Sunday’s Picks from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

14 minute read

Sunday is the final day of the fall Aqueduct meeting, although racing will continue at the Big A next Thursday.

Kendrick Carmouche is sitting atop of the jockey standings going into the final day of the meeting with a four win lead over Jose Lezcano.

Carmouche picked up his first Grade 1 victory of his career yesterday with True Timber in the Cigar Mile Handicap (G1). While Carmouche is my favorite jockey and I was happy for him, he beat our top pick Snappy Sinclair, who had to settle for second at 13-1.

So I was not really that happy for him.

Christophe Clement is the leading trainer with 16 winners from his 50 starters, hitting at a 32% clip. Todd Pletcher is second in the trainer standings with 14 winners.

Clément’s lead may be safe, He has runners in two races today while Pletcher will saddle contenders in three races.

We have three stakes on the closing day of the meeting, a pair of New York Stallion Series races and the $100,000 Garland of Roses for fillies and mares going six furlongs on the main track.

You can stream the action from Aqueduct today on YouTube or by using the TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is a 50% deposit match up to $250 .

My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my nine strongest plays from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park.

To purchase my Aqueduct Report for Sunday click here .

Now is the perfect time to purchase my Monthly Package. It gives you a month of Aqueduct Reports daily and my Best Plays Report each Saturday and Sunday.

Here is the opener from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:

AQUEDUCT RACE 1 ANALYSIS (12:20 P.M. ET)

Race 1 Md $50,000

• #5 Sano Grato 5-1
• #7 Bourbonic 7-5
• #4 Speechin N Teachin 10-1
• #2 Bellagio 5-2

Analysis: Sano Grato drops in for a tag for the first time here in his fourth career start. Last out he dueled for the early lead and faded to finish a well beaten fifth trying to get nine furlongs. He catches an easier group here and picks Kendrick back up who is on his way to the jockey title here. The gelding owns solid early and mid pace numbers and the easier spot and cut back to a mile suits him. He is out of an Unbridled mare that has dropped eight winners and two are stakes winners, top earner Apart ($735,360).

Bourbonic was beaten double digit lengths in his two starts and drops in for a tag. Not often we see a Pletcher trainee go off at 21-1 in his debut and then 40-1 last out. He returns to the main track here for a barn that is 29% winners dropping runners from maiden special to maiden claiming. This guy has a nice pedigree, by Bernardini out of the G2 dirt stakes winner Dancing Afleet ($286,250). He reunites with Johnny V. and figures to show more in this softer spot.

AQUEDUCT RACE 6 ANALYSIS (2:45 P.M. ET)

Race 6 The NY Stallion Series Fifth Avenue

• #1 Gray Destiny 5-2
• #3 Shanes Pretty Lady 6-1
• #11 Laobanonaprayer 9-5
• #4 Jill's a Hot Mess 20-1

Analysis: Gray Destiny broke her maiden going long in the slop in a race taken off the turf. Sent off at 12-1 she came with a good move to take over the lead and drew away to win by 4 3/4 lengths. The runner up Cara's Dreamer came back to graduate in her next start here on Nov. 19. The Clement trainee cuts back to seven furlongs here and no telling out good this gal might be. The barn has been very live at the meet and is 19% winners moving runners from route to sprint. She looks capable of moving forward off a very promising debut.

Shanes Pretty Lady broke her maiden in her debut going six furlongs on the main track at Belmont Park at 20-1 for the Gullo barn. He checked in fifth last out in the state bred Key Cents after going to the Pletcher barn. He regressed and just never got into the mix last out. Willing to give him one more look here and he picks up Rosario.

GULFSTREAM PARK RACE 8 ANALYSIS (4:09 P.M. ET)

Race 8 OClm $25,000N1X

• #2 Kelleycanrun 5-1
• #1 Choate Bridge 4-1
• #9 Bean Counter 7-2
• #10 Sea of Blue 12-1

Analysis: Kelleycanrun returns off a 2 1/2 month break here shipping down from New York for the Tagg barn. Last out at this level the filly stalked the early pace while saving ground and could not make up enough ground late in a sixth-place finish, beaten 2 1/2 lengths in a race void of any early pace. The runner up and fourth place finisher both came back to run well in runner up finishes at this level in their next starts. The filly has worked well at Palm Meadows and picks up Bravo.

Choate Bridge made her last start at this level at Keeneland where she stalked the early pace and made a mild late rally to finish fourth, beaten 1 1/4 lengths. The winner Luck Money came back to win the Zagora in her next outing on Oct. 31 at Belmont Park. She makes her third start since coming back off a long layoff here for the Walsh barn. She looks ready for a top effort here.

LIVE LONGSHOTS

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager. 

Aqueduct

• R1: #4 Speechin N Teachin 10-1
• R2: #7 Foley Square 10-1
• R4: #7 Bernice 12-1
• R5: #6 Klickitat 8-1
• R6: #4 Jill’s a Hot Mess 20-1
• R7: #3 Bridlewood Cat 12-1
• R8: #2 It’s Gravy 12-1

Good luck today!

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