Oaklawn Stakes Horse Racing Picks and Betting Strategies

Saturday's Horse Racing Picks
Oaklawn Park - Featured Race

Bet the Oaklawn Stakes at TVG!


Date: Saturday, April 11, 2020
Post Time: 6:48 p.m. ET
TV Coverage: FS1/TVG
Race #: 11
Distance-Length: Dirt, 1 1/8 miles
Qualification: Three-year-olds
Purse: $200,000
Track: Oaklawn Park
Location: Hot Springs, Arkansas

Oaklawn Stakes
Handicapping Analysis

(Post-Horse-Morning Line Odds)

1 – Basin (7-2) Stayed on to finish third after a less than stellar trip in the Rebel most recently, his first start since taking the Hopeful at Saratoga over six months ago and first around two turns. Gets Geroux and saddle and should be more forwardly placed from inside draw.

2 – Coach Bahe (20-1) Has raced over three wet tracks and the turf in his career and should get fast track for first time in here. Finished fifth in Rebel when first time Lasix. Could use a fast pace.

3 – Mr. Big News (30-1) Made up minimal ground when fifth in second, “slower” division of Risen Star nearly two months ago. Has won just once in five starts.

4 – Thousand Words (5-2) Tasted defeat for first time when no match for barn mate Authentic in San Felipe at Santa Anita last out. Won a pair of graded stakes, the Los Alamitos Futurity and Robert Lewis, with gutsy efforts against lesser. Starting to think added distances may not be in his best interest.

5 – Sir Rick (15-1) Has won four of his six starts, including a minor-stakes at Sunland Park while making his first start out of the Diodoro barn. Should be part of the early pace and has handled the longer distances up to this point.

6 – Shoplifted (10-1) Finished third in the Smarty Jones and fourth in Southwest in his two tries over the course. Trainer Steve Asmussen has given him a steady diet of route races despite a win and runner-up effort to Basin in the Hopeful while sprinting. Keep waiting for a breakthrough effort.

7 – Flap Jack (20-1) Lone win came over all-weather surface in a minor-stakes at Arlington last summer. Finished off-the-board in Gotham off a six-month layoff last out

8 – Taishan (8-1) Dropped in from a pair of off-the-board finishes in graded stakes to romp in the slop against allowance/optional claiming company last out. Not a fan on fast ground but one to watch if track comes up wet.

9 – Digital (8-1) Worked out a good trip in first division of Risen Star but failed to fire in the latter stages at this distance. Wouldn’t be surprised if he ran well, wouldn’t be surprised if he’s more of a one-turn type. Let the tote board be your guide.

10 – Something Natural (20-1) He’s won two of his seven starts, the only two he’s made on a fast track, including an allowance/optional claimer over this course, two starts back. Third most recently in a stakes over the all-weather at Turfway, he hails from top barn and will be a juicy price. . If you’re looking for a horse that’ll be 25-1 or so, he might be your guy.

11 – Background (12-1) Broke his maiden two back in his lone try over fast ground. Finished third to Taishan most recently. Pedigree suggests he may have some distance limitations.

12 – Farmington Road (6-1) Has improved in every one of his four starts, made up ground over a speed-biased course in the first division of Risen Star and gets blinkers for the first time. Post isn’t great but he’ll be coming from out of it so it shouldn’t matter. Will be motoring at the end.

13 – Gold Street (20-1) Winless in four tries over fast ground, including a complete dud in the Southwest when he was last after some early traffic trouble. He won his three prior over wet tracks, including a minor-stakes at Fair Grounds and the local Smarty Jones.

Predictions - If I had $100

$1 tri part-wheel 1,12 with 1,6,9,10,12 with All