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Last Updated Sep 12, 2021, 08:00 AM

Yankees vs. Mets Predictions, Odds, Preview

September 12, 2021
Kevin Rogers
MLB Expert

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Predictions

Score Prediction - Mets 4, Yankees 3

Following an emotional contest on Saturday night at Citi Field as the teams honored the fallen from September 11, 2001, the Mets and Yankees wrap up their season series tonight.

The Yankees held off the Mets on Saturday to remain in the mix for one of the two Wild Card spots in the American League, while both games this weekend at Citi Field have been high-scoring affairs.

Look for a lower-scoring affair this evening as the Yankees turn to a bullpen game likely, while Carlos Carrasco has pitched better since a slow start with the Mets.

Francisco Lindor and the Mets seek the series win over the Yankees on Sunday night. (AP)

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Betting Analysis

  • Venue: Citi Field
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 7:05 p.m. ET

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Current Form

The Subway Series is split at 1-1 this weekend even though the Mets should feel like they are going for the sweep tonight at home.

The Mets ripped the Yankees, 10-3 on Friday night to move the Amazin's to 3-1 against the Bronx Bombers on the season and extend the Pinstripe's skid to seven games overall.

On Saturday, the Yankees built an early 5-0 lead before the Mets rallied back for a 7-5 advantage in the 7th inning. However, the Yankees stormed back with three runs in the 8th inning to pick up their first victory since September 3 against Baltimore.

The Yankees sit in a tie for the second Wild Card spot in the American League with the Blue Jays at 79-63, while the Mets are four games back of the Reds for the second Wild Card position in the National League at 71-72.

Pitching Matchup

Yankees - TBD

Mets - Carlos Carrasco (1-2, 5.88 ERA)

This isn't the season Carrasco imagined after getting traded from Cleveland along with Francisco Lindor. Carrasco has pitched into the seventh inning only once in eight outings, but the Mets are 2-0 in his last two starts, both against the Marlins.

Carrasco is 5-2-1 to the Over this season, including a 3-1-1 Over mark at Citi Field. The Mets are 4-1 in his five starts in the favorite role, but 0-3 when listed as an underdog.

Trends to Watch


  • 3-11 last 14 games
  • Under 6-1-1 last eight road series finales


  • 5-9 last 14 home series finales
  • 5-8 last 13 home games

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