Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 10:03 AM
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|Streaky Teams (through Friday's games)|
The road has been very friendly to the defending champions, as the Houston Astros are the only team in Major League Baseball with a sub-3.00 ERA away from home this season. Obviously, the teams in the Top 5 are clubs contending for postseason spots, while the teams in the Bottom 5 are those which you need to fade on the road. They're not too great at home, either, for that matter. The four worst teams on the list also have a run differential of -112 or worse.
|Road Team ERA|
Saturday, July 7
The Padres and Diamondbacks will continue their series in the desert on Saturday evening. The Snakes won 3-1 in Friday's game, avenging a 6-3 loss in the series opener. The Padres have struggled on the road, going 3-10 over their past 13 games on the road. They're also a dismal 5-16 in their past 21 against left-handed starting pitchers, while going 1-6 in the past seven against teams with a winning overall mark. San Diego has enjoyed success when Tyson Ross is on the mound, however, going 7-3 over his past 10 outings while going 5-2 in his past seven on the road. The Diamondbacks are in a swoon again, dropping six of their past seven while going 1-9 in their past 10 at home. They turn to LHP Robbie Ray to snap the team out of its funk. They're 21-8 over his past 29 starts, while going 16-5 in his past 21 against the NL West.
The Rangers and Tigers hook up in the Motor City, and it might be one of the last for Cole Hamels in a Texas uniform with the team expected to be sellers at the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline. Everything would be just fine if the southpaw just made all of his starts on the road. Look at his overall stats, 4-7 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP isn't very good on the outset. But while he is 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA, 14 homers allowed and a .279 opponent batting average over 54 innings in nine home starts, he has been outstanding on the road. He is 3-1 with a 2.05 ERA, just six homers allowed in 48 1/3 innings while the opponents have hit just .203 against him in eight starts. The Rangers are also 8-3 in their past 11 against AL Central foes, and 12-4 in their past 16 against a team with a losing overall mark. The Tigers snapped a 12-game losing streak on grass in Friday's game, winning 3-1. Mike Fiers could keep them rolling, as they're 6-2 over his past eight starts and 6-1 in his past seven at home.
Friday's Texas-Detroit game was an 'under' result, snapping a 5-0-1 streak with the 'over' across the past six meetings. The Rangers are 9-2 in their past 11 trips to Comerica, while going 17-6 in the past 23 meetings overall. The under might be the play, as the under is 10-3-1 in the past 14 for Texas on the road, while going 12-3-1 in the past 16 for Hamels away from home. The under is 8-2 in Detroit's past 10, while going 5-0-1 in the past six at home. The under is 6-1-1 in Fiers' past eight overall, and 4-0-1 in his past five at home.
The winds will be gusty from right to left at Target Field from 13-16 mph, as if the Orioles needed any more obstacles against the Twins. The winds will be blowing in for the A's-Indians matchup at Progressive Field, knocking down long balls with a 13-16 mph wind blowing in from right field to home plate. The good news is that precipitation isn't in the forecast, and those are the only two trouble spots across baseball.
Sunday, July 8
The Marlins will face RHP Tanner Roark and the Nationals in the series finale. Many of the big guns in the Miami offense haven't had a lot of success against Roark. OF Starlin Castro is hitless in 13 career at-bats against Roark, while 1B Justin Bour is just 5-for-29 (.173) with eight strikeouts. However, he has racked up three homers against the righty. C J.T. Realmuto has enjoyed facing Roark, going 10-for-26 (.435) with two doubles and four RBI. INF Martin Prado has also enjoyed Roark, going 10-for-23 (.435) with a homer, five RBI and a 1.045 OPS.
Washington is 0-5 in Roark's past five starts overall, and 1-4 in his past five home outings. One of his best outings this season came May 26 in Miami in his only outing against the Marlins, allowing one earned run, four hits and two walks over seven innings in a no-decision. He is 3-7 with a 4.76 ERA over 70 innings across 12 starts and four relief appearances against Miami since the start of the 2015 season. ooggoo
The Freeway Series final will be under the lights on ESPN, and the Dodgers are expected to use LHP Alex Wood, while the Angels will roll with LHP Andrew Heaney. The Angels snapped a four-game winning streak by the Dodgers, taking the opener by a 3-2 score against Kenta Maeda. The 'under' result also put a four-game 'over' streak to bed for the Dodgers. The Dodgers have been on fire on the road, heading into Saturday's game with a 13-4 record away from home. However, they haven't had a lot of success heading east on the Freeway, winning just once in the past seven trips in Anaheim heading into Saturday's contest.
Wood is 2-3 with a 4.04 ERA on the road across 42 1/3 innings over eight starts. It's a huge departure from last season when he was 7-1 with a 2.24 ERA in 13 outings away from home. Heaney hasn't had a lot of success in his brief encounters against Dodger Blue. He is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA over 10 1/3 innings across two starts vs. LAD since the start of the 2015 season.
Like Saturday, winds will also be in the forecast for Sunday's series finale between the Orioles and Twins. The wind will be howling from 13-16 mph out to left field, but there is no precipitation in the forecast. The winds will be howling from 16-19 mph from home plate to the left-center field power alley for the Cardinals-Giants battle. Again, there is no precipitation in the forecast for any MLB city except for Houston, and they have a retractable roof. Enjoy the pleasant weather.