Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:53 PM
Travelers Championship Best Golf Prop Picks and Predictions
Last week was another week where the props didn't perform up to expectation, as only Sergio making the cut came through, and it's about time we turn this thing around.
The golfers are up at TPC River Highlands for a Travelers Championship that has the potential to come down to the wire like the last two events have thanks to another loaded field.
Loaded fields mean there are plenty of prop betting options for the event that will get plenty of looks, and hopefully this week's selections right the ship with these plays going forward.
- Picks and Predictions
- Betting Odds
- Tour: PGA
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2020 to Sunday, June 28, 2020
- Venue: TPC River Highlands
- Location: Cromwell, Connecticut
- Par-Yardage: 70, 6,840 yards
- TV: Golf Channel, CBS
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Prop Picks and Predictions
Odds per DraftKings
Subject to Change
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Top 40 Finish – Yes
Brandt Snedeker +200
Kevin Tway +334
Going with the biggest cushion out there for the finishing position props this week, and it's those two names that stand out.
Tway is a guy I touched on in my overall preview here, as he is a guy who's had quite a bit of success here the past couple of years. There was the 6th in 2018, followed up by the 5th here last year, and you can even go back to the previous two appearances for Tway in 2017 and 2014 and see he had finishes of 43rd and 26th. Three of those four would have cashed this play, the the fourth was right there. From a course history standpoint, there is plenty to like.
Recent form of two missed cuts would suggest otherwise, but Tway when from an awful return to action at the Charles Schwab – 73-76 for +9 – to two Even par rounds of 71 last week to still miss the cut by three strokes.
However, rust was always expected to be a factor for some guys in the PGA's return, and while it seemingly hasn't happened to many of the top names, it appears Tway was one to get victimized by it. Tway did appear to shake off plenty of that rust last week, and a return to an event he's had plenty of success at - +1.44 Strokes Gained in his last 18 rounds at TPC River Highlands – should bring Tway his first made cut and Top 40 finish since the restart.
Snedeker is another guy who's had a fair bit of success at this track, as he's got four Top 25's in his last eight starts at this event, two missed cuts, and never finished worse then 47th in the other starts.
Shorter courses are always going to be ones where Snedeker is much more 'live' then he may be at longer tracks, and this venue should help his own game get back on track. It was a missed cut for him last week as well in his return to action, and despite his T43 here last year, Snedeker was actually 9th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach that week at +1.22. If he cleans up the rest of is game – specifically off the tee – another quality finish for him here should be in store.
Nationality Props – Top Canadian
Corey Conners -186 over Mackenzie Hughes +250 and Roger Sloan +450
Conners only start here finished with a missed cut in 2018, but he's become a much better golfer since then and has made a strong case for himself to be considered the best Canadian talent on Tour right now. Adam Hadwin definitely has something to say about that, but Hadwin's not in the field this week. That suggests to me that Conners is an easy play here even at this price, as Mackenzie Hughes hasn't shown much since the restart, and Roger Sloan is a guy with +75000 odds to win the tournament which really tells you all you need to know about him.
Conners finished last week's event 11th in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green at +1.32, while both Hughes and Sloan were above -1.50 in that category and both of them posted negative numbers in all of the Strokes Gained categories but one. That's a huge mismatch in current form here, and quite honestly, this price should probably be -200.
To Make Cut – Yes
Brandt Snedeker -120
Having already made the argument for Snedeker finishing in the Top 40, it's a no-brainer to lay the -120 on him making the cut, because you've got to do that before you can finish in the Top 40. Far too cheap of a price for me to lay off of this prop, and hopefully all that rust on his game was shaken off last week in his two trying rounds at the RBC Heritage.
If Snedeker has ultimately found his game again, then this will end up being a pretty easy bet to make.