Ballpark Figures – Week 15

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

7 minute read

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Canada Day
The Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Blues Jays square off in an afternoon game on Monday on Canada Day, the equivalent of July 4 in the United States. It's a battle between RHP Glenn Sparkman and LHP Clayton Richard, so the runs could be plentiful at Rogers Centre on the holiday.

Kansas City limps in with 20 wins over the past 69 on the road, but they're 4-1 in the past five road outings against a left-handed starting pitcher. However, they're just 2-11 in the past 13 games on astroturf, and 1-5 in the past six in Game 4 of a series. They're also 15-39 in the past 54 games inside the American League East. While they've had some success lately against southpaws, remember they're also 17-35 across the past 52 vs. LHP.

 Toronto looks to rebound after losing Sunday's game. They're 3-8 across the past 11 games at home, while going 17-39 in the past 56 games overall. The Jays are also a dismal 17-35 in the past 52 games against a right-handed starting pitcher, and 2-9 in the previous 11 against RHP at home. Both teams have had a case of the Mondays, too. Kansas City is 6-22 in the past 28 games played on a Monday, while the Jays are a rough 3-13 in their past 16 on Monday.

As far as the total is concerned, the over is 7-3-1 in the past 11 games on the road, and 5-0 in the past five vs. LHP. They're also 6-2-1 in the past nine against American League East foes. The Jays have hit the over in four of their past five home outings, and 7-2 in the past nine vs. RHP. The over is also 13-4-1 in the past 18 games overall, while also going 4-1-1 in the past six meetings in Toronto.

Looking Ahead

Monday, July 1
There are just five evening games on Monday, but all of them are divisional battles.

The Cubs are 3-10 in the past 13 games on the road, and 3-9 in the past 12 on the road vs. RHP. The Pirates have won four home games in a row, and seven of the past 10 overall. They're also 4-0 in the past four at home vs. RHP. In this series, the Cubs have won four of the past five, while the under is 9-2 in the past 11 meetings, including 4-0 in the past four in Pittsburgh. The under is also 5-0 in Trevor Williams' past five outings against the Cubs.

The Brewers have won four of the past five inside the division, but they're 1-5 in the past six on the road. The Reds have won six of the past seven at home, and they're 8-3 in the past 11 against teams with a winning overall mark. However, they're also 2-8 in RHP Tyler Mahle's past 10 starts against winning teams, and 5-16 in his past 21 outings overall.

The Orioles have managed to win just 20 of their past 81 on the road, and they're a dismal 5-23 in the past 28 on astrotruf. The Rays have enjoyed playing on Mondays, going 22-5 in the past 27 on the day. RHP Ryne Stanek is the opener, and Tampa Bay is 19-7 in his past 26 starts at home, and 21-9 in his past 30 overall. The O's are 3-14 in their past 17 trips to St. Pete, and 2-7 in the past nine meetings overall. The over is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings, 7-1 in the past eight in St. Pete and 4-0 in Stanek's past four starts against the O's.

The Angels travel to meet the Rangers, and they're just 14-38 in the past 52 road games against winning teams, and 1-4 in the past five inside the division. Texas is 7-1 in the past eight at home vs. LHP, while going 5-0 in the past five starts by All-Star LHP Mike Minor. They're also 5-2 in his past seven starts overall at home. The Halos have won just once in the past five in Arlington, too. The under is 20-7 in the past 27 meetings, 5-2 in the past seven in Arlington and 4-0 in Minor's past four vs. LAA.

The Giants have won just two of the past nine starts by RHP Jeff Samardzija. They're also 5-11 in his past 16 on the road, and 6-20 in his last 26 against teams with a winning overall mark. San Francisco is also 1-4 in the past five vs. LHP, and 0-4 in the past four at home against southpaws. San Diego has won four of the past five overall, and five of the past six at home. They're also 4-1 in the past five at home against San Francisco. In this series, the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings in San Diego, and 7-3 in the past 10 meetings overall.

Weather Report
There are only four outdoor games on Monday, and only the Angels and Rangers will be affected by the elements. They'll be facing a stiff 10-13 mph wind blowing in from right field to home plate.

Tuesday, July 2
The Red Sox use LHP David Price against the Blue Jays, a team which has been brutal against southpaws. Boston has won 14 of the past 17 starts by Price against teams with a losing overall mark, and they're 30-12 across his past 42 starts overall. The Blue Jays have won just two of the past seven starts by RHP Trent Thornton, and they're 2-5 in his past seven at home, too. In addition, Toronto is just 3-8 in the past 11 at home, 8-22 in the past 30 against winning teams and 20-48 in the past 68 against left-handed starting pitchers. In this series the Red Sox are a perfect 5-0 in Price's past five against the Jays, while going 20-6 in the past 26 at Rogers Centre.

The New York Yankees and New York Mets renew acquaintances in their interleague rivalry, this time at Citi Field in Queens. The Yankees, fresh off an offensive show in London in their two-game sweep of the Red Sox, use LHP James Paxton against RHP Zack Wheeler of the Mets. The Yankees are 4-0 in their past four road games, and 23-7 in the past 30 against losing teams. They're also 37-14 in the past 51 against teams with a right-handed starting pitcher. They're 8-2 in Paxton's past 10 starts overall, too. The Mets have lost seven of the past eight games overall, and they're 2-5 in the past seven at home. They're 4-0 in Wheeler's past four home outings, but just 1-4 in his past five against winning teams.

The Cardinals and Mariners kick off an interleague series on Tuesday night at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. RHP Jack Flaherty takes the ball for the Cards, while RHP Matt Carasiti is the opener, with LHP Wade LeBlanc to follow. St. Louis has won just one of the past six, and they're 2-5 in Flaherty's past seven starts overall. They're also 3-8 in his past 11 road outings, and 1-5 in his past six interleague starts. The Mariners are 4-1 in the past five outings at home, but just 19-40 in the past 59 games overall. They're also 0-5 in the past five interleague home outings, and 7-19 in the past 26 interleague battles.

Weather Report
The Angels and Rangers will again be the first trouble spot of Tuesday's slate. They're again face a stiff 11-14 mph wind blowing in from right field into the face of the batters. It's the opposite for the Astros and Rockies, as they face a 10-13 mph wind blowing out to the left-center field power alley for their interleague series opener. The Twins and Athletics face a 9-12 mph wind blowing out to straightaway center field in Oakland. The good news is that there is no precipitation in the forecast.

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