Oct 26, 2018
BC - Filly and Mare Turf
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 2 and Saturday, November 3 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!
Distance: 1 3/8 miles
Purse: $2 million
Age: 3up (F&M)
Date: Saturday, November 3
Time: 2:04 p.m. ET
Ouija Board won it in 2004 and 2006 and was stopped by Intercontinental in 2005 when she was second. Her trainer Ed Dunlop and the late Bobby Frankel each won two runnings while Kieran Fallon and Jerry Bailey have each ridden a pair of winners.
Favorites: 5 for 19 (26%)
Shortest: $3.80 (Ouija Board, 2004)
Highest: $94.00 (Shared Account, 2010)
U.S based: 11/Foreign based: 8
The champ is here? Wuheida is not here to defend her crown.
Sistercharlie leads a five-pronged Chad Brown attack on this event while making her first start in nearly three months since taking a pair of G1s – the Diana at Saratoga and Beverly D at Arlington – in a span of three weeks.
Since coming stateside in the summer of 2017, Sistercharlie has raced just five times. She was away over nine months between a narrow defeat as a three-year-old to now-retired stablemate New Money Honey in the G1 Belmont Oaks before taking the G1 Jenny Wiley at Keeneland this past April. She was beaten just a head in the G2 New York at Belmont back in June after making up over two dozen lengths.
The New York went to proverbial win-machine Fourstar Crook, who has been victorious in 12 of her 19 starts. Prior to this season, the now six-year-old’s biggest tallies came against fellow New York breds and the occasional G3 against open company.
It all changed this season for Fourstar Crook. She won the G2 Hillsborough at Tampa to start the year before a runner-up performance in the Jenny Wiley and New York win. Two starts back, she was second in the Beverly D before capturing the G1 Flower Bowl at Belmont last out, her biggest victory to date.
A Raving Beauty has done her best work at shorter distances since coming to the U.S. earlier this year. A three-length romp in the G3 Beaugay at Belmont was followed up by a gritty score in the G1 Just A Game on Belmont Stakes day.
After a third-place finish in the Diana and inexplicable fourth place finish as the 4-5 chalk in the G2 Ballston Spa, A Raving Beauty rebounded nicely to lead every step of the way in the G1 First Lady at Keeneland going a mile. She’s winless in two tries at this distance but those efforts came as a three-year-old in 2016.
Santa Monica has hit the board in all five starts this season since coming across the pond. She won an allowance contest at Keeneland in her first start and took the G2 Dance Smartly at Woodbine in late June. She was third in the G2 Sheepshead Bay and G2 Glens Falls earlier this season before missing by a length when third most recently in the G1 E.P. Taylor back at Woodbine.
Thais will be looking for her first stakes victory after leading most of the way before settling for third to cap off a Brown-trained trifecta in the Beverly D at over 47-1 in her last start.
Wild Illusion was second in the G1 English Oaks and finished second in the G2 Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot this June for Godolphin and trainer Charles Appleby before taking down the G1 Nassau and G1 Prix de l’Opera in her last two.
Athena ships back over for Coolmore having won the Belmont Oaks this year before a seventh-place finish in the Beverly D. This will be her twelfth start at her eleventh different track this season. She’s still eligible for a second level allowance contest.
Eziyra has won four of her last five against graded stakes company in Ireland with her lone defeat coming in the G1 Yorkshire Oaks in England two starts back behind the talented Sea of Class, for her trainer Dermot Weld.
Magic Wand won the Ribblesdale and finished behind Sea of Class in the Yorkshire and G1 Irish Oaks before a pair of runner-up performances in G1s at Longchamp, most recently to Wild Illusion.
Mom’s On Strike scored the biggest win of her career in the G3 Bewitch at Keeneland earlier this year before finishing fourth in the New York. She was second in the off-the-turf Waya at Saratoga and a minor stakes at Kentucky Downs in her last pair.
Paved won the G2 Honeymoon at Santa Anita back in June but tailed off form this summer with off-the-board tries in the Belmont Oaks and G1 Del Mar Oaks. She rebounded to finish a solid second against older fillies and mares in the G1 Rodeo Drive last out.
Smart Choice comes up from South America off of the lone G1 win of her career in Peru back in late June for new trainer Todd Pletcher.
Princess Yaiza won a G2 at Longchamp on Arc weekend and has finished behind several of the other Euro shippers in here.
Fuhriously Kissed has missed the board in all three of her turf starts and is seeking her first stakes win.
If I’m Right…
This is not the strongest Euro contingent we’ve seen in this event. They also seem to be taking turns beating each other.
A Raving Beauty has yet to prove herself at this distance but I think the Lasix here in the states has really helped her cause.