Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:56 PM
BC - Juvenile Turf Sprint
Welcome to Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 1 and Saturday November 2 at Santa Anita in Arcadia, California. VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race. If you want to know what Anthony will be betting on both Breeders’ Cup days, make sure to check back on Friday and Saturday to purchase Stabile’s Breeders’ Cup Picks and Plays of the Day, a look at how he’ll wager on each and every race, available EXCLUSIVELY at VegasInsider.com. To purchase Anthony Stabile Pick Packs, Click to win!
Distance: 5 furlongs on turf
Purse: $1 million
Date: Friday, November 1
Time: 4:12 pm EDT
Inaugural running was won in gate-to-wire fashion by Bulletin at Churchill last year.
Favorites: 0 for 1 (0%)
Shortest/Highest: $10.60 (Bulletin, 2018)
U.S based: 1/Foreign based: 0
We ditch the traditional format for alphabetical order due to the mix of U.S. and Euro runners as well as age and lack of experience.
A’ Ali has won three G2 events in Europe, all under his rider for this Frankie Dettori. It’s worth noting that like most of the Europeans runners in here this will be his first start around a turn.
Alligator Alley disappointed as the even-money favorite when sixth to A’ Ali last out having won two of his six starts.
Another Miracle broke his maiden in an off-the-turf race then won the Skidmore on the lawn at Saratoga before failing to fire against several of these in the G3 Futurity at Belmont.
The filly Band Practice comes over on a three-race win streak, including a tally against the boys most recently.
Cambria began her career with a couple of easy wins over the all-weather surface at Presque Isle Downs against fillies before getting up in the final strides in her turf debut and against the boys in a stakes at Kentucky Downs.
Chimney Rock won a restricted maiden event at Saratoga in his third start before making up plenty of ground late to be second to Cambria and in the Indian Summer last out.
Dr Simpson beat the boys in a G3 over in Ireland over an all-weather surface most recently and is just one for seven on the turf.
Dream Shot has won two of his eight starts, one on turf, and was second behind A’ Ali and Dr Simpson in his last pair.
Encoder won his first two starts, his maiden at this trip and a minor stakes going a mile, before tiring at a mile last out as the prohibitive chalk.
Probable favorite Four Wheel Drive has been sensational in his first two starts, an easy debut tally in a Colonial Downs stakes and the G3 Futurity at Belmont last out.
Kimari has won three of her four starts, two against the boys, including the Indian Summer with a last-to-first move last out, with her lone blemish coming at Ascot in a G2 in the second start of her career.
King Neptune is winless in eight turf starts for Coolmore since breaking his maiden in his debut over an all-weather surface back in mid-April.
Bulletproof One was second in his only turf start; Air Force Jet has won twice from eight tries in Europe; Fore Left has won half of his six starts on dirt; Karak beat boys in Tyro before a fourth-place finish in the G3 Matron at Belmont. These horses are on the AE list.
If I’m Right…
Turf sprints are evil. I’m not sure about the Euros but Four Wheel Drive should be able to handle his U.S. rivals with relative ease.
Chimney Rock always seems to show up. Look for him to get into the exotics at 10-1 or so.
Anthony “the Big A” Stabile can be heard regularly on the Horse Racing Radio Network from 3-6:00 p.m. ETon Wednesday and 3-7:00 p.m. ET Thursday and Friday. Tune in on Sirius 219, XM 201 or streaming live at horseracingradio.net. He also is a contributor on NYRA-TV as the co-host of Talking Horses and a backup racetrack announcer. Follow him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile