit in five of the past seven non-conference tilts, while going 5-1 in the past six on the road.

Vanderbilt hasn't been favored on the road since Oct. 2018. (Getty Images)

HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Warriors are playing on campus again with a seating capacity of just 9,300, so there isn't a huge home-field advantage. It's a temporary home, as Aloha Stadium was found to be unfit to host games in Dec. 2020.

Hawaii enjoys the heat of the month of August, covering six of the past seven games in the month of August, while going 3-1-1 ATS in the past five home games on campus. However, the Rainbow Warriors are just 1-4 ATS in the past five against non-conference teams.

As far as the total is concerned, the Rainbow Warriors managed to hit the OVER in four of the past five games in the month of August, while hitting in 19 of the past 28 non-conference tilts for Hawaii.

VANDERBILT COMMODORES vs. HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS BETTING TRENDS

  • Vanderbilt is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 road games.
  • Vanderbilt is 2-8 ATS in the past 10 non-conference games.
  • Vanderbilt is 6-16 ATS in the past 22 games on fieldturf.
  • Hawaii is 6-1 ATS in the past seven games in August.
  • Hawaii is 1-4 ATS in the past five non-conference games.
  • Hawaii is 21-46-3 ATS in the past 70 games on fieldturf.
  • UNDER is 5-1 in the past six road games for Vanderbilt.
  • UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven non-conference games for Vanderbilt.
  • OVER is 4-1 in the past five games in August for Hawaii.
  • OVER is 19-9 in the past 28 non-conference games for Hawaii.

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