2021 BC Mile Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

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2021 Breeders' Cup Betting Central

Welcome to Stabile’s 2021 Breeders’ Cup Preview, an in depth look into each and every Breeders’ Cup race to be held Friday, November 5 and Saturday November 5 at Del Mar Racetrack in Del Mar, California.

VegasInsider.com handicapper Anthony “the Big A” Stabile will take a look at the contenders in each event, talk about how the race should set-up and provide some strategies on how to get the biggest bang for your buck when it comes to betting on the race.

Breeders' Cup Mile
Post Position & Morning Line Odds

1. Master of The Seas (IRE) 12-1
2. Smooth Like Strait 10-1
3. Space Blues (IRE) 3-1
4. Raging Bull (FR) 15-1
5. Vin de Garde (JPN) 20-1
6. Mo Forza 5-1
7. In Love (BRZ) 8-1
8. Hit the Road 15-1
9. Mother Earth (IRE) 8-1
10. Blowout (GB) 8-1
11. Got Stormy 10-1
12. Pearls Galore (FR) 12-1
13. Casa Creed 15-1
14. Ivar (BRZ) 12-1

Field Subject to Change

Breeders' Cup Mile Betting Resources

• Race: 8
• Distance: 1 mile on turf
• Purse: $2 million
• Age: 3up
• Date: Saturday
• Time: 6:20 p.m. ET 

The History

Where should I start?!?! Four horses have won multiple runnings, starting with Miesque beating the boys in 1987 and 1988. The speedy Lure won back to back runnings in 1992 and 1993 before failing to accomplish the three-peat in 1994. Da Hoss, amazingly, won it in 1996, ran once in between then re-rallied in the final strides to win it two years later in 1998. And, of course, Goldikova won three in a row from 2008 through 2010 before finishing third in 2011. In 2012, Wise Dan capped off his Horse of the Year campaign with a popular Mile score over 2011 Kentucky Derby winner Animal Kingdom and came back to defend his Mile title in 2013. It’s worth noting that Goldikova’s trainer Freddie Head has won three and is a five-time Mile winner and the only person to win a Breeders’ Cup race as a trainer and a jockey, as he was the regular rider of Miesque.

Fast Facts

• Favorites: 12 for 37 (32%)
• Shortest: $3.60 (Wise Dan, 2012)
• Highest: $148.40 (Order of Australia, 2020)
• U.S based: 22
• Foreign based: 15
• The champ is here? No. Order of Australia was injured an has been retired. 

How to Handicap the Breeders' Cup Mile

All turf race participants are analyzed in post position order.

1-Master of The Seas is looking for his first G1 win in his stateside debut having just missed in the 2000 Guineas earlier this year.

2-Smooth Like Strait has finished second by less than a length in his last three starts after taking the G1 Shoemaker Mile at Santa Anita this past spring.

3-Space Blues has won his last two, including a G1 going seven furlongs and will be making his first start beyond that distance since the third start of his career.

4-Raging Bull closed to be third despite a slow pace in the G1 Woodbine Mile most recently. He’s looking for his first win since starting the season with an impressive score in the G1 Maker’s 46 Mile at Keeneland.

5-Vin de Garde ships in from Japan and has won just once in eight starts over the past two seasons.

6-Mo Forza has four consecutive G2 events in SoCal dating back to summer 2020. Loves the course and the trip.

7-In Love rides a three-race win streak into this having most recently rallied from off the pace to take the G1 Keeneland Turf Mile at over 12-1.

8-Hit the Road is winless in three starts since taking the G1 Kilroe at Santa Anita in March. He’s won six of 11 starts at this distance.

9-Mother Earth has won a pair of G1 events in Europe from eight starts this year and since finishing second in the Juvenile Fillies Turf last season.

10-Blowout takes on the boys after a gate-to-wire win in the G1 First Lady at Keeneland. She’ll be on the front end as usual in here.

11- Got Stormy was second in this event two years ago before capturing the G1 Matriarch in her next start, her only try at Del Mar. She won her second edition of the G1 Fourstardave against the boys at Saratoga this year.

12-Pearls Galore finished second in a pair of G1 in Europe after taking a pair of G2s against fellow fillies and mares earlier this summer.

13-Casa Creed captured G1 glory in the six-furlong Jaipur on Belmont Stakes Day. Five-furlong distance of Turf Sprint too short for him.

14-Ivar finished fourth in this last year and is making just his third start since. He took the Keeneland Turf Mile last year. 

Breeders' Cup Mile Predictions

If I’m Right…

The more I look at this race, the more I think Blowout and Smooth Like Strait, in that order, have a huge pace advantage. 

Live Longshot 

It’s probably more the cutback in distance but maybe Casa Creed has just gotten good this year. Let’s see if he can crack the exotics at 20-1 or so.

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Anthony “the Big A” Stabile's expert horse racing content is featured in many different mediums nationally and you can check out all of his appearances by following him on Twitter @TheBigAStabile.

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