Weekly Total Talk
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Thursday, Aug. 29
The Indians look to keep up their dominance against the Tigers on Thursday at Comerica Park in the series finale. While the under has connected in five of the past seven overall for the Indians, and the under is 5-2-1 in the past eight inside the division, the over has cashed in four straight for Cleveland against left-handed starting pitchers. They're also 7-1 in the past eight starts by RHP Mike Clevinger, and a perfect 4-0 in his past four outings with a 7-3 mark in the past 10 against teams with a losing overall mark. The over is also 7-3 in the past 10 starts by Clevinger inside the division, too.
For the Tigers, the over has cashed in five of the past six games overa, while going 18-7-2 in the past 27 inside the American League Central Division. The over is also 5-2-1 in the past eight at home for Detroit against teams with a winning road mark. LHP Daniel Norris goes for the Tigers, and the over is 4-1 in his past five outings against divisional foes. In this series, the over is 4-1 in his past five agaisnt Cleveland, and the over has cashed in five of the past seven overall between these Lake Erie rivals.
In New York, LHP Jon Lester tries not to suck for manager Joe Maddon, while RHP Jacob deGrom works for the homestanding Mets. The under is 4-0-1 in Lester's past five assignments on the road, although the over is 8-3 in his past 11 road outings against winning teams, and 12-3 in the past 15 against the National League. The over is also 3-1-1 in Chicago's past five against teams with a winning overall record, and 3-1-1 in the past five vs. RHP. The over is 5-1-1 in Chicago's past seven against the NL East, too, while cashing in six of their past eight appearances on a Thursday, for whatever that's worth.
As far as the Mets are concerned, the under has been the rule lately. The under is 7-1-1 in the past nine vs. LHP, including 4-1 in the past five home games against southpaws. The under is 5-2 in the seven games overall, while going 5-2 in the past seven at Citi Field, too. For deGrom, the under has hit in five of the past seven starts overall, while going 19-9-2 in his past 30 outings against teams with a winning overall mark. The over is 14-5 in his past 19 against NL Central foes, however. In this series, the over is 12-5-1 in the past 18 meetings, too.
For the Dodgers, LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu works for the visitors while RHP Merrill Kelly takes the hill for the home side. The under is an impressive 34-16-2 in the past 52 road outings, although the over is 8-3 in the past 11 against winning teams. For the Dodgers, the over is 5-1 in the past six road outings vs. RHP, while going 7-1 in the past eight on the road against teams with a losing home mark. The under is 4-1 in L.A.'s past five against teams with a winning overall record, although the under is 12-5 in the past 17 inside the division fo rthe Dodgers.
For Arizona, the under is 5-1 in the past six games overall, while going 7-2-1 in the past 10 following a victory. For Kelly, the under is 6-1-1 in his past eight starts at home, while going 6-2 in the past eight against teams with a winning overall mark.
Winds will be whipping at 10-13 mph from right field to third base at Comerica Park for the Indians-Tigers finale. The Athletics and Royals will also be dealing with a stiff 12-15 mph wind blowing out to straightaway center field at Kauffman Stadium. Also in the finale, the Twins and White Sox will see a 15-18 mph wind blowing out to left field, assisting 'over' bettors rather nicely.
The only trouble spot on the evening card will be the Padres-Giants tilt at Oracle Park, with winds blowing 10-13 mph out to left field.
Friday, Aug. 30
The Mariners and Rangers lock horns in Arlington, with LHP Marco Gonzalez facing LHP Kolby Allard in Game 2 of their four-game set. The over is a perfect 4-0 in the past four road games for the M's against a lefty, although the under is 4-1-1 in the past six starts by Gonzalez. The under is also 3-1-1 in his past five against losing teams, and 10-4-1 in the past 15 for Gonzales when working on four days of rest. The over is 5-2 in Gonzales' past seven against the Rangers, however. For Texas, the under is 4-1 in the past five against a left-handed starting pitcher.
For the Reds, RHP Trevor Bauer makes his sixth start since coming over from the Indians at the MLB trade deadline. The over and under have alternated in each of his past five outings since joining the Reds, and the over hit last time out. If the trend continues, it's under time for 'Bauer Outage'. As far as the Cardinals, the under is a perfect 8-0 in RHP Dakota Hudson's past eight home outings, and 4-0 in his past four starts overall. The under is also 4-0 in the past four against teams with a losing record, while going 4-1 in the past five against NL Central clubs. The under is 24-7 in St. Louis' past 31 at home vs. RHP, too.
In the late-night game, the Padres use RHP Dinelson Lamet against the Giants and LHP Madison Bumgarner. The under is 8-1 in the past nine outings on the road against a left-handed starting pitcher, while going 11-5 in the past 16 overall against lefties. However, the over is 4-1-1 in Lamet's past six overall, and a perfect 4-0 in his past four against teams with a losing overall record. For the Giants, the under is 3-1-1 in the past five starts overall by Bumgarner, while going 5-1-2 in his past eight at home against teams with a losing record.
On Friday, winds will be rather neutral across most MLB venues. However, against at Oracle Park on the banks of San Francisco Bay, winds will be howling from 10-13 mph to straightaway center field, affecting to the total of the Padres-Giants battle.
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