Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:59 PM
Weekly Total Talk
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|Over-Under Hot Streaks|
Seattle Slew Of Runs?
The Texas Rangers have recalled LHP Taylor Hearn from Triple-A to make his major league debut on Thursday night opposite Mariners LHP Marco Gonzales at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Rangers originally wanted to keep their Top 10 prospect from making the bigs until around or after the All-Star break, but they used RHP Adrian Sampson in relief on Wednesday, and they decided to pull the trigger on Hearn now. The over has connected in four of the past five games for the Rangers inside the American League West Division, and it has hit in five of the past six games against teams with a winning record, too. The over is also 4-0 in the past four following a loss for Texas. And, for whatever it's worth, the over is 7-1 in the past eight games on a Thursday for the Rangers.
The over has connected in six straight home games for the Mariners against a left-handed starting pitcher, while going 6-0 in their past six overall vs. LHP, too. In addition, the M's have gotten off to a high-scoring start lately, hitting the over in Game 1 in each of their past six series. The over hasn't been popular in starts by LHP Marco Gonzales, however, as the under is 3-0-1 in his past four starts, while going 4-1 in the past five home outings by Gonzo. The under is also 4-1 in his past five starts against AL West foes, too. In this series, the under is 4-1 in the past five meetings, and 4-1 in the past five battles at T-Mobile Park, too.
Thursday, April 25
The Marlins and Phillies tangle in the City of Brotherly Love, and Philadelphia RHP Aaron Nola is looking for a little consistency. He is 2-0 through his first five starts across 25 innings, but he has a 6.84 ERA while the 'over' has connected in each of his first outings, including 4-0 in four outings against NL East foes. The over is also 10-3 in Game 1 of a new series for the Phillies, and 8-2 in their past 10 home games vs. LHP. For LHP Caleb Smith, the over is 4-1 in his past five road outings, and 5-2 in his past seven appearances. The under is 6-1 in Miami's past seven overall, and 4-0 in the past four against teams with a winning overall record. The under is 4-1 in their past five vs. RHP, too. In this series, the over is 4-0-1 in the past five in Philly, and 5-1 in the past six meetings overall.
The Yankees and Angels hit the over again on Wednesday, and the over is 4-1 in New York's past five overall, and 4-1 in their past five vs. RHP, too. The over is 12-2 in the past 14 road outings vs. RHP, too. However, the under is 6-1-1 in Masahiro Tanaka's past eight road outings, and 23-11 in his past 34 tries against AL West opponents. For the Halos, the over is 4-1 in their past five overall, 4-1 in the past five home games and 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning record. However, the under is 11-4 in the past 15 in this series in Anaheim, while going 5-1 in Tanaka's past six starts against the Halos.
The winds will be mostly tranquil across MLB on Thursday. If wind does play a factor anywhere, it will be Fenway Park with a gentle 6-9 mph breeze blowing right to left across the infield. The winds will also be blowing in from 5-8 mph for the afternoon battle between the Dodgers and Cubs, but it will mostly be neutral.
Friday, April 26
The Orioles and Twins open a series in the Twin Cities on Friday at Target Field after a day off for each team. The over has connected in six of the past eight games overall for the O's, while the over is 4-1 in their past five games against teams with a winning record. The over is also 6-2 in their past eight vs. LHP, while going 6-1 in Alex Cobb's past seven starts. The over is also 5-2 in his past seven road outings against teams with a winning overall mark. For the Twins, the over is 5-2 in their past seven overall, and 4-1 in the past five following a scheduled day off. The over is 4-1 in the past five in this series, too.
The Angels and Royals have a battle of left-handed starting pitchers facing each other, as LHP Tyler Skaggs (ankle) returns from the 10-day injured list to face LHP Danny Duffy. The over is 9-2-1 in the past 12 road games for the Halos, and 4-0-1 in Skaggs' past five outings overall. The under is also 4-0 in the past four road games vs. LHP for the Angels. For K.C., the over has cashed in four of the past five overall, and 4-1-1 in their past six vs. LHP. In addition, the over is 19-7-3 in the past 29 home games for the Royals, while going a perfect 6-0 in Duffy's past six home outings.
The Pirates and Dodgers kick off a set in Chavez Ravine. The under is 5-2 in the past seven road outings, and 6-2 in their past eight against AL West foes. The under is also 14-6 in the past 20 on the road against teams with a winning overall record. For the Dodgers, the under is 5-0 in the past five home games, 8-1 in the past nine vs. RHP and 20-4-2 in the past 26 at home against teams with a winning overall mark. The under is also 5-1 in Hyun-Jin Ryu's past six home outings against a team with a winning record, and 8-2 in his past 10 overall against winning teams. In this series, the over is 5-0 in the past five meetings, and 6-2 in the past eight meetings in L.A.
The Marlins and Phillies will face very breezy conditions on Friday evening, blowing out at 14-17 mph to the left-center field power alley. That is, if the game gets underway. The forecast is calling for a 75 percent or greater chance of rain starting at 7 p.m. ET, so it wouldn't be surprising to see this one scheduled as a day-night doubleheader on Saturday. The same holds true for the Padres-Nationals game from D.C. There is a 75 percent or greater chance of rain at 7 p.m. ET, although the chances taper off to 20 percent by 11 p.m. It might be a late night in Washington, or the game could also be rescheduled. If they do play, there will be a 13-16 mph wind blowing in from the left-center field power alley into the face of the batters.
The Brewers and Mets will likely be rained out, too, with a 60 percent or greater chance of rain from 7 p.m. onward. If they do play, the winds are blowing out from 15-18 mph to left field. They'll have clear conditions in Atlanta for the Rockies-Braves game, with a jetstream blowing to left-center field at a 11-14 mph clip. For Tigers-White Sox on the south side, it will also be very clear with a brisk 11-14 mph wind blowing out to right-center field.