Sign In $
Horse Racing

At the Gate – Sunday

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read
We have another good card at Aqueduct on Sunday featured a pair of stakes —the $150,000 New York Stallion Series and the $100,000 Stewart Manor.
 
The Stallion Series drew a field of 11 fillies and mares that will go seven furlongs on the main track. The Linda Rice trained Newly Minted is the 7-2 morning line favorite and is coming off a fourth-place finish in the state bred Empire Classic in her last outing.
 
I need more of a price and landed on Kid Is Frosty, who is 10-1 on the morning line. The Brad Cox trainee was fifth on turf last out in the state bred Ticonderoga and returns to the main track while cutting back to a sprint.
 
The co-feature is the Stewart Manor which drew a field of 12 juvenile fillies who will go six furlongs on the outer turf.
 
The Shug McGaughey trained Enola Gay is the 3-1 morning line favorite off a good looking debut where she broke her maiden going 6 ½ furlongs on turf at Kentucky Downs. As you can see below, I landed on Miss J McKay, who has crossed the wire in front in all three starts but was disqualified for interference in the Colleen two back at Monmouth Park.
 
Do not forget we are in action on Monday at Aqueduct.
 
To purchase my Aqueduct and Best Plays Reports for Sunday click here.
 
My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Aqueduct and Churchill Downs.
 
Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package. It gives you a month of Aqueduct Reports daily and my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday.
 
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
 
AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:00 ET)
#4 U S Army Corps   7-2
#6 Fortune Found   15-1
#5 Hard to Be Humble   10-1
#9 Complex System   5-2
 
Analysis: U S Army Corps makes his third start here and is cutting back to six furlongs for the Shug barn that is 23% winners moving runners from route to sprint. The colt tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fourth in his debut. Last out at a mile he raced mid pack and finished evenly in a sixth-place finish. Shug usually gives them a race or two before we them fire. This guy is bred to run on turf, by War Front out of a Montjeu mare, her first foal to race. This is not a real tough looking spot.
 
Fortune Found debuts for the Hennig barn that is 14% winners with first time starters. The colt has been working quickly and steadily in the mornings. He is by Into Mischief out of a Swain mare that has dropped three foals to race, all winners including stakes winner Cabo Cat ($259,414). The colt looks ready to go and is going to be a decent price here.
 
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 4,5,6,9
TRI: 4,6 / 4,5,6,9 / 1,4,5,6,9
 
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
 
AQU Race 9 The Stewart Manor (3:50 ET)
#10 Miss J McKay   7-2
#6 Karak   8-1
#3 Lucrezia   4-1
#2 Time Limit   8-1
 
Analysis: Miss J McKay has crossed the wire in front in all three starts but was DQ'd form the win two back in the Colleen where she drifted in bad bumped a foe in the stretch. She drew off to win the Anne Arundel County last out at Laurel Park by five lengths but she also did not keep a straight course. The Lynch trainee has put in four works since her last win and she looks as if she may still have some upside if McCarthy can get her to act a bit more professional in the stretch.
 
Karak was bumped around coming out of the gate, stalked the early pace and finished evenly in a fourth-place finish last out in the Matron (G3) at six furlongs on turf. She graduated in her debut at Belmont Park which earned her a trip to Royal Ascot where she was outrun in the Windsor Castle Stakes. She returned and won the Tyro at Monmouth Park two back. A clean break and she figures to be in the mix early. The 8-1 looks fair in this wide-open race.
 
Wagering
WIN: #10 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 6,10 / 2,3,6,10
TRI: 6,10 / 2,3,6,10 / 2,3,6,10,11
 
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:
 
CD Race 8 Md $50,000 (4:36 ET)
#3 Land Grant   7-2
#7 Davidic Line   10-1
#9 We're Still Here   2-1
#1 Devil's Drama   8-1
 
Analysis: Land Grant was not a threat in his debut in a key race and then showed some improvement last out against $150,000 maiden claimers where he prompted the early pace and weakened to finish fourth at Keeneland. He returns with blinkers added for the Kenneally barn that is 35% winners (with a +ROI) when adding the hood for the first time. This guy was purchased for just $5,500, out of the stakes winner Southwest Lady ($87,992). Looks like a good spot here dropping in for a $50,000 tag.
 
Davidic Line was bumped coming out of the gate, tracked the early pace and finished gamely in a runner up finish last out for a $30,000 tag in his second career start. The winner of the race was Allgrit who came back to beat $30,000 non-winners of two here in his next outing on Nov. 6. The Calhoun trainee looks headed in the right direction and had an excuse in his debut as he got away pre race. The colt is out of a Flatter mare, her first foal to race.
 
Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 3,7 / 1,3,7,9
TRI: 3,7 / 1,3,7,9 / 1,3,5,7,9
 
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
 
Aqueduct
R1: #6 Fortune Found   15-1
R1: #5 Hard to Be Humble   10-1
R2: #2 Star Swept   10-1
R3: #2 Communicator   8-1
R3: #6 Mungojerrie   10-1
R4: #3 O Shea Can U See   8-1
R5: #6 Valmont   10-1
R5: #9 Market Bubble   12-1
R8: #6 Kid is Frosty   10-1
R9: #6 Karak   8-1
R9: #2 Time Limit   8-1
R10: #8 Pallas Athene   8-1
 
Good luck today!

Horse Racing News

VegasInsider Staff

VegasInsider Staff

More from VegasInsider Staff
•