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US Open – Matchup Bets

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
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The PGA TOUR readies for its third major tournament of the season, the  119th U.S. Open  at Pebble Beach Golf Links in California. Graeme McDowell won at the last U.S. Open hosted at Pebble Beach back in 2010. Before that it was Tiger Woods claiming the trophy in 2000 in the previous U.S. Open hosted on the shores of the Pacific Ocean on the beautiful Monterey Peninsula.

PRIME MATCHUPS

Each week we'll take a look at the best round matchups to try and build up a nice bankroll.

Gary Woodland (-115) vs. Henrik Stenson (-115): Woodland has made the cut in 16 of the 17 events he has entered this season, and he won't be fazed by the Pebble Beach situation. He was 32nd at the Masters, and an impressive eighth at Bethpage Black during the PGA Championship last month. In addition, he has seven Top 10 finishes this season, and he is really playing with a lot of confidence. Stenson isn't playing poorly by any stretch, making the cut in 11 of 12 events, but he has just two top-10 showings, and only one since flipping the calendar to 2019.

Patton Kizzire (-110) vs. Ernie Els (-120): Els has missed the cut or withdrawn in five consecutive events, and he has made the cut just once in the past seven outings since early March. A bet on Kizzire is simply a bet against Father Time, who hasn't been treating Els very nice lately. Of course, Kizzire hasn't exactly been firing on all cylinders lately, either, missing four straight cuts. He has made 11 of 18 overall this season.

 Matt Wallace (-130) vs. Graeme McDowell (+100): Betting against McDowell, who won this event last time it was played at Pebble Beach, is risky business. But eat that chalk, and McDowell is playing well. Last time we saw him he was firing a 2-under 278 at Bethpage Black in the PGA Championship, more than holding his own in a major. The 39-year-old McDowell has made the cut in 15 of his past 16 events, and he was 18th at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this year. However, most of his decent showings have come in lower profile tournaments, and he has stumbled at the larger events with deeper fields.

Luke List (-130) vs. Kiradech Aphibarnrat (+100): List is a bomber, and his Driving Distance Average will help him at this event. Of course, he'll also need the irons to work, as well as the putter. That wasn't a problem at Bethpage Black, as he posted a sixth-place finish at the PGA Championship, and you can expect similar results at Pebble. Aphibarnrat has made the cut in 10 of his 15 events with three top-10 finishes, but he was just 49th at the Masters, and he missed the cut at The Honda Classic, the Charles Schwab Challenge and the Farmers Insurance Open, a couple of higher-profile events where he wilted against a deeper field.

Brooks Koepka (-140) vs. Tiger Woods (+110): Imagine Tiger catching plus-money in a major. It's weird seeing a plus next to his name in any situation. However, Koepka has won back-to-back U.S. Open trophies, and he isn't flummoxed when it comes to the big stage. Not that Tiger is, but Koepka is just playing better and more consistently. Tiger had his moment earlier this season at August. Koepka could make history with a third consecutive U.S. Open title. Scotland's Willie Anderson was the last player to win the U.S. Open in three straight years from 1903-05.

Rory McIlroy (-165) vs. Tiger Woods (+135): I am certainly not picking on Tigers, but Rory is just red hot right now, and it's hard to see many people beating him straight up the way he is playing. He is coming off a win at the RBC Canadian Open, but he has his eyes on a much bigger prize.

Phil Mickelson (+100) vs. Tony Finau (-130): I love Finau's game, as he is a masher off the tee, but he shows a nice touch when he has to use a little finesse, too. However, Pebble Beach is Phil's playground. He had a win at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this season, and he has won it a record-tying five times. Perhaps this will be the place which helps him finally break through for a U.S. Open title. The sands of time are running out, so it's now or never. For us, we just hope he beats Finau head-to-head.

Last event (Charles Schwab): 1-4 (-350)
This season: 17-25-2 (-1090)

OTHER BETS

Top 20 Finish - Patrick Cantlay (-215): Cantlay is playing with a lot of confidence right now, spurred on by a trophy-hoisting celebration and a pat on the back from Jack Nicklaus at the Memorial a few weeks ago.

Top 20 Finish - Paul Casey (+160): I just like Casey's game, and when he is on, he is tough to beat. He has made the cut in 11 of his 15 events this season, turning in five top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in the Pebble Beach Pro-Am earlier this season.

Top 20 Finish - Bryson DeChambeau (+147): The Golden State native posted a 22nd-place finish at the Memorial last time we saw him, putting a three-event missed cut streak in the rear-view mirror. While he failed miserably at Bethpage Black in the PGA Championship, he made the cut at the Masters, and has played generally well in the high-profile tournaments.

Top 20 Finish - Phil Mickelson (+160): This is FIGJAM's last good chance at winning a U.S. Open, probably. Look for Lefty to give it his all, spurred on by plenty outside of the ropes cheering for him to break through.

TOURNAMENT PROPS

Will there be a playoff? - No (-450): We haven't had a playoff in a U.S. Open since the 2008 installment when Tiger edged Rocco Mediate at Torrey Pines. There have been just two U.S. Opens decided in a playoff since 1994, too.

Nationality of the Winner - USA (-140) vs. the Field: U.S.A.! U.S.A.! U.S.A.! Six of the top seven favorites hail from the States, with Rory the lone exception.

Last event: 2-2 (+185)
This season: 15-28 (-698)

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