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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 14:01 PM

BC - Juvenile Turf

Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 2 and Saturday, November 3 at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!

Distance: 1 mile (T)
Purse: $1 million
Age: 2YO
Date: Friday, November 2
Time: 5:22 p.m. ET

The History

Contested by both sexes in its inaugural running back in 2007 and featured the Breeders’ Cup debut of Gio Ponti, who had a nightmare trip.

Favorites: 2 for 11 (18%)
Shortest: $6.80 (Pounced, 2009)
Highest: $27.20 (Nownownow, 2007)
U.S based: 4/Foreign based: 7

We ditch the traditional format for alphabetical order due to the mix of U.S. and Euro runners as well as age and lack of experience.

Anthony Van Dyck rattled off three in a row after losing his debut before finishing second and third, respectively in the G1 Vincent O’Brien National and G1 Dewhurst in his last pair. He broke his maiden in his lone try at a mile.

Arthur Kitt won his first two starts in sprints before a second-place finish in a G2 in England and an off-the-board finish at Newmarket most recently at this distance.

Current has won both starts at a mile or over since finishing third in his debut to G1 winner Fog of War. A maiden win at Belmont going a mile was followed up by a fantastic win in the G3 Bourbon where he made up over five lengths in the last 100 yards or so.

Forty Under beat just one home in his debut on dirt but won his last two since switching to the weeds. After breaking his maiden at the Spa, he closed nicely to take down the G3 Pilgrim at Belmont over yielding ground most recently. Both races on turf were at over a mile.

Henley’s Joy finished a nose behind Current in the Bourbon after breaking his maiden in his debut at Ellis and taking the Kentucky Downs Juvenile, both at a mile, to start his career.

King of Speed was winless in his first four tries before taking the Juvenile Turf at Del Mar and Zuma Beach at Santa Anita going this trip.

Line of Duty finished second in his first two sprints before winning at a mile and in the G3 Prix de Conde going nine furlongs for Godolphin.

Marie’s Diamond has won three of his nine starts, none of which have been beyond six furlongs. He’s been off the board in his last two starts, both against G1 company.

Much Better broke his maiden at first asking on the dirt before making the lead in the stretch of the Zuma Beach then tiring to second.

Opry broke his maiden second out in the G3 With Anticipation at Saratoga before failing to fire in the Pilgrim where he settled for fourth as the 8-5 chalk.

Somelikeithotbrown rolled in his second start to win a New York-bred maiden race at Saratoga before finishing second in both the With Anticipation and Pilgrim.

The Black Album has won three of five starts overseas, including the G3 Prix la Rochette at 16-1 last out in his graded stakes debut. This will be his first start beyond seven panels.

Uncle Benny broke his maiden on dirt then stormed home to capture the Futurity in his turf debut at Belmont. This will be his first start around two turns.

War of Will got run down by Fog of War in the G1 Summer at Woodbine two back before tiring late after setting the pace in the Bourbon to finish fourth, beaten less than a length, as the 7-5 favorite.

If I’m Right…

An American runner is going to win this as I’m pretty confident the best Euros stayed on their side of the pond.

Live Longshot

Somelikeithotbrown has excelled in a string of three distance races. I think there is enough speed in here for him to set up a late rally.

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